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Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?

Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?

touchmeinthemorning
#0Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:39am

My picks for those I think may get a nod but no one is counting on are:

-Crash for best pic

-Eric Bana for best actor

-Keira Knightley for best actress

-Gong Li and Amy Adams for best supporting actress


"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'" -- unknown

Wanna Be A Foster Profile Photo
Wanna Be A Foster
#1re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:41am

Who is Eric Bana and what film is he from?


"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad

"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)

touchmeinthemorning
#2re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:44am

Bana was the lead in Munich. IMHO, the best performance by an actor this year.


"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'" -- unknown

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best12bars
#3re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:44am

touchme--Your list is great, but I don't think Kiera Knightley is a long shot. I do think we'll hear her name called out tomorrow for Best Actress.

Amy Adams, as well (for Supporting).

To me, a "long shot" would be that guy from the 40 Year Old Virgin. Although, I doubt it... it COULD happen.


"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."
blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22

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lildogs
#4re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:45am

I could see all your choices happening except Bana...Adams is in I think, and the same with Crash.

Pic: History of Violence (not a long shot so much I know)
Director: Woody Allen, Match Point
Actor: Terence Howard, Hustle and Flow
Actress: Joan Allen, Upside of Anger
S. Actor: Jeffery Wright, Syriana
S. Actress: Frances McDormand, North Country

I don't know that I'd consider my picks long shots, but they aren't considered locks by any means.

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best12bars
#5re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:46am

Jeffrey Wright is a GREAT long shot... I would love it if that happened.


"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."
blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22

touchmeinthemorning
#6re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:51am

My WAY long shots are Q'Orianka Kilcher in A New World and Ciarán Hinds from Munich -- both career achievements for these remarkable actors.

I hope Eric Bana gets a nod -- I bet money on it, even. Am I gonna lose?


"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'" -- unknown
Updated On: 1/30/06 at 10:51 AM

broadway86 Profile Photo
broadway86
#7re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:54am

Best Actor
Jeff Daniels, The Squid and the Whale
Ralph Fiennes, The Constant Gardener
Cillian Murphy, Breakfast on Pluto

Best Actress
Joan Allen, The Upside of Anger
Claire Danes, Shopgirl
Cameron Diaz, In Her ShoesJulianne Moore, The Prize Winner of Defiance, Ohio
Gwyneth Paltrow, Proof

Best Supporting Actor
Kevin Costner, The Upside of Anger
Val Kilmer, Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
Barry Pepper, The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada
Jeffrey Wright, Broken Flowers

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Junebug
Laura Linney, The Squid and the Whale
Robin Wright Penn, Nine Lives

touchmeinthemorning
#8re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:58am

Why is Robin Wright Penn not getting buzz?! It was such a great performance in a remarkable film.


"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'" -- unknown

#1Elphie Profile Photo
#1Elphie
#9re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:58am

broadway86, I love your list. I hope at least some of those get nods.

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lildogs
#10re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:59am

I can't go with you on that one--just too many good leads with MUCH showier parts--though I thought he was very good and is probably in the top five.

best12, I think Steve Carell absolutely deserves a nom--making what could have been an extended SNL skit into a moving and very funny film. But THE BEST person/film never gets nominated...ah well...he'll have to settle for huge box office and his Golden Globe.

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broadway86
#11re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:00am

I think Steve Carell absolutely deserves a nom--making what could have been an extended SNL skit into a moving and very funny film.

I have to agree.

Princeton78 Profile Photo
Princeton78
#12re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:04am

Gwyneth in PROOF
Anne in BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Dame in PRIDE AND PREJUDICE
Apollo in ZOOLANDER
Idina Menzel in WICKED


"Y'all have a GRAND day now"

touchmeinthemorning
#13re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:04am

I agree about Carell. If these awards were about giving awards to the best work, many of these nods would go away, and actors who made something out of a crappy script would be rewarded. Unfortunately, awards are given out to movies that people deem "important". I understand that on a level. The Academy brings in a lot of viewers with a nomination, so they want to nominate films that have progressive and/or political minds.


"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'" -- unknown

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mabel
#14re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:09am

I was surprised Steve Carell didn't get a nomination for the Golden Globe in the Musical/Comedy category. I agree that he really did make something out of what could have been a run of the mill raunchy comedy.

And what did happen to Claire Danes in Shopgirl?!?! I'm not typically a fan of hers, but I loved her in this film and figured she would be much more of a presense in the awards season.


But when did New Hampshire become--Such a backward wasteland of seatbelt hating crazies?...I mean, only 40 people actually live there. The others are just visitors who come for the tax-free liquor and three inches of novelty coastline. John Hodgeman on The Daily Show (1-30-07)

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Wanna Be A Foster
#15re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:42am

Best Actor:
Cillian Murphy, Breakfast on Pluto

Best Supporting Actor:
Peter Sarsgaard, The Dying Gaul
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain

Best Supporting Actress:
Laura Linney, The Squid and the Whale

Screenplay:
Capote
Breakfast on Pluto
Transamerica


"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad

"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
Updated On: 1/30/06 at 11:42 AM

Auggie27 Profile Photo
Auggie27
#16re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:48am

Amy Adams.

Claire Danes.

Agree that there will be surprises (remember the best actress nod for WHALE RIDER?)

But look for Steve Carrell to get a nod for co-writing the screenplay for VIRGIN. He's up for the WGA award, surprising everyone, and the Academy writing voters are all in the WGA.

And look for BROKEBACK to have fewer than the eleven people are suggesting are a done deal.


"I'm a comedian, but in my spare time, things bother me." Garry Shandling

touchmeinthemorning
#17re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:49am

And look for BROKEBACK to have fewer than the eleven people are suggesting are a done deal.

?? Please decode this.


"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'" -- unknown

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lildogs
#18re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:53am

Foster, I think Jake and Capote screenplay are shoo-ins...

I also have no idea what you mean, Auggie...

Princeton78 Profile Photo
Princeton78
#19re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:59am

I think Auggie means that Brokeback will NOT get the 11 nods that people are fully expecting it will.
It actually seems to be losing steam.

And the Whale Rider best actress nod was brilliant BTW.


"Y'all have a GRAND day now"

touchmeinthemorning
#20re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:03pm

I don't think anyone is expecting 11. I think the expectation is 8 or 9.

Picture
Director
Actor
Sup. Actor
Sup. Actress
Screenplay
Score
Song
Cinematog


"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'" -- unknown

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jrb_actor
#21re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:16pm

Brokeback is hardly losing steam. It will get at least 10 nominations I predict! re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?

My longshots are Naomi Watts for King Kong, Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow and Crash, Thandie Newton for Crash, Howard's screen gf in Hustle & Flow, Scarlett J for Matchpoint, and silly as it may sound, I wish Ian McDiarmid could be nominated for Revenge of the Sith for his best scenery chewing performance since Glenn Close's last film! re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?

I think Crash will get the Best Picture nom.


touchmeinthemorning
#22re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:25pm

I knew jerby would chime in on this thread!

I can't believe Thandie Newton hasn't won a slew of awards yet! She's ridiculously talented.


"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'" -- unknown

Kringas
#23re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:27pm

Is Amy Adams really such a long shot? She most likely won't win, but hasn't she picked up every* supporting actress nomination there is thus far? Isn't her Oscar nom almost guaranteed?


*And before the BWW literalists jump in, I am of course speaking hyperbolically. She has received more than a fair amount of nominations already, though.


"How do you like THAT 'misanthropic panache,' Mr. Goldstone?" - PalJoey
Updated On: 1/30/06 at 12:27 PM

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Borstalboy
#24re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:32pm

Will never in a million years get nominated for Best Supporting Actress, but perhaps should: Ellen Barkin in PALINDROMES


"Impossible is just a big word thrown around by small men who find it easier to live in the world they've been given than to explore the power they have to change it. Impossible is not a fact. It's an opinion. Impossible is not a declaration. It's a dare. Impossible is potential. Impossible is temporary. Impossible is nothing.” ~ Muhammad Ali


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