Tony Award Predictions 2025

[OhHiJohnny]

Posted: 5/4/25 at 9:32am

Other than the nomination thread I didn’t see any post nomination prediction threads, so I thought I’d get the ball rolling:

Best Musical
Buena Vista Social Club
Dead Outlaw
Death Becomes Her (Dark Horse)
Maybe Happy Ending (Predicted Winner)
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical

Best Play
English
The Hills of California
John Proctor is the Villain
Oh, Mary! (Predicted Winner)
Purpose (Dark Horse, especially if the Pulitzer happens)

Best Revival of a Play
Eureka Day, Jonathan Spector (Predicted Winner)
Romeo + Juliet
Thornton Wilder's Our Town
Yellow Face, David Henry Hwang (Dark Horse)

Best Revival of a Musical
Floyd Collins, Tina Landau (book, additional lyrics) and Adam Guettel (music and lyrics)
Gypsy
Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Sunset Blvd. (Predicted Winner)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play
Laura Donnelly, The Hills of California (Dark Horse)
Mia Farrow, The Roommate
LaTanya Richardson Jackson, Purpose
Sadie Sink, John Proctor is the Villain
Sarah Snook, The Picture of Dorian Gray (Predicted Winner)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play
George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
Cole Escola, Oh, Mary! (Predicted Winner)
Jon Michael Hill, Purpose
Daniel Dae Kim, Yellow Face
Harry Lennix, Purpose
Louis McCartney, Stranger Things: The First Shadow

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical
Megan Hilty, Death Becomes Her
Audra McDonald, Gypsy
Jasmine Amy Rogers, BOOP! The Musical (Dark Horse, incase votes are otherwise split)
Nicole Scherzinger, Sunset Blvd. (Predicted Winner)
Jennifer Simard, Death Becomes Her

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical
Darren Criss, Maybe Happy Ending (Predicted Winner)
Andrew Durand, Dead Outlaw
Tom Francis, Sunset Blvd.
Jonathan Groff, Just in Time
James Monroe Iglehart, A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical
Jeremy Jordan, Floyd Collins (Dark Horse)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play
Tala Ashe, English
Jessica Hecht, Eureka Day (Predicted Winner)
Marjan Neshat, English
Fina Strazza, John Proctor is the Villain
Kara Young, Purpose (Dark Horse)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play
Glenn Davis, Purpose
Gabriel Ebert, John Proctor is the Villain
Francis Jue, Yellow Face
Bob Odenkirk, Glengarry Glen Ross
Conrad Ricamora, Oh, Mary! (Predicted Winner)

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical
Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club (Predicted Winner)
Julia Knitel, Dead Outlaw (Dark Horse)
Gracie Lawrence, Just in Time
Justina Machado, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical
Joy Woods, Gypsy

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical
Brooks Ashmanskas, SMASH
Jeb Brown, Dead Outlaw
Danny Burstein, Gypsy
Jak Malone, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical (Predicted Winner)
Taylor Trensch, Floyd Collins (Dark Horse)

Best Book of a Musical
Buena Vista Social Club, Marco Ramirez
Dead Outlaw, Itamar Moses (Dark Horse)
Death Becomes Her, Marco Pennette
Maybe Happy Ending, Will Aronson and Hue Park
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical, David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson, and Zoë Roberts (Predicted Winner)

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
Dead Outlaw, David Yazbek and Erik Della Penna
Death Becomes Her, Julia Mattison and Noel Carey
Maybe Happy Ending, Will Aronson (music and lyrics) and Hue Park (lyrics) (Predicted Winner)
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical, David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson, and Zoë Roberts (Dark Horse)
Real Women Have Curves: The Musical, Joy Huerta and Benjamin Velez

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Marsha Ginsberg, English
Rob Howell, The Hills of California
Marg Horwell and David Bergman, The Picture of Dorian Gray (Dark Horse)
Miriam Buether and 59, Stranger Things: The First Shadow (Predicted Winner)
Scott Pask, Good Night, and Good Luck

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Rachel Hauck, Swept Away
Dane Laffrey and George Reeve, Maybe Happy Ending (Dark Horse)
Arnulfo Maldonado, Buena Vista Social Club
Derek McLane, Death Becomes Her (Predicted Winner)
Derek McLane, Just in Time

Best Costume Design of a Play
Brenda Abbandandolo, Good Night, and Good Luck
Marg Horwell, The Picture of Dorian Gray (Dark Horse)
Rob Howell, The Hills of California
Holly Pierson, Oh, Mary! 
Brigitte Reiffenstuel, Stranger Things: The First Shadow (Predicted Winner) 

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Dede Ayite, Buena Vista Social Club
Gregg Barnes, BOOP! The Musical (Dark Horse)
Clint Ramos, Maybe Happy Ending
Paul Tazewell, Death Becomes Her (Predicted Winner)
Catherine Zuber, Just in Time

 

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Natasha Chivers, The Hills of California
Jon Clark, Stranger Things: The First Shadow (Predicted Winner)
Heather Gilbert and David Bengali, Good Night, and Good Luck
Natasha Katz and Hannah Wasileski, John Proctor is the Villain
Nick Schlieper, The Picture of Dorian Gray (Dark Horse)

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Jack Knowles, Sunset Blvd. (Predicted Winner)
Tyler Micoleau, Buena Vista Social Club
Scott Zielinski and Ruey Horng Sun, Floyd Collins
Ben Stanton, Maybe Happy Ending (Dark Horse)
Justin Townsend, Death Becomes Her

Best Sound Design of a Play
Paul Arditti, Stranger Things: The First Shadow (Predicted Winner)
Palmer Hefferan, John Proctor is the Villain
Daniel Kluger, Good Night, and Good Luck
Nick Powell, The Hills of California
Clemence Williams, The Picture of Dorian Gray (Dark Horse)

Best Sound Design of a Musical
Jonathan Deans, Buena Vista Social Club
Adam Fisher, Sunset Blvd. (Predicted Winner)
Peter Hylenski, Just in Time
Peter Hylenski, Maybe Happy Ending (Dark Horse)
Dan Moses Schreier, Floyd Collins

 

Best Direction of a Play
Knud Adams, English (Dark Horse)
Sam Mendes, The Hills of California
Sam Pinkleton, Oh, Mary! (Predicted Winner)
Danya Taymor, John Proctor is the Villain
Kip Williams, The Picture of Dorian Gray

Best Direction of a Musical
Saheem Ali, Buena Vista Social Club
Michael Arden, Maybe Happy Ending (Dark Horse)
David Cromer, Dead Outlaw
Christopher Gattelli, Death Becomes Her
Jamie Lloyd, Sunset Blvd.

Best Choreography
Joshua Bergasse, SMASH
Camille A. Brown, Gypsy
Christopher Gattelli, Death Becomes Her (Dark Horse)
Jerry Mitchell, BOOP! The Musical
Patricia Delgado and Justin Peck, Buena Vista Social Club (Predicted Winner)

Best Orchestrations
Andrew Resnick and Michael Thurber, Just in Time
Will Aronson, Maybe Happy Ending (Dark Horse)
Bruce Coughlin, Floyd Collins
Marco Paguia, Buena Vista Social Club (Predicted Winner)
David Cullen and Andrew Lloyd Webber, Sunset Blvd.


Let’s keep the discussion respectful, but I think there’s a lot of very tight races this year (and a lot of categories where the dark horse is a wild card that could get a majority in the case two other options split the votes too much). Excited to see how this season pans out & how all of our predictions change!

 

[bwayphreak234]

Posted: 5/4/25 at 9:46am

I agree with pretty much all your predictions!

[CoffeeBreak]

Posted: 5/4/25 at 10:16am

https://forum.broadwayworld.com/thread/The-78th-Annual-Tony-Award-Nominations-for-2025

Updated On: 5/4/25 at 10:16 AM

[MemorableUserName]

Posted: 5/4/25 at 10:32am

CoffeeBreak said: "https://forum.broadwayworld.com/thread/The-78th-Annual-Tony-Award-Nominations-for-2025

OhHiJohnny said: "Other than the nomination thread I didn’t see any post nomination prediction threads, so I thought I’d get the ball rolling:
 

[uncageg]

Posted: 5/4/25 at 10:48am

CoffeeBreak said: "https://forum.broadwayworld.com/thread/The-78th-Annual-Tony-Award-Nominations-for-2025"

 

When posting, there is a link button where you can paste the URL to make it clickable.