I would have expected "Shrek" and "The Little Mermaid" to be hits, especially after hearing/seeing them, but flopped.
Disney expected "Tarzan" to be a hit.
Spiderman is an interesting case. If they included only the cost of the production they put up on broadway it probably was a hit. The trouble was the cost of all the re-writes, re-staging, the delays and buying out contracts leading up to the final production. It easily came in at 20 million over budget.
"Once" has to be the biggest surprise for me. Not a music style that I would think would generate buzz on broadway. Virtually non-existent plot with a sad ending, very little staging, essentially a concert. A downer ending is usually given as a reason for many flops. The sad ending was given as the reason for why "Mack & Mabel" flopped despite great music and bankable stars.
Not a sure why "Bullets over Broadway" flopped. Usually, stories about broadway work, broadway loves stories about itself. Maybe backlash against Woody Allen, maybe backlash against jukebox?
No one expected Newsies to be a hit. Flop movie, essentially resurrected to be ready for licensing, as a favor to Menken by Fierstein for pulling the composing job for "Kinky Boots" from him and giving it to Cyndi Lauper.
Updated On: 3/2/15 at 11:23 AM