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The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread - HOW WELL DID U PREDICT? Scores inside!

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#1

The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread - HOW WELL DID U PREDICT? Scores inside!

Posted: 11/8/06 at 4:11pm

***************

HOW DID YOU DO? For every nominee you predicted correctly, give yourself 5 points! Add up all your points, send me a PM, and I'll post the results here!

CapnHook - 330 points

***************

It's AWARDS SEASON!

Here are my predictions as of November 6, 2006:

BEST PICTURE:

- THE DEPARTED
- DREAMGIRLS
- FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
- THE QUEEN

BEST DIRECTOR:

- Pedro Almodovar, VOLVER
- Bill Condon, DREAMGIRLS
- Clint Eastwood, FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
- Martin Scorsese, THE DEPARTED
- Steven Sodebergh, THE GOOD GERMAN

BEST ACTOR:

- Matt Damon, THE GOOD SHEPHERD
- Leonardo DiCaprio, THE DEPARTED
- Jamie Foxx, DREAMGIRLS (borderline at the moment)
- Peter O'Toole, VENUS
- Forest Whitaker, THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND

BEST ACTRESS:

- Cate Blanchett, THE GOOD GERMAN
- Penelope Cruz, VOLVER
- Judi Dench, NOTES ON A SCANDAL
- Helen Mirren, THE QUEEN
- Kate Winslet, LITTLE CHILDREN

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

- Eddie Murphy, DREAMGIRLS
- Jack Nicholson, THE DEPARTED
- Brad Pitt, BABEL
- Michael Sheen, THE QUEEN
- Mark Wahlberg, THE DEPARTED

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

- Cate Blanchett, NOTES ON A SCANDAL
- Vera Farmiga, THE DEPARTED
- Jennifer Hudson, DREAMGIRLS
- Carmen Maura, VOLVER
- Catherine O Hara, FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION





"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle

Updated On: 1/23/07 at 04:11 PM

#2

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 4:13pm

I have not seen some of the Oscar films out now, and of course there are many yet to open. I have no idea.

I wouldn't discount Diane Lane or Ben Affleck for HOLLYWOODLAND just yet.

I didn't love FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS. I thought it was well made, but not best picture material. I would stick UNITED 93 or LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE in there over FLAGS. BABEL as well.
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy." -Charlie Manson
#3

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 4:14pm

Nicole Kidman in FUR could also be a strong contender. I've heard she is quite good.
"You travel alone because other people are only there to remind you how much that hook hurts that we all bit down on. Wait for that one day we can bite free and get back out there in space where we belong, sail back over water, over skies, into space, the hook finally out of our mouths and we wander back out there in space spawning to other planets never to return hurrah to earth and we'll look back and can't even see these lives here anymore. Only the taste of blood to remind us we ever existed. The earth is small. We're gone. We're dead. We're safe." -John Guare, Landscape of the Body
#4

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 4:20pm

'The Prestige' for Adapted Screenplay, definately.
<--- the set of A Midsummer Night's Dream that I was assistant stage manager for during the 2007 season at the STNJ outdoor stage.

-Dre-
You must remember all the same that at the crux of every game is knowing when it's time to leave the table... And it's important to be artful in your exit. No turning back, you must accept the con is done... It was a ball, it was a blast. And it's a shame it couldn't last. But every chapter has to end, you must agree.
~Dirty Rotten Scoundrels~

There's a special kind of people known as show people. We live in a world full of dreams. Sometimes we're not too certain what's false and what's real. But we're seldom in doubt about what we feel.
~Curtains~

It is a far, far better thing I do, than I have ever done; it is a far, far better rest I go to, than I have ever known.
~A Tale of Two Cities ~
#5

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 4:22pm

Supporting:

Francis McDormand, FRIENDS WITH MONEY

Wish list:

Ryan Gosling, HALF NELSON
"I'm a comedian, but in my spare time, things bother me." Garry Shandling
#6

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 4:23pm

I want little miss sunshine to get nominated for something but i doubt it will. I don't think Dreamgirls will be nominated that many times esspecialy in the acting categories
#8

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 4:31pm

I don't think UNITED 93 was Oscar worthy at all.

BTW - at this point, of course, nearly all predictions are based on buzz.
"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle
#9

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 4:35pm

I second Ed Harris, and add the young woman who plays his copywriter (Diane Kruger is her name)- she gives a brilliant performance. Also - Perfume is well acted considering it's "Sweeney Todd" like storyline. I also think the film Notorious might get a couple nods.

"Oh Link...your pork is ready..." - Edna Turnblad

Updated On: 11/8/06 at 04:35 PM

#10

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 5:11pm

I haven't seen many movies this year, but my vote goes to Leo for best actor. Am I the only one who remembers the "Titanic" snub? *wipes away tear*

Updated On: 11/8/06 at 05:11 PM

#12

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 5:35pm

*sigh* michel gondry should be nominated for science of sleep but that won't happen.

that was such an underrated, overlooked gem of a film.
#14

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/8/06 at 5:38pm

it's so great. it's finally michel gondry breaking free of charlie kaufman to become his own director. it's like his "knives out" video stretched out to 90 minutes....and who said that was a bad thing?
#15

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 12:41am

I still hope for Richard Griffiths as a Best Supporting Actor...
"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle
#16

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 1:01am

In addition, I really wouldn't count out:

Bening and Clayburgh for Running For Scissors
Breslin and Carrell for Little Miss Sunshine
Streep for Prada
Palmer for Akeelah
Gosling and Epps for Half Nelson
United 93 for Best Picture and Director
and a number of acting noms for The Departed

And I am willing to predict now that unless Dreamgirls is The Second Coming, The Departed will win Best Director.
johnraymondbarker.com
#17

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 11:03am

I didn't think UNITED 93 was that good!! It was just like the Lifetime movie...WHY is everyone saying it's an Oscar contender???
"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle
#18

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 1:02pm

Well, if you are following the buzz, it is a contender. Plus, it got stunning reviews. I haven't even seen most of those films. I haven't even seen The Departed. It's ALL about buzz when it comes to predictions.
johnraymondbarker.com
#19

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 1:07pm

Can't forget BOBBY. This looks like it can be up for the Oscars too.

Updated On: 11/9/06 at 01:07 PM

#20

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 1:11pm

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, The Good German
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Helen Mirren, The Queen (she's got this in the bag)
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada (I have a feeling...)
Kate Winslet, Little Children

I'm hoping for Gretchen Mol to be nominated. With a campaign and some critics awards, it could happen.
#21

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 1:13pm

Best Actress
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Judi Dench, Notes on a Sandal
Helen Mirren, The Queen (she's got this in the bag)
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada (I have a feeling...)
Kate Winslet, Little Children

I'm hoping for Gretchen Mol to be nominated. With a campaign and some critics awards, it could happen.
#22

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 1:28pm

I'm not sure about all the Volver noms. It is not one of Almodovar's best. And I expect more noms for Little Miss Sunshine, which was one of the best reviewed films so far this year. I think it will scoop up some Golden Globes as well, though Borat is a shoo-in for the GG for Best Pictures Musical or Comedy unless Dreamgirls is a huge sensation.
"What can you expect from a bunch of seitan worshippers?" - Reginald Tresilian
#23

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 1:33pm

And let's not forget the raves for Cage and Gyllenhaal's performances in World Trade Center.
"What can you expect from a bunch of seitan worshippers?" - Reginald Tresilian
#24

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 2:25pm

when is History Boys coming out? it would be ineresting to see if that got any noms.
<--- the set of A Midsummer Night's Dream that I was assistant stage manager for during the 2007 season at the STNJ outdoor stage.

-Dre-
You must remember all the same that at the crux of every game is knowing when it's time to leave the table... And it's important to be artful in your exit. No turning back, you must accept the con is done... It was a ball, it was a blast. And it's a shame it couldn't last. But every chapter has to end, you must agree.
~Dirty Rotten Scoundrels~

There's a special kind of people known as show people. We live in a world full of dreams. Sometimes we're not too certain what's false and what's real. But we're seldom in doubt about what we feel.
~Curtains~

It is a far, far better thing I do, than I have ever done; it is a far, far better rest I go to, than I have ever known.
~A Tale of Two Cities ~
#25

re: The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread

Posted: 11/9/06 at 2:29pm

I see History Boys, For Your Consideration and Little Miss Sunshine taking ISA's as opposed to Oscars. Although Griffith's could pull out an Oscar nod I think.
"Oh Link...your pork is ready..." - Edna Turnblad

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