2024 Tony Predictions- Page 10

[chrishuyen]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 6:31pm

Jeff Tupolski said: "For anyone else who uses it, GoldDerby’s prediction center is now open for the Tonys.

Seems there’s a bit of a disconnect in a few of the early odds there compared to what people are saying here."

GoldDerby is fun (partially because it lets me save all my predictions in one place), but I do think people on there tend towards celebrities and probably vote down the line a bit more (though there's usually someone that gets very close).

[Jeff Tupolski]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 8:48pm

I feel a bit lost in some of these categories, but here goes. Just doing the winners right now instead of numbering all the nominees while I still gather my thoughts.

Play: Stereophonic

Musical: Hell’s Kitchen

Play Revival: Appropriate

Musical Revival: Merrily We Roll Along

Actor in a Play: Jeremy Strong — An Enemy of the People

Actress in a Play: Sarah Paulson — Appropriate

Actor in a Musical: Jonathan Groff — Merrily We Roll Along

Actress in a Musical: Maleah Joi Moon — Hell’s Kitchen

Featured Actor in a Play: Eli Gelb — Stereophonic

Featured Actress in a Play: Kara Young — Purlie Victorious

Featured Actor in a Musical: Daniel Radcliffe — Merrily We Roll Along

Featured Actress in a Musical: Lindsay Mendez — Merrily We Roll Along

Direction of a Play: Daniel Aukin — Stereophonic

Direction of a Musical: Maria Friedman — Merrily We Roll Along

Book of a Musical: Justin Levine & Adam Rapp — The Outsiders

Original Score: Will Butler — Stereophonic

Scenic Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Scenic Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Costume Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Costume Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Lighting Design of a Play: An Enemy of the People

Lighting Design of a Musical: The Outsiders

Sound Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Sound Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Choreography: Illinoise

Orchestrations: Stereophonic

Updated On: 4/30/24 at 08:48 PM

[Jeff Tupolski]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 9:00pm

chrishuyen said: "Jeff Tupolski said: "For anyone else who uses it, GoldDerby’s prediction center is now open for the Tonys.

Seems there’s a bit of a disconnect in a few of the early odds there compared to what people are saying here."

GoldDerby is fun (partially because it lets me save all my predictions in one place), but I do think people on there tend towards celebrities and probably vote down the line a bit more (though there's usually someone that gets very close)."

Yeah, they’re the best option for organizing your predix, but in terms of odds, they leave something to be desired with the Tonys. It’s a lot harder to keep up on Broadway than movies, television, etc. and in addition to pushing mainstream celebrities ahead, it feels like a lot of users often just pile on to whatever got the best odds early on. Which happens elsewhere, but the lack of visibility makes it more noticeable here.

[HenryTDobson]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 9:27pm

If predictions hold, I can see this being a year when best musical goes to a show that wins nothing else. The Outsiders or Hell's Kitchen look like frontrunners and with book/score going to Suffs, acting/direction awards going to revivals/Kelli, choreo going to Illinoise...what else can they win? Orchestrations? Lighting?

Or they will (correctly) award Illinoise as best musical and all will be grand. 

[FLarnhill]

Posted: 5/1/24 at 5:27am

Jeff Tupolski said: "I feel a bit lost in some of these categories, but here goes. Just doing the winners right now instead of numbering all the nomineeswhile I still gather my thoughts.

Play: Stereophonic

Musical: Hell’s Kitchen

Play Revival: Appropriate

Musical Revival: Merrily We Roll Along

Actor in a Play: Jeremy Strong — An Enemy of the People

Actress in a Play: Sarah Paulson — Appropriate

Actor in a Musical: Jonathan Groff — Merrily We Roll Along

Actress in a Musical: Maleah Joi Moon — Hell’s Kitchen

Featured Actor in a Play: Eli Gelb — Stereophonic

Featured Actress in a Play: Kara Young — Purlie Victorious

Featured Actor in a Musical: Daniel Radcliffe — Merrily We Roll Along

Featured Actress in a Musical: Lindsay Mendez — Merrily We Roll Along

Direction of a Play: Daniel Aukin — Stereophonic

Direction of a Musical: Maria Friedman — Merrily We Roll Along

Book of a Musical: Justin Levine & Adam Rapp — The Outsiders

Original Score: Will Butler — Stereophonic

Scenic Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Scenic Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Costume Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Costume Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Lighting Design of a Play: An Enemy of the People

Lighting Design of a Musical: The Outsiders

Sound Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Sound Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Choreography: Illinoise

Orchestrations: Stereophonic"

Pretty much my picks, too. We're in for the most predictable Tonys in years.

[NativeNYer2]

Posted: 5/1/24 at 1:42pm

I see predictions for Cabaret for Scenic Design of a Musical.

I have not seen Cabaret, but with all the hubbub about the scenic design of Here Lies Love, how do people feel are the chances of that show winning Scenic Design?

Updated On: 5/1/24 at 01:42 PM

[Rentaholic2]

Posted: 5/1/24 at 2:02pm

FLarnhill said: "We're in for the most predictable Tonys in years."

Huh?  This is the most open Best Musical race in years.  You'd have to go back to at least 2010 to find a race where there wasn't an unequivocal front-runner or a two-show race.  I can't see Water for Elephants winning, but any of the others could. And several of the other categories are not locked down by any means. 

 

 

[EDSOSLO858]

Posted: 5/1/24 at 2:04pm

FLarnhill said: "Jeff Tupolski said: "I feel a bit lost in some of these categories, but here goes. Just doing the winners right now instead of numbering all the nomineeswhile I still gather my thoughts.

Play: Stereophonic

Musical: Hell’s Kitchen

Play Revival: Appropriate

Musical Revival: Merrily We Roll Along

Actor in a Play: Jeremy Strong — An Enemy of the People

Actress in a Play: Sarah Paulson — Appropriate

Actor in a Musical: Jonathan Groff — Merrily We Roll Along

Actress in a Musical: Maleah Joi Moon — Hell’s Kitchen

Featured Actor in a Play: Eli Gelb — Stereophonic

Featured Actress in a Play: Kara Young — Purlie Victorious

Featured Actor in a Musical: Daniel Radcliffe — Merrily We Roll Along

Featured Actress in a Musical: Lindsay Mendez — Merrily We Roll Along

Direction of a Play: Daniel Aukin — Stereophonic

Direction of a Musical: Maria Friedman — Merrily We Roll Along

Book of a Musical: Justin Levine & Adam Rapp — The Outsiders

Original Score: Will Butler — Stereophonic

Scenic Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Scenic Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Costume Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Costume Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Lighting Design of a Play: An Enemy of the People

Lighting Design of a Musical: The Outsiders

Sound Design of a Play: Stereophonic

Sound Design of a Musical: Cabaret

Choreography: Illinoise

Orchestrations: Stereophonic"

Pretty much my picks, too. We're in for the most predictable Tonys in years."

Last year was very predictable.