Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
#25re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:33pm
Sorry for the PA-Dutch speak.
I read BBM would get eleven in two places, including OscarWatch. I think there may be fewer. I now wonder if Jake might not make it, But whatever, right? With the new backlash fervor pouring in (you should read the Austrailian press onlline: "LITTLE HOPE ON THE PRAIRIE FOR HEATH..."), there may be room for a dark or horse, or two, by March 5. Or not.
I do think the SAG "shut out" might be overinterpreted. After all, last year SIDEWAYS won the ensemble, and no one really thought it had a chance over BABY. But BABY also had this "over-hyped" vibe by late January. Right here at this board.
touchmeinthemorning
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/3/04
#26re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:34pmI didn't see Palindromes. Good movie or just a good performance?
#27re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:35pmI loved it. Not to everyone's taste, tho. Barkin was amazing!
#28re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 2:45pm
I got it comin from netflix any day now, Borstal--I've read great things about Barkin and I love Todd.
Auggie, I think Jake will get in there and will win, proving all the press Heath has received rather ironic. For some reason, maybe it was here, but I recall reading an article saying that the bottom always gets nominated. :)
#29re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 2:49pmWell, then you better start getting some film work!
#30re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:14pmUnfortunately, all my offers are from dickwadd.com...
#31re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:16pmI would love for Joan Allen to get a nod for "Upside of Anger. It will never happen.. but she is so deserving of it.
#32re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:20pmDAME, I couldn't agree more.
#33re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:20pmDon't give up, DAME, Joan is VERY popular with the Academy, with three noms...I think she'll get in!
#34re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:34pm
Matt Dillon for Crash. True he got a SAG nom, but not so sure about Oscar, but Hoping he will
Also Terrence Howard for Crash.
#35re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:24pmI would like to add the mom from Transamerica. Brilliant!
#36re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:34pmI'll just throw this one out there: Mickey Rourke. One of the most acclaimed and extraordinary performances of 2005, and he's won a handful of awards.
#37re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:41pmi aggree with JRB. Transamerica Felicity Huffman needs to be recognized and I was so dissappointed when she didn't win in the SAGs
Light in the Piazza with Megan and Emi
"Girl you got money runnin' in yo bloodline."-Carl the Bartender
#38re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:47pm
Well, I meant the actress playing her mom.
Felicity WILL be nominated tomorrow---or I'll eat my damn TV!
#39re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:29pmbroadway86, what film was Mickey Rourke in?
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
#40re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:32pm
I think 11 is an unreasonable prediction for the number of nominations BROKEBACK will get. Usually only big-budget films can garner that many because they can rake in the tech nods. I'd say it'll get as many as a film like AMERICAN BEAUTY (
.
Long shots? I'm just going to say it right here: Peter Jackson for KING KONG.
#41re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:45pm
Brokeback will likely get noms for:
Picture
Director
Screenplay
Actor
Supp Actor
Supp Actress
Score
Song
Editing
Cinematography
So, I predict 10.
#42re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 7:45am
I'm putting in a final hour long shot karma push for:
Best Supporting Actress: Thandie Newton, Crash
And the double nomination of Terrance Howard for both Hustle & Flow and Crash.
I also think that at this point, it isn't a long shot for Crash to be nominated for Best Picture. In fact, I'd be suprised if it isn't.
#43re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 9:59am
touchme---You should be very happy! Two of your "long shots" noted got in:
Crash for Best Pic, and Knightley for Best Actress.
(I was pretty confident she would get in, though.)
blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22
#44re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 10:10amTwo of mine got in too: Howard and McDormand! And of course, Woody got his nom...
#45re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 10:17amThoroughly undeserved, but he got it.
#46re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 10:20am
Tell me...was Matt Dillon's nomination deserved?
I didn't expect it.
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
#47re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 12:20pmMatt's was deserved because it was seen a a comeback for him in a unexpected performance. His cast mates could all have equally warranted a nomination--Thandie Newton, Sandra Bullock, Don Cheadle, and Terrence Howard.
#48re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 8:02pmWell, what do you know? I predicted BROKEBACK's nomination tally exactly.
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