Actress Predictions - 2024 Tonys — Page 2

Actually, Phylicia Rashad (in an upset) for SKELETON CREW in 2022 and then Lois Smith for THE INHERITANCE the year before.

Plus, PV has an Audible release (TBD) and the PBS airing (May 24th) that would help bring the show back into public consciousness

Falsettolands said: "quizking101 said: "Actually, Phylicia Rashad (in an upset) for SKELETON CREW in 2022 and then Lois Smith for THE INHERITANCE the year before.

Plus, PV has an Audible release (TBD) and the PBS airing (May 24th) that would help bring the show back into public consciousness"

Oh true! (Not sure I would say Lois Smith counts if we’re looking at circumstances, but I had forgotten Rashad completely)"

I actually would say it counts because THE INHERITANCE was scheduled to close early on March 15th and then the pandemic shut down the show just a few days before that. Had the awards been held that year and in June, it’ would count. (The only other mitigating factor would’ve been any other performances that would’ve potentially in contention)

quizking101 said: "I’m hanging my hat on Featured Actress - Play is Kara Young’s to lose. This is going to be her third nomination in a row in this category and I cannot imagine they aren’t going to recognize her for what was an electric performance.

Additionally, it would make her:

- the fourth actress to be nominated for Tonys in three consecutive years (Chita Rivera, Martha Plimpton, and Judith Light)

- the second actress to be nominated in that category (as well as the same category)three times in a row(after Judith Light)

- the first African American woman to be nominated three times in a row in ANYcategory."

Question: do you know if Metcalf's noms between 2016-19 is the longest streak for nominations that an actor ever received?

Falsettolands said: "quizking101 said: "I’m hanging my hat on Featured Actress - Play is Kara Young’s to lose. This is going to be her third nomination in a row in this category and I cannot imagine they aren’t going to recognize her for what was an electric performance.

Additionally, it would make her:

- the fourth actress to be nominated for Tonys in three consecutive years (Chita Rivera, Martha Plimpton, and Judith Light)

- the second actress to be nominated in that category (as well as the same category)three times in a row(after Judith Light)

- the first African American woman to be nominated three times in a row in ANYcategory."

She was turning in a career best in Purlie Victorious. I want her to take it more than anyone else this year...but I'm afraid of the usual "closed show" syndrome. When is the last time an actress took this award for a closed show? Annaleigh in 2015?"

For whatever reason, the Tonys can remember closed play performances far better than closed musical performances. If my count is correct, since 2000, the play featured categories have gone to closed shows 10 times (8 if you throw out 2020) and the musical featured categories have gone to closed shows zero times. So I wouldn't say Purlie's closing necessarily means anything. If another performance comes along in the next month that blows everyone away, then the closed show status may start to be a factor. But as of now, I still think she's the solid frontrunner.

MadsonMelo said: "quizking101 said: "I’m hanging my hat on Featured Actress - Play is Kara Young’s to lose. This is going to be her third nomination in a row in this category and I cannot imagine they aren’t going to recognize her for what was an electric performance.

Additionally, it would make her:

- the fourth actress to be nominated for Tonys in three consecutive years (Chita Rivera, Martha Plimpton, and Judith Light)

- the second actress to be nominated in that category (as well as the same category)three times in a row(after Judith Light)

- the first African American woman to be nominated three times in a row in ANYcategory."

Question: do you know if Metcalf's noms between 2016-19 is the longest streak for nominations that an actor ever received?"

I completely forgot about her. I believe she does hold the record

I can’t imagine Kritzer not getting nominated. O’Hara and Mendez will also likely be nominated, but their relatively recent wins could work against them winning (ie neither of them is overdue for a win).

Falsettolands said: "and Mendez’ consistent absences will only hurt her chances of winning, coupled with the fact that Merrily can and very will likely receive multiple nominations in this category which has historically canceled out wins."

Her absences may hurt, but the multiple nominations from the same show hasn't really hurt in this category recently. Prior to last year, it had been 4 straight years of the winner being up against someone else from their show. And she's clearly the top choice from the show--the multiple nominees from the same show factor really only comes into play when the actresses will more evenly split votes among supporters of the show (i.e. Fun Home). With Merrily, Mendez is the clear standout among the featured actresses.

Lead Actress (Musical)

• Eden Espinosa, Lempicka
• Maleah Joi Moon, Hell’s Kitchen
• Kelli O’Hara, Days of Wine & Roses
• Gayle Rankin, Cabaret
• Shaina Taub, Suffs

Updated On: 3/24/24 at 04:55 PM

It'll be really interesting to see how the Tony eligibility committee rules on performers from The Notebook. Following the Tony Shalhoub/Band's Visit precedent, I think there's a case to be made that Maryann is really the lead, despite the fact that she sings for all of what, 60 seconds? (The singing comment is not meant to be glib -- I thoroughly enjoyed Maryann's performance, both in Chicago and on Broadway, even though I have mixed feelings about the show more generally.)

I would be beyond shooked if Maryann wins Featured over Lindsay Mendez or Bebe Neuwirth. I truly believe that the only acting Award not going to Cabaret/Merrily is Actress and even that Im not sure

This incoming production of Cabaret pays closer attention to the Schneider/Schultz love affair, adding some lighter moments before the events of Act II. These playful interactions truly color their relationship a lot more than most productions that keep it grey and doomed. The result only makes the second Act all the more devastating, so my money is absolutely on Neuwirth. If she can land it, she will win #3.

akhoya87 said: "The lead and featured races just got a lot more interesting."

I actually think all this did is locked a few categories shut. I feel confident that Bebe’s got Featured Musical and Paulson’s got Actress Play.

I loved Plunkett’s performance but I don’t believe she’s a strong contender in Lead. She’ll pull the nomination, though.