Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?- Page 2
Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Auggie27
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/13/03
#25re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:33pm
Sorry for the PA-Dutch speak.
I read BBM would get eleven in two places, including OscarWatch. I think there may be fewer. I now wonder if Jake might not make it, But whatever, right? With the new backlash fervor pouring in (you should read the Austrailian press onlline: "LITTLE HOPE ON THE PRAIRIE FOR HEATH..."), there may be room for a dark or horse, or two, by March 5. Or not.
I do think the SAG "shut out" might be overinterpreted. After all, last year SIDEWAYS won the ensemble, and no one really thought it had a chance over BABY. But BABY also had this "over-hyped" vibe by late January. Right here at this board.
"I'm a comedian, but in my spare time, things bother me." Garry Shandling
touchmeinthemorning
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/3/04
#26re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:34pmI didn't see Palindromes. Good movie or just a good performance?
"Fundamentalism means never having to say 'I'm wrong.'"
-- unknown
Borstalboy
Broadway Legend Joined: 2/9/04
#27re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 12:35pmI loved it. Not to everyone's taste, tho. Barkin was amazing!
"Impossible is just a big word thrown around by small men who find it easier to live in the world they've been given than to explore the power they have to change it. Impossible is not a fact. It's an opinion. Impossible is not a declaration. It's a dare. Impossible is potential. Impossible is temporary. Impossible is nothing.”
~ Muhammad Ali
#28re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 2:45pm
I got it comin from netflix any day now, Borstal--I've read great things about Barkin and I love Todd.
Auggie, I think Jake will get in there and will win, proving all the press Heath has received rather ironic. For some reason, maybe it was here, but I recall reading an article saying that the bottom always gets nominated. :)
#29re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 2:49pmWell, then you better start getting some film work!
#30re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:14pmUnfortunately, all my offers are from dickwadd.com...
DAME
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/15/04
#31re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:16pmI would love for Joan Allen to get a nod for "Upside of Anger. It will never happen.. but she is so deserving of it.
HUSSY POWER!
------ HUSSY POWER!
#32re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:20pmDAME, I couldn't agree more.
#33re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:20pmDon't give up, DAME, Joan is VERY popular with the Academy, with three noms...I think she'll get in!
#34re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 3:34pm
Matt Dillon for Crash. True he got a SAG nom, but not so sure about Oscar, but Hoping he will
Also Terrence Howard for Crash.
#35re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:24pmI would like to add the mom from Transamerica. Brilliant!
#36re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:34pmI'll just throw this one out there: Mickey Rourke. One of the most acclaimed and extraordinary performances of 2005, and he's won a handful of awards.
#37re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:41pmi aggree with JRB. Transamerica Felicity Huffman needs to be recognized and I was so dissappointed when she didn't win in the SAGs
Light in the Piazza with Megan and Emi
"Girl you got money runnin' in yo bloodline."-Carl the Bartender
#38re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 10:47pm
Well, I meant the actress playing her mom.
Felicity WILL be nominated tomorrow---or I'll eat my damn TV!
#39re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:29pmbroadway86, what film was Mickey Rourke in?
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
#40re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:32pm
I think 11 is an unreasonable prediction for the number of nominations BROKEBACK will get. Usually only big-budget films can garner that many because they can rake in the tech nods. I'd say it'll get as many as a film like AMERICAN BEAUTY (
.
Long shots? I'm just going to say it right here: Peter Jackson for KING KONG.
BlueWizard's blog: The Rambling Corner
HEDWIG: "The road is my home. In reflecting upon the people whom I have come upon in my travels, I cannot help but think of the people who have come upon me."
Updated On: 1/30/06 at 11:32 PM
#41re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/30/06 at 11:45pm
Brokeback will likely get noms for:
Picture
Director
Screenplay
Actor
Supp Actor
Supp Actress
Score
Song
Editing
Cinematography
So, I predict 10.
#42re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 7:45am
I'm putting in a final hour long shot karma push for:
Best Supporting Actress: Thandie Newton, Crash
And the double nomination of Terrance Howard for both Hustle & Flow and Crash.
I also think that at this point, it isn't a long shot for Crash to be nominated for Best Picture. In fact, I'd be suprised if it isn't.
#43re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 9:59am
touchme---You should be very happy! Two of your "long shots" noted got in:
Crash for Best Pic, and Knightley for Best Actress.
(I was pretty confident she would get in, though.)
"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."
blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22
blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22
#44re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 10:10amTwo of mine got in too: Howard and McDormand! And of course, Woody got his nom...
popcultureboy
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/23/03
#45re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 10:17amThoroughly undeserved, but he got it.
Nothing precious, plain to see, don't make a fuss over me. Not loud, not soft, but somewhere inbetween. Say sorry, just let it be the word you mean.
#46re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 10:20am
Tell me...was Matt Dillon's nomination deserved?
I didn't expect it.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
Updated On: 1/31/06 at 10:20 AM
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
#47re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 12:20pmMatt's was deserved because it was seen a a comeback for him in a unexpected performance. His cast mates could all have equally warranted a nomination--Thandie Newton, Sandra Bullock, Don Cheadle, and Terrence Howard.
#48re: Who are your long shots for Oscar nods?
Posted: 1/31/06 at 8:02pmWell, what do you know? I predicted BROKEBACK's nomination tally exactly.
BlueWizard's blog: The Rambling Corner
HEDWIG: "The road is my home. In reflecting upon the people whom I have come upon in my travels, I cannot help but think of the people who have come upon me."
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