Thought I would bring this gem of a website back to BWW. Wonder how this will all change in light of the Foley Scandal.
October 2
Projected New Senate: 48 Democrats 52 Republicans
Projected New House: 216 Democrats 218 Republicans 1 Tie
electoral-vote.com
October 3
Projected New Senate: 49 Democrats 50 Republicans 1 tie
Projected New House: 216 Democrats 218 Republicans 1 Tie
October 4
Projected New Senate: 49 Democrats 50 Republicans 1 tie
Projected New House: 217 Democrats 217 Republicans 1 Tie
I am obsessive about checking electoral-vote.com.
It is particularly nice that he tries to go by more tangible info, a lot of the predictors are all over the place. (And I love to check them all, both sides.)
Of course the big thing for me lately has been a comparison of the "official" senate sites, dscc.org and gopsenators.com, it is fascinating the way they are set up.
The mocking sites of democratic candidates linked from the Rep site are great fun. Fancy Ford, Clueless Claire, Far Out Brown, etc.
October 6
Projected New Senate: 50 Democrats 49 Republicans 1 tie
Projected New House: 218 Democrats 216 Republicans 1 Tie
October 9
Projected New Senate: 50 Democrats 49 Republicans 1 tie
Projected New House: 219 Democrats 215 Republicans 1 Tie
The "generic" polls are even more fun!
===
Four weeks before congressional elections, a new USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows Democrats hold a 23-point lead over GOP candidates. That's double the lead Republicans had a month before they seized control of Congress in 1994.
===
A Washington Post/ABC News poll released today shows that Democrats have "regained a commanding position" for the upcoming election. By a margin of 54-41 percent, registered voters said they planned to vote for the Democrat over the Republican in House races next month.
I can't get excited about the "generic" polls, except as indicators of the overall possibility of a wave style change.
I will say the last time the "generics" were near that extreme was 1994 though.
I've been spurned by electoral-vote.com before. I checked this site religiously leading up to the 2004 elections, and while I shouldn't have been too surprised at the outcome I had so depended on this site as a "real" prediction of the outcome that I was that much more devastated on November 3rd, 2004. I just can't allow myself to go there again, no matter how promising it sounds.
unless electoral vote.com DID get it right...
let's just hope every vote and only votes count this time...
Today's CNN poll:
* 75% said Republicans took inappropriate steps and mishandled the Mark Foley matter
* 52% said they believe the GOP leadership didn't investigate the charges earlier because they were deliberately covering the scandal up
* 39% approval for Bush
* 28% approval for Congress
* 58% of likely voters to support Democrats
* 34% think most members of Congress deserve re-election
* Thirty-one percent believe Hastert should keep his post
* Congressional Republicans are viewed as less ethical than Democrats
And in the NYTimes/CBS poll Bush has 34% approval, and 83% think he's "hiding something or mostly lying" about Iraq.
83%.
Wow.
of course it's going to be 83% when the only people surveyed are people on welfare and out of work actors.
Source, Draco? Because, besides a pathetic attempt at being funny, you sound pretty stupid.
let's try to keep all this in one thread shall we.
too damn confusing going back and forth.
Well then stop starting new threads. It's a surefire way to make people dislike a newbie.
Oh--but you're not a newbie at all! You've been "lurking" since Brokeback Mountain.
I didn't start this thread or the Babs thread.
Lurking the whole time? No.
Around and lurking back then.. took some time off and came back? yes.
How's that sock fitting on your hand?
October 10
no change--still predicting that Dems will take both houses.
October 13: Whoa!
Projected New Senate: 50 Democrats 49 Republicans 1 tie
Projected New House: 226 Democrats 205 Republicans 4 Ties
I hope this turns out to be true.
This is totaled like the generic but the actual question uses the real names each time:
Far be it from me to rain on anyone's parade (and I certainly hope you're right) but I think there may be something that you're not figuring into the equation; e.g. DIEBOLD
Videos