Ok, I'm caving and posting my full list of predictions. Genuinely can't remember the last time so many quality, well-reviewed shows opened in one season! Asterisks by who I think will win.
BEST MUSICAL
*Hamilton
School of Rock
Shuffle Along
Waitress
Spoiler: American Psycho (sub for School of Rock)
BEST PLAY
*Eclipsed
The Father
The Humans
King Charles III
REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
*The Color Purple
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me
Spring Awakening
Yes, I am predicting a tie and therefore four nominees. I hate the idea of this brilliant (and well-reviewed) Spring Awakening not getting a nomination, but I can’t see them cutting any of the other three. (I think Fiddler’s the weakest, but that whole cast & creative is Tony-bait.) Hoping that putting it in writing will work like Oprah’s Secret and make it happen. 
REVIVAL OF A PLAY
The Crucible
Long Day’s Journey into Night
Noises Off
*A View From the Bridge
LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Laura Benanti, She Loves Me
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
*Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple
Audra McDonald, Shuffle Along
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton
Predicting a tie here, too. I just don’t see which woman they’d cut since they’ve all gotten raves. Phillipa Soo has the weakest role, but I just can’t see them leaving her out in the Year Of Hamilton.
LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Alex Brightman, School of Rock
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
*Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton
Benjamin Walker, American Psycho
I think Zachary Levi will unfortunately get the shaft.
LEADNG ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Annaleigh Ashford, Sylvia
*Jessica Lange, Long Day’s Journey into Night
Lupita Nyong’o, Eclipsed
Sophie Okonedo, The Crucible
Nicola Walker, A View From the Bridge
Spoiler: Michelle Williams, Cicely Tyson
LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Fully Committed
Frank Langella, The Father
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
*Mark Strong, A View From the Bridge
Ben Whishaw, The Crucible
Spoiler: Jeff Daniels, Gabriel Byrne. Probably for Ben Whishaw. Too many very deserving actors this year.
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
*Renee Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Keala Settle, Waitress
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along
I’m predicting a J-Hud snub.
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
*Daveed Diggs, Hamilton
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton
Isaiah Johnson, The Color Purple
Billy Porter, Shuffle Along
Spoiler: Nicholas Barisch, or any of the other men in Shuffle Along. I don’t think Jonathan Groff will make it in this year. I know I’m going out on a limb with Isaiah Johnson, but I thought he was really fantastic, and I think the committee is going to honor Color Purple quite a bit.
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Megan Hilty, Noises Off
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans
Zainab Jah, Eclipsed
*Saoirse Ronan, The Crucible
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed
Spoilers: Phoebe Fox, Andrea Martin, Cassie Beck. Hell of a competitive category.
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
*Reed Birney, The Humans
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Ciarán Hinds, The Crucible
Rob McClure, Noises Off
Michael Shannon, Long Day’s Journey into Night
Rob McClure is a bit of a long shot, but he had me crying laughing so hard that I’m giving him the nom. Spoilers: John Gallagher, Jr., Arian Moayed
DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Michael Arden, Spring Awakening
*John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton
Diane Paulus, Waitress
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Joe Mantello, The Humans
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo von Hove, The Crucible
*Ivo von Hove, A View From the Bridge
CHOREOGRAPHY
Andy Blankenbueller, Hamilton
*Savion Glover, Shuffle Along
Spencer Liff, Spring Awakening
Casey Nicholaw, Tuck Everlasting
Hofesh Schecter, Fiddler on the Roof
Dames at Sea or On Your Feet as a spoiler in place of Tuck, but I think that beautiful ballet at the end will give Tuck the edge.
SCORE
Sara Bareilles, Waitress
Steve Martin & Edie Brickell, Bright Star
*Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Andrew Lloyd Webber & Glenn Slater, School of Rock
BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Roberto Aguirre-Sacasa, American Psycho
Julian Fellowes, School of Rock
Steve Martin, Bright Star
*Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
ORCHESTRATIONS
August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Joseph Joubert, The Color Purple
*Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me
Spoiler: School of Rock
SCENIC DESIGN – MUSICAL
Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
David Korins, Hamilton
David Rockwell, She Loves Me
*Walt Spangler, Tuck Everlasting
Spoiler: John Doyle, Color Purple
SCENIC DESIGN – PLAY
Derek McLane, Noises Off
Tom Pye, Long Day’s Journey Into Night
Jan Versweyveld, The Crucible
*David Zinn, The Humans
LIGHTING – MUSICAL
*Justin Townsend, American Psycho
Jane Cox, The Color Purple
Howell Binkley, Hamilton
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along
LIGHTING – PLAY
Jon Clark, King Charles III
Natasha Katz, Long Day’s Journey into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
*Jan Versweyveld, The Crucible
COSTUMES – MUSICAL
Katrina Lindsay, American Psycho
*Paul Tazewell, Hamilton
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along
Spoiler: Tuck Everlasting
COSTUMES – PLAY
Wojciech Dziedzic, The Crucible
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed
*Tom Scutt, King Charles III
Michael Krass, Noises Off
(Edited for formatting. The preview totally lied to me.)
Updated On: 5/2/16 at 03:50 PM
