2017 Best New Musical - 4th slot

I'd agree with you that Come From Away, Dear Evan Hansen, and The Great Comet are headed toward Best Musical nominations. Just to help facilitate your discussion, I wanted to include the full list of potential nominees this season:

Best Musical – Confirmed
Amélie
Anastasia
Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint

Edit: Personally, I think the fourth slot will be between Anastasia and War Paint, though I'm leaning toward the former.

Updated On: 3/28/17 at 11:01 PM

4th Slot- Groundhog Day

IF THERE'S A FIFTH SLOT- Anastasia

The_Spielers_2017 said: "4th Slot- Groundhog Day

IF THERE'S A FIFTH SLOT- Anastasia

I would suggest "Bronx Tale" in fourth spot.

At this point, we should wait and see how Amelie, Anastasia, Bandstand, Charlie & the Chocolate Factory, Groundhog Day, and War Paint end up being received on their opening nights. Though I currently think the fourth slot will go to Anastasia.

I think ACL gets this right and anything beyond that (regarding the 4/5th slots is malarkey.

Other than the 3 already mentioned as extremely likely (Dear Evan Hansen, Great Comet, Come From Away), I have seen Amelie (in Berkeley), War Paint (Goodman), and Anastasia (Broadway). Based on my experiences alone and without seeing the others, I would give the edge to Anastasia. I was not a fan of the other two as shows although I was glad I saw War Paint for the leading ladies. Of course it's not fair to judge these two shows on their pre-Broadway performances alone but since I am not likely to see them again, that's all I have to go by. And since I havent seen the others (and probably won't) I can't speak to those.

From what I've seen and read, Dear Evan Hansen, Great Comet, and Come From Away are head and shoulders ahead of the other potential nominees. And they're all so different I honestly have trouble deciding who I think "should" win (although Dear Evan Hansen is the most likely to actually win, I think...)

Anastasia

Alt: Groundhog Day

Jeffrey Karasarides said: "Why are several of you predicting A Bronx Tale as a possible nominee for Best Musical? The critical response wasn't that great (even though critics aren't on the nominating committee), and I also have no idea where else it could possibly show up on nomination morning. Maybe Featured Actor?



"

As you said yourself, the critics have no say. If all of the new spring shows end up as duds or mediocre, I think A Bronx Tale, which has enough respect in the theater community, could pick up that 4th slot.

RippedMan said: "No way they're nominating Anastasia over Groundhog Day.



"

I agree

RippedMan said: "No way they're nominating Anastasia over Groundhog Day. "

...Why?

I don't see a way that Groundhog Day could get a best musical nomination. It's just too divisive. Anastasia seems to be the safer pick... I also agree that Bronx Tale could get there. Here are my predictions:

GREAT COMET (my pick for best musical)
DEAR EVAN HANSEN
COME FROM AWAY
ANASTASIA
BRONX TALE

Though I admittedly feel silly making them... still having not seen Bandstand or Charlie.

I really have to see Anastasia and War Paint to properly give my own opinion, but I too was wondering if A BRONX TALE may be a dark horse wild surprise in the category somehow.