2024 Tony Predictions
chrishuyen
Broadway Legend Joined: 11/12/14
#2252024 Tony Predictions
Posted: 4/30/24 at 6:31pm
Jeff Tupolski said: "For anyone else who uses it, GoldDerby’s prediction center is now open for the Tonys.
Seems there’s a bit of a disconnect in a few of the early odds there compared to what people are saying here."
GoldDerby is fun (partially because it lets me save all my predictions in one place), but I do think people on there tend towards celebrities and probably vote down the line a bit more (though there's usually someone that gets very close).
#2262024 Tony Predictions
Posted: 4/30/24 at 8:48pm
I feel a bit lost in some of these categories, but here goes. Just doing the winners right now instead of numbering all the nominees while I still gather my thoughts.
Play: Stereophonic
Musical: Hell’s Kitchen
Play Revival: Appropriate
Musical Revival: Merrily We Roll Along
Actor in a Play: Jeremy Strong — An Enemy of the People
Actress in a Play: Sarah Paulson — Appropriate
Actor in a Musical: Jonathan Groff — Merrily We Roll Along
Actress in a Musical: Maleah Joi Moon — Hell’s Kitchen
Featured Actor in a Play: Eli Gelb — Stereophonic
Featured Actress in a Play: Kara Young — Purlie Victorious
Featured Actor in a Musical: Daniel Radcliffe — Merrily We Roll Along
Featured Actress in a Musical: Lindsay Mendez — Merrily We Roll Along
Direction of a Play: Daniel Aukin — Stereophonic
Direction of a Musical: Maria Friedman — Merrily We Roll Along
Book of a Musical: Justin Levine & Adam Rapp — The Outsiders
Original Score: Will Butler — Stereophonic
Scenic Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Scenic Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Costume Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Costume Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Lighting Design of a Play: An Enemy of the People
Lighting Design of a Musical: The Outsiders
Sound Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Sound Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Choreography: Illinoise
Orchestrations: Stereophonic
#2272024 Tony Predictions
Posted: 4/30/24 at 9:00pm
chrishuyen said: "Jeff Tupolski said: "For anyone else who uses it, GoldDerby’s prediction center is now open for the Tonys.
Seems there’s a bit of a disconnect in a few of the early odds there compared to what people are saying here."
GoldDerby is fun (partially because it lets me save all my predictions in one place), but I do think people on there tend towards celebrities and probably vote down the line a bit more (though there's usually someone that gets very close)."
Yeah, they’re the best option for organizing your predix, but in terms of odds, they leave something to be desired with the Tonys. It’s a lot harder to keep up on Broadway than movies, television, etc. and in addition to pushing mainstream celebrities ahead, it feels like a lot of users often just pile on to whatever got the best odds early on. Which happens elsewhere, but the lack of visibility makes it more noticeable here.
#2282024 Tony Predictions
Posted: 4/30/24 at 9:27pm
If predictions hold, I can see this being a year when best musical goes to a show that wins nothing else. The Outsiders or Hell's Kitchen look like frontrunners and with book/score going to Suffs, acting/direction awards going to revivals/Kelli, choreo going to Illinoise...what else can they win? Orchestrations? Lighting?
Or they will (correctly) award Illinoise as best musical and all will be grand.
#2292024 Tony Predictions
Posted: 5/1/24 at 5:27am
Jeff Tupolski said: "I feel a bit lost in some of these categories, but here goes. Just doing the winners right now instead of numbering all the nomineeswhile I still gather my thoughts.
Play: Stereophonic
Musical: Hell’s Kitchen
Play Revival: Appropriate
Musical Revival: Merrily We Roll Along
Actor in a Play: Jeremy Strong — An Enemy of the People
Actress in a Play: Sarah Paulson — Appropriate
Actor in a Musical: Jonathan Groff — Merrily We Roll Along
Actress in a Musical: Maleah Joi Moon — Hell’s Kitchen
Featured Actor in a Play: Eli Gelb — Stereophonic
Featured Actress in a Play: Kara Young — Purlie Victorious
Featured Actor in a Musical: Daniel Radcliffe — Merrily We Roll Along
Featured Actress in a Musical: Lindsay Mendez — Merrily We Roll Along
Direction of a Play: Daniel Aukin — Stereophonic
Direction of a Musical: Maria Friedman — Merrily We Roll Along
Book of a Musical: Justin Levine & Adam Rapp — The Outsiders
Original Score: Will Butler — Stereophonic
Scenic Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Scenic Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Costume Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Costume Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Lighting Design of a Play: An Enemy of the People
Lighting Design of a Musical: The Outsiders
Sound Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Sound Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Choreography: Illinoise
Orchestrations: Stereophonic"
Pretty much my picks, too. We're in for the most predictable Tonys in years.
NativeNYer2
Chorus Member Joined: 3/11/18
#2302024 Tony Predictions
Posted: 5/1/24 at 1:42pm
I see predictions for Cabaret for Scenic Design of a Musical.
I have not seen Cabaret, but with all the hubbub about the scenic design of Here Lies Love, how do people feel are the chances of that show winning Scenic Design?
Rentaholic2
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/14/04
#2312024 Tony Predictions
Posted: 5/1/24 at 2:02pm
FLarnhill said: "We're in for the most predictable Tonys in years."
Huh? This is the most open Best Musical race in years. You'd have to go back to at least 2010 to find a race where there wasn't an unequivocal front-runner or a two-show race. I can't see Water for Elephants winning, but any of the others could. And several of the other categories are not locked down by any means.
#2322024 Tony Predictions
Posted: 5/1/24 at 2:04pm
FLarnhill said: "Jeff Tupolski said: "I feel a bit lost in some of these categories, but here goes. Just doing the winners right now instead of numbering all the nomineeswhile I still gather my thoughts.
Play: Stereophonic
Musical: Hell’s Kitchen
Play Revival: Appropriate
Musical Revival: Merrily We Roll Along
Actor in a Play: Jeremy Strong — An Enemy of the People
Actress in a Play: Sarah Paulson — Appropriate
Actor in a Musical: Jonathan Groff — Merrily We Roll Along
Actress in a Musical: Maleah Joi Moon — Hell’s Kitchen
Featured Actor in a Play: Eli Gelb — Stereophonic
Featured Actress in a Play: Kara Young — Purlie Victorious
Featured Actor in a Musical: Daniel Radcliffe — Merrily We Roll Along
Featured Actress in a Musical: Lindsay Mendez — Merrily We Roll Along
Direction of a Play: Daniel Aukin — Stereophonic
Direction of a Musical: Maria Friedman — Merrily We Roll Along
Book of a Musical: Justin Levine & Adam Rapp — The Outsiders
Original Score: Will Butler — Stereophonic
Scenic Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Scenic Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Costume Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Costume Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Lighting Design of a Play: An Enemy of the People
Lighting Design of a Musical: The Outsiders
Sound Design of a Play: Stereophonic
Sound Design of a Musical: Cabaret
Choreography: Illinoise
Orchestrations: Stereophonic"
Pretty much my picks, too. We're in for the most predictable Tonys in years."
Last year was very predictable.
Videos



