2024 Tony Predictions- Page 6
2024 Tony Predictions
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/20/18
2024 Tony Predictions#125
Posted: 4/27/24 at 3:21pm
In another season, Michael Stuhlbarg could be walking away with the Best Actor Tony.
I didn't see Tom Hollander in London, but Stuhlbarg is doing astonishing work here and grounds that play with his humane performance of an incredibly complex man. I don't love that play, but he keeps it interesting.
2024 Tony Predictions#126
Posted: 4/27/24 at 3:48pm
After just seeing ILLINOISE, it's a travesty that Ubeda isn't in the lead category.
2024 Tony Predictions#127
Posted: 4/27/24 at 3:51pm
ACL2006 said: "After just seeing ILLINOISE, it's a travesty that Ubeda isn't in the lead category."
Make it make sense.
2024 Tony Predictions#128
Posted: 4/27/24 at 4:27pm
ErmengardeStopSniveling said: "In another season, Michael Stuhlbarg could be walking away with the Best Actor Tony.
I didn't see Tom Hollander in London, but Stuhlbarg is doing astonishing work here and grounds that play with his humane performance of an incredibly complex man. I don't love thatplay, but he keeps it interesting."
I mean, if the Tony were for most acting, I’d agree with you. I personally found it a bit much
2024 Tony Predictions#129
Posted: 4/27/24 at 5:29pm
My FINAL predictions (some changes from my predictions on p. 1 of this thread):
Best Musical
Hell's Kitchen
Illinoise
The Outsiders
Suffs
Water For Elephants
Best Play
Jaja's African Hair Braiding
Mary Jane
Patriots
Prayer for the French Republic
Stereophonic
Best Revival of a Musical
Cabaret
Merrily We Roll Along
The Who's Tommy
The Wiz
Best Revival of a Play
Appropriate
Doubt
Purlie Victorious
Lead Actor in a Musical
Jonathan Groff, Merrily We Roll Along
Dorian Harewood, The Notebook
Brian D'Arcy James, Days of Wine and Roses
Eddie Redmayne, Cabaret
Chip Zien, Harmony
Lead Actress in a Musical
Maleah Joi Moon, Hell's Kitchen
Kelli O'Hara, Days of Wine and Roses
Maryann Plunkett, The Notebook
Gayle Rankin, Cabaret
Shaina Taub, Suffs
Lead Actor in a Play
Steve Carell, Uncle Vanya
William Jackson Harper, Uncle Vanya
Leslie Odom Jr., Purlie Victorious
Jeremy Strong, An Enemy of the People
Michael Stuhlbarg, Patriots
Lead Actress in a Play
Jessica Lange, Mother Play
Rachel McAdams, Mary Jane
Sarah Paulson, Appropriate
Amy Ryan, Doubt
Featured Actor in a Musical
Joshua Boone, The Outsiders
Brandon Victor Dixon, Hell's Kitchen
Paul Alexander Nolan, Water For Elephants
Daniel Radcliffe, Merrily We Roll Along
Reg Rogers, Merrily We Roll Along
Featured Actress in a Musical
Krystal Joy Brown, Merrily We Roll Along
Nikki M. James, Suffs
Leslie Rodriguez Kritzer, Spamalot
Lindsay Mendez, Merrily We Roll Along
Bebe Neuwirth, Cabaret
Featured Actor in a Play
Will Brill, Stereophonic
Eli Gelb, Stereophonic
Michael Imperioli, An Enemy of the People
Jim Parsons, Mother Play
Corey Stoll, Appropriate
Featured Actress in a Play
Francis Benhamou, Prayer for the French Republic
Juliana Canfield, Stereophonic
Victoria Pedretti, An Enemy of the People
Sarah Pidgeon, Stereophonic
Kara Young, Purlie Victorious
Original Score
Days of Wine and Roses - Adam Guettel
The Notebook - Ingrid Michaelson
The Outsiders - Jamestown Revival & Justin Levine
Stereophonic - Will Butler
Suffs - Shaina Taub
Book of a Musical
Days of Wine and Roses - Craig Lucas
Hell's Kitchen - Kristoffer Diaz
The Notebook - Bekah Brunstetter
The Outsiders - Adam Rapp & Justin Levine
Suffs - Shaina Taub
Direction of a Musical
Maria Friedman, Merrily We Roll Along
Justin Peck, Illinoise
Leigh Silverman, Suffs
Danya Taymor, The Outsiders
Alex Timbers, Here Lies Love
Direction of a Play
Daniel Aukin, Stereophonic
David Cromer, Prayer for the French Republic
Anne Kauffman, Mary Jane
Kenny Leon, Purlie Victorious
Lila Neugebauer, Appropriate
Choreography
Camille A. Brown, Hell's Kitchen
Rick Kuperman & Jeff Kuperman, The Outsiders
Lorin Latarro, The Who's Tommy
Justin Peck, Illinoise
Jesse Robb & Shana Carroll, Water For Elephants
Scenic Design of a Musical
Paul Tate dePoo III, The Great Gatsby
Soutra Gilmour, Merrily We Roll Along
Tim Hatley & Finn Ross, Back to the Future
David Korins, Here Lies Love
Tom Scutt, Cabaret
Scenic Design of a Play
Paul Tate dePoo III, The Cottage
dots, Appropriate
Derek McLane, Purlie Victorious
Scott Pask, Grey House
David Zinn, Stereophonic
Costume Design of a Musical
Sarafina Bush, The Who's Tommy
Linda Cho, The Great Gatsby
Soutra Gilmour, Merrily We Roll Along
Clint Ramos, Here Lies Love
Tom Scutt, Cabaret
Costume Design of a Play
Dede Ayite, Appropriate
Dede Ayite, Jaja's African Hair Braiding
Enver Chakartash, Stereophonic
Sydney Maresca, The Cottage
Emilio Sosa, Purlie Victorious
Lighting Design of a Musical
Isabella Byrd, Cabaret
Tim Lutkin & Hugh Vanstone, Back to the Future
Brian MacDevitt & Hanna S. Kim, The Outsiders
Cory Pattak, The Great Gatsby
Justin Townsend, Here Lies Love
Lighting Design of a Play
Isabella Byrd, An Enemy of the People
Jiyoun Chang, Stereophonic
Jane Cox, Appropriate
Adam Honore, Purlie Victorious
Natasha Katz, Grey House
Sound Design of a Musical
Jason Crystal, Suffs
Kai Harada, Merrily We Roll Along
Gareth MacAleavey, Illinoise
Gareth Owen, Hell's Kitchen
Cody Spencer, The Outsiders
Sound Design of a Play
Mikhail Fiksel & Beth Lake, Uncle Vanya
Tom Gibbons, Grey House
Bray Poor & Will Pickens, Appropriate
Ryan Rumery, Stereophonic
Mikaal Sulaiman, Doubt
Orchestrations
Timo Andres, Illinoise
Will Butler & Justin Craig, Stereophonic
John Clancy & Carmel Dean, The Notebook
Adam Guettel & Jamie Lawrence, Days of Wine and Roses
Michael Starobin, Suffs
TOTALS
12 nominations: Stereophonic
10 nominations: Merrily We Roll Along
8 nominations: Appropriate, The Outsiders, Suffs
7 nominations: Cabaret, Purlie Victorious
6 nominations: Hell's Kitchen
5 nominations: Days of Wine and Roses, Illinoise, The Notebook
4 nominations: An Enemy of the People, Here Lies Love
3 nominations: Doubt, The Great Gatsby, Grey House, Mary Jane, Prayer for the French Republic, Uncle Vanya, Water For Elephants, The Who's Tommy
2 nominations: Back to the Future, The Cottage, Jaja's African Hair Braiding, Mother Play, Patriots
1 nomination: Harmony, Spamalot, The Wiz
0 nominations: Gutenberg the Musical, The Heart of Rock and Roll, How to Dance in Ohio, I Need That, Once Upon a One More Time, The Shark is Broken
Stand-by Joined: 8/2/23
2024 Tony Predictions#130
Posted: 4/27/24 at 5:39pm
I just can't wait for it all to be over at this point.
😄
2024 Tony Predictions#131
Posted: 4/27/24 at 5:41pm
Ubeda is absolutely getting a Tony nom. 100% no doubt.
2024 Tony Predictions#132
Posted: 4/27/24 at 7:40pm
what about shows that opened early in the season like how to dance in ohio
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/20/18
2024 Tony Predictions#133
Posted: 4/27/24 at 7:54pm
bryan32 said: "what about shows that opened early in the season like how to dance in ohio"
What about them?
They are all eligible and if the nominating committee feels they have elements worthy of a nomination, they'll be nominated.
Doubt OHIO would get many (if any), but I personally think HERE LIES LOVE still stands to get 5 to 10 noms considering the general weirdness of the season, ambitiousness, and a lot of "nominate-able" elements.
2024 Tony Predictions#134
Posted: 4/27/24 at 10:12pm
CoffeeBreak said: "Ubeda's performance is better than Radcliffe without saying a word. Replace Ricamora or Dixon with Ben Cook.
Ok it's clear you love Ubeda and Ilinoise but what's your problem with Radcliffe? It's the third time you look down on his performance and no matter how hard you try to make Ubeda the frontrunner in the Best Featured Actor category, he isn't because the actors in Merrily have the reviews, the success and the narrative to win, also don't forget that Broadway is very inclusive and probably Radcliffe will get votes because of his trans community support. Don't underestimate an actor to praise another
2024 Tony Predictions#135
Posted: 4/28/24 at 12:38am
I was sure Kara Young was a shoe in but just saw Sterophonic and Sarah Pigeon is giving the standout performance of the season.
2024 Tony Predictions#136
Posted: 4/28/24 at 1:18am
Dreamboy3 said: "I was sure Kara Young was a shoe in but just saw Sterophonic and Sarah Pigeon is giving the standout performance of the season."
Kara Young being passed over for the third time would be insane... but she really wasn't my favorite performance in this category. I generally admit to not like Purlie as much as everyone else, but this category does feel especially strong. I'd definitely give it to Pigeon or Benhamou over Young.
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/22/03
2024 Tony Predictions#137
Posted: 4/28/24 at 1:28am
Now that the Tony committee has made its rulings, what one nomination would make you so happy to hear on Tuesday morning?
Mine: Here Lies Love for Best Musical
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/22/04
2024 Tony Predictions#138
Posted: 4/28/24 at 1:31am
''Now that the Tony committee has made its rulings, what one nomination would make you so happy to hear on Monday morning?
''Mine: Here Lies Love for Best Musical''
I agree 1,000% with your brilliant choice, but the Tony nominations will be announced Tuesday morning.
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/22/03
2024 Tony Predictions#140
Posted: 4/28/24 at 1:59am
bwaylyric said: "Now that the Tony committee has made its rulings, what one nomination would make you so happy to hear on Tuesdaymorning?
Mine: Here Lies Love for Best Musical
"
Design nominations for Illinoise (surprise Scenic design nom in addition to Lighting and Sound)
Book of a Musical for Illinoise
Featured actor nominations for Ricky Ubeda and Ben Cook
Basically I’m hoping for 10 Nominations for Illinoise: Musical, Book, Direction, 2 Featured Actor, Choreography, Orchestration, Lighting, Sound and Set.
I know I’m stretching with Set Design but the question is what would make me happy and 8-10 nominations would really make me happy. This show deserves it.
2024 Tony Predictions#141
Posted: 4/28/24 at 2:55am
bwaylyric said: "Now that the Tony committee has made its rulings, what one nomination would make you so happy to hear on Tuesdaymorning?
Mine: Here Lies Love for Best Musical
"
Chip Zien
2024 Tony Predictions#142
Posted: 4/28/24 at 4:32am
Now that I think about it, I’d really love to have Heart of RnR get some love on Tuesday. It won’t because it’s cornier than the rest (excuse the Shucked callback), but it has heart and it’s a ton of fun. Plus the show really needs it. I’m going to keep my fingers crossed.
2024 Tony Predictions#143
Posted: 4/28/24 at 10:29am
jkcohen626 said: "Dreamboy3 said: "I was sure Kara Young was a shoe in but just saw Sterophonic and Sarah Pigeon is giving the standout performance of the season."
Kara Young being passed over for the third time would be insane... but she really wasn't my favorite performance in this category. I generally admit to not like Purlie as much as everyone else, but this category does feel especially strong. I'd definitely give it to Pigeon or Benhamou over Young."
I completely agree! She was good but I wasn’t that impressed with Kara’s performance as well. Francis Benhamou was marvelous in Prayer. Her lines were insane! And on top of all the things she was saying I was totally convinced on her convictions. Her performance was so real. She was firing on all cylinders and I was captivated by her. It was as if I was eavesdropping on a conversation between two people debating behind me at a cafe.
2024 Tony Predictions#144
Posted: 4/28/24 at 10:59am
Wait, we’re talking about Kara Young not being nominated? I don’t want to live in a world where that happens.
2024 Tony Predictions#145
Posted: 4/28/24 at 11:14am
Jordan Catalano said: "Wait, we’re talking about Kara Young not being nominated? I don’t want to live in a world where that happens."
Oh no she is definitely going to be nominated. I’m not even sure if Francis Benhamou would be nominated. Kara Young and Sarah Pigeon are locks.
Broadway Star Joined: 5/19/20
2024 Tony Predictions#146
Posted: 4/28/24 at 11:49am
I am expecting a huge SURPRISE nomination that we are not expecting or oversaw. Thoughts? Wondering what could it be? (Example: Nikki M James in The Book of Mormon)
2024 Tony Predictions#147
Posted: 4/28/24 at 11:52am
Krystal Joy Brown for Merrily.
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/30/17
2024 Tony Predictions#148
Posted: 4/28/24 at 12:04pm
CoffeeBreak said: "Ubeda's performance is better than Radcliffe without saying a word. Replace Ricamora or Dixon with Ben Cook.
Ok it's clear you love Ubeda and Ilinoise but what's your problem with Radcliffe? It's the third time you look down on his performance and no matter how hard you try to make Ubeda the frontrunner in the Best Featured Actor category, he isn't because the actors in Merrily have the reviews, the success and the narrative to win, also don't forget that Broadway is very inclusive and probably Radcliffe will get votes because of his trans community support. Don't underestimate an actor to praise another
I doubt any of Dan's connections to the trans community would have anything do with his winning of a Tony. Few people even know he has any. We enjoyed his performance. We did not think it was nearly as good as Jonathan or Lindsay's. He was a serviceable fit to the group. They have a nice "narrative" for their show and as "friends" based on their characters the show.
The difference for us is Dan could be replaced with any other actor/semi-singer and no one notice the difference other than Potter fans. He helps sell the show to tourists. We saw both Dan and and an understudy. The role was much better sung with the understudy and the "friendship" just as in tact. It was made clear the glue was Groff & Mendez and the "celebrity" driver, Radcliffe. I have nothing against his performance but the better understudy made things clear.
Ubeda has a charm, undeniable talent and energy that's much harder to replace - and needs no "celebrity" to achieve that. Illinoise has the same strong "narrative" and reviews now, as does Ubeda, and recent one. It's a valid opinion.
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/4/07
2024 Tony Predictions#149
Posted: 4/28/24 at 12:28pm
These are my big "hopes."
DOWAR, along with both lead actors and a lighting nom.
Danielle Radcliffe, not that I think he will or should win, but because the Tonys have overlooked too many of his previous performances. (Note: I do thing he EARNED the nom with this performance.)
Ricky Ubeda a nom.
And BEBE!
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