I posted this on some other thread an hour ago, but with Caroline or Change, Birthday Candles, Flying Over Sunset and Intimate Apparel all moving to next season, with How I Learned to Drive likely doing the same, with Virginia Woolf and Hangmen cancelled (for now), and with several other shows (Company, Plaza Suite, The Lehman Trilogy) likely also to announce postponements for sometime between mid-fall and next spring, and with no clear return date for Broadway in sight, I think it’s more clear than ever that the following is the most likely scenario:
“ I think I called it (on some thread, a few months back)- At this point I’d bet my life (which we do anytime we leave our houses these days) that they’re clearly going to just not have the Tonys this year, and instead just do a joint awards ceremony a year from now combining both the 2019-20 and 2020-21 seasons. if the entire spring season basically gets moved to the fall or canceled, then the combined number of shows for these two years will wind up roughly equally the number of shows that had initially been scheduled for this one season.
Even if it were possible right now, no wants to have a sad mid-October awards where, for example, “The Lightning Thief” wins Best Score by default, or where there are 3 or 2 nominees in most of the musical acting categories, followed by another fairly anemic awards 7 months after that for shows that opened in the six-month period between November 2020 and April 2021.
The only thing that will make sense, with I imagine most of the spring season being staggered out between this September and next April (if we’re LUCKY, most of the houses will be filled again by this time next year), is obviously to call this year’s awards, like SXSW and Coachella, a casualty of the crisis, and do an amazing 2021 awards that will wind up largely encompassing the shows that had been scheduled for the 2020 awards anyway. ”