Tony Awards Predictions (All Categories) — Page 5
Posted: 4/30/25 at 9:35pm
NBP 2025 Tony Award Nomination Predictions
https://nextbestpicture.com/2025-tony-award-nomination-predictions/
Posted: 4/30/25 at 9:39pm
On Stage Blog
My Predictions for the 2025 Tony Award Nominations
https://www.onstageblog.com/editorials/2025/4/30/my-predictions-for-the-2025-tony-award-nominations
LOL
Honorable Mention:
Nicole Scherzinger – Sunset Blvd.
Posted: 4/30/25 at 9:43pm
Updated my predictions on the first page with my final guesses. I was really tempted to drop Mincemeat from the Best Musical category and put in Just in Time or Real Women Have Curves but I let it be. We'll see...
Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:42pm
Robbie2 said: "On Stage Blog
My Predictions for the 2025 Tony Award Nominations
https://www.onstageblog.com/editorials/2025/4/30/my-predictions-for-the-2025-tony-award-nominations
LOL
Honorable Mention:
- Nicole Scherzinger – Sunset Blvd.
"
And then there’s Natasha Hodgson from Operation Mincemeat in featured actress, which would be a legitimate prediction if she hadn’t already been ruled a lead.
Updated On: 4/30/25 at 10:42 PM
Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:57pm
One thing I don't understand. I don't see Gypsy until mid-June, so I have no personal opinion. Everyone seems to be predicting that George C Wolfe will be nominated for director, even though the critics did not admire his direction overall, and members of this board shredded it. Is it simply because you think he will get nominated because it is Gypsy or because he will get it because he is a theatre icon or because you think the nominees will actually believe they will have a revisionist view of original pinions.
I am particularly surprised because there were so many VERY well reviewed musicals whose directors will be overlooked because of his nomination.
Posted: 4/30/25 at 11:33pm
Jarethan said: "Is itsimply because you think he will get nominated because it is Gypsy or because he will get it because he is a theatre icon ."
That is why I think it'll happen. I don't think name checking happens as often at the Tonys as it does at the Emmys but I still think he's a big enough name in a big enough production to get nominated. But it wouldn't shock me if he misses due to the mixed reception to that production.
Posted: 5/1/25 at 2:45am
Play
- English
- The Hills of California
- John Proctor is the Villain
- Oh, Mary!
- Purpose
Musical
- Dead Outlaw
- Death Becomes Her
- Maybe Happy Ending
- Operation Mincemeat
- Real Woman Have Curves
Play Revival
- Eureka Day
- Glengarry Glen Ross
- Othello
- Yellow Face
Musical Revival
- Floyd Collins
- Gypsy
- Penzance! The Pirates Musical
- Sunset Boulevard
Actor in a Play
- Kit Connor — Romeo + Juliet
- Cole Escola — Oh, Mary!
- Jake Gyllenhaal — Othello
- John Michael Hill — Purpose
- Daniel Dae Kim — Yellow Face
Actress in a Play
- Laura Donnelly — The Hills of California
- Mia Farrow — The Roommate
- Latanya Richardson Jackson — Purpose
- Sadie Sink — John Proctor is the Villain
- Sarah Snook — The Picture of Dorian Grey
Actor in a Musical
- Darren Criss — Maybe Happy Ending
- Andrew Durand — Dead Outlaw
- Tom Francis — Sunset Boulevard
- Jonathan Groff — Just in Time
- Jeremy Jordan — Floyd Collins
Actress in a Musical
- Megan Hilty — Death Becomes Her
- Audra McDonald — Gypsy
- Nicole Scherzinger — Sunset Boulevard
- Helen J. Shen — Maybe Happy Ending
- Jennifer Simard — Death Becomes Her
Featured Actor in a Play
- Bill Burr — Glengarry Glen Ross
- Gabriel Ebert — John Proctor is the Villain
- Bill Irwin — Eureka Day
- Francis Jue — Yellow Face
- Conrad Ricamora — Oh, Mary!
Featured Actress in a Play
- Jessica Hecht — Eureka Day
- Marjan Neshat — English
- Fina Strazza — John Proctor is the Villain
- Amalia Yoo — John Proctor is the Villain
- Kara Young — Purpose
Featured Actor in a Musical
- Brooks Ashmanskas — Smash
- Danny Burstein — Gypsy
- Jak Malone — Operation Mincemeat
- Thom Sesma — Dead Outlaw
- Christopher Sieber — Death Becomes Her
Featured Actress in a Musical
- Natalie Venetia Belcon — Buena Vista Social Club
- Justina Machado — Real Women Have Curves
- Jinx Monsoon — Penzance! The Pirates Musical
- Bernadette Peters — Old Friends
- Joy Woods — Gypsy
Original Score
- Dead Outlaw
- Death Becomes Her
- Maybe Happy Ending
- Operation Mincemeat
- Real Women Have Curves
Musical Book
- Dead Outlaw
- Death Becomes Her
- Maybe Happy Ending
- Operation Mincemeat
- Real Women Have Curves
Direction of a Play
- The Hills of California
- John Proctor is the Villain
- Oh, Mary!
- The Picture of Dorian Grey
- Purpose
Direction of a Musical
- Dead Outlaw
- Death Becomes Her
- Maybe Happy Ending
- Operation Mincemeat
- Sunset Boulevard
Posted: 5/1/25 at 7:44am
Just musicals. Didn't have time to do the plays.
Best Musical
PREDICTION
Buena Vista Social Club
Dead Outlaw
Maybe Happy Ending
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Real Women Have Curves: The Musical*
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: BOOP! The Musical; Death Becomes Her
WHAT I’D NOMINATE
BOOP! The Musical
Buena Vista Social Club
Dead Outlaw
Maybe Happy Ending
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Best Revival of a Musical
PREDICTION
Floyd Collins*
Gypsy
Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Sunset Blvd.
*Potential displacer or additional nominee: Once Upon a Mattress
WHAT I’D NOMINATE
Elf
Gypsy
Once Upon A Mattress
Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
PREDICTION
Darren Criss, Maybe Happy Ending
Tom Francis, Sunset Blvd.
Jonathan Groff, Just In Time
Jeremy Jordan, Floyd Collins
David Hyde Pierce, Pirates! The Penzance Musical*
*Potential displacer or additional nominee: Andrew Durand, Dead Outlaw
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Darren Criss, Maybe Happy Ending
David Cumming, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Andrew Durand, Dead Outlaw
Jonathan Groff, Just In Time
David Hyde Pierce, Pirates! The Penzance Musical*
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
PREDICTION
Megan Hilty, Death Becomes Her*
Audra McDonald, Gypsy
Jasmine Amy Rogers, BOOP! The Musical
Nicole Scherzinger, Sunset Blvd.
Jennifer Simard, Death Becomes Her*
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Tatianna Córdoba, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical; Helen J Shen, Maybe Happy Ending
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Tatianna Córdoba, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical
Megan Hilty, Death Becomes Her
Natasha Hodgson, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Audra McDonald, Gypsy
Jasmine Amy Rogers, BOOP! The Musical
Jennifer Simard, Death Becomes Her
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
PREDICTION
Jeb Brown, Dead Outlaw*
Danny Burstein, Gypsy
Jak Malone, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Christopher Sieber, Death Becomes Her*
David Thaxton, Sunset Blvd.*
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Brooks Ashmanskas, SMASH; Julio Monge, Buena Vista Social Club; Michael Urie, Once Upon a Mattress
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Brooks Ashmanskas, SMASH
Jeb Brown, Dead Outlaw
Jak Malone, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Julio Monge, Buena Vista Social Club
Christopher Sieber, Death Becomes Her
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
PREDICTION
Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club
Julia Knitel, Dead Outlaw*
Justina Machado, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical
Jinkx Monsoon, Pirates! The Penzance Musical*
Lea Salonga, Stephen Sondheim’s Old Friends*
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Lesli Margherita, Gypsy; Michelle Pawk, Just In Time; Bernadette Peters, Stephen Sondheim’s Old Friends
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Isa Antonetti, Buena Vista Social Club
Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club
Julia Knitel, Dead Outlaw
Lesli Margherita, Gypsy
Zoë Roberts, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Best Director of a Musical
PREDICTION
Michael Arden, Maybe Happy Ending
David Cromer, Dead Outlaw*
Christopher Gattelli, Death Becomes Her
Robert Hastie, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical*
Jamie Lloyd, Sunset Blvd.
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Jerry Mitchell, BOOP! The Musical; George C. Wolfe, Gypsy
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Saheem Ali, Buena Vista Social Club
Michael Arden, Maybe Happy Ending
Christopher Gattelli, Death Becomes Her
Robert Hastie, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Jerry Mitchell, BOOP! The Musical
Best Choreography
PREDICTION
Jenny Arnold, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical*
Warren Carlyle, Pirates! The Penzance Musical*
Patricia Delgado and Justin Peck, Buena Vista Social Club
Christopher Gattelli, Death Becomes Her
Jerry Mitchell, BOOP! the Musical
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Shannon Lewis, Just in Time; Sergio Trujillo, Real Women Have Curves
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Jenny Arnold, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Warren Carlyle, Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Patricia Delgado and Justin Peck, Buena Vista Social Club
Christopher Gattelli, Death Becomes Her
Jerry Mitchell, BOOP! the Musical
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
PREDICTION
Will Aronson and Hue Park, Maybe Happy Ending
David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson, and Zoë Roberts, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
David Foster and Susan Birkenhead, BOOP! The Musical*
Joy Huerta and Benjamin Velez, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical
David Yazbek and Erik Della Penna, Dead Outlaw
*Potential displacer or additional nominee: Julia Mattison and Noel Carey, Death Becomes Her*
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Will Aronson and Hue Park, Maybe Happy Ending
David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson, and Zoë Roberts, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
David Foster and Susan Birkenhead, BOOP! The Musical
Joy Huerta and Benjamin Velez, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical
Julia Mattison and Noel Carey, Death Becomes Her
Best Book of a Musical
PREDICTION
Will Aronson and Hue Park, Maybe Happy Ending
David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson, and Zoë Roberts, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Itamar Moses, Dead Outlaw
Marco Pennette, Death Becomes Her*
Marco Ramirez, Buena Vista Social Club*
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Rupert Holmes, Pirates! The Penzance Musical; Bob Martin, Boop! The Musical
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Will Aronson and Hue Park, Maybe Happy Ending
David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson, and Zoë Roberts, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Itamar Moses, Dead Outlaw
Marco Pennette, Death Becomes Her
Marco Ramirez, Buena Vista Social Club
Best Orchestrations
PREDICTION
Will Aronson, Maybe Happy Ending*
Doug Besterman, Death Becomes Her*
Joseph Joubert and Daryl Waters, Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Marco Paguia, Buena Vista Social Club
Erik Della Penna, Dean Sharenow, and David Yazbek, Dead Outlaw
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Doug Besterman, BOOP! The Musical; Andrew Resnick and Michael Thurber, Just in Time
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Will Aronson, Maybe Happy Ending
Doug Besterman, BOOP! The Musical
Doug Besterman, Death Becomes Her
Joseph Joubert and Daryl Waters, Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Marco Paguia, Buena Vista Social Club
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
PREDICTION
Dane Laffrey, Maybe Happy Ending
Arnulfo Maldonado, Buena Vista Social Club*
Derek McLane, Death Becomes Her
David Rockwell, Pirates! The Penzance Musical*
Ben Stones, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Arnulfo Maldonado, Dead Outlaw; Derek McLane, Just In Time
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Dane Laffrey, Maybe Happy Ending
Arnulfo Maldonado, Buena Vista Social Club
Derek McLane, Death Becomes Her
David Rockwell, Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Ben Stones, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Best Costume Design of a Musical
PREDICTION
Dede Ayite, Buena Vista Social Club
Gregg Barnes, BOOP! The Musical
Wilberth Gonzalez and Paloma Young, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical
Ben Stones, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical*
Paul Tazewell, Death Becomes Her
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Alejo Vietti, SMASH; Catherine Zuber, Just In Time
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Dede Ayite, Buena Vista Social Club
Gregg Barnes, BOOP! The Musical
Wilberth Gonzalez and Paloma Young, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical
Ben Stones, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Paul Tazewell, Death Becomes Her
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
PREDICTION
Mark Henderson, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical*
Jack Knowles, Sunset Blvd.
Tyler Micoleau, Buena Vista Social Club
Ben Stanton, Maybe Happy Ending
Scott Zielinski, Floyd Collins*
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Heather Gilbert, Dead Outlaw; Justin Townsend, Death Becomes Her
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Heather Gilbert, Dead Outlaw
Mark Henderson, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Tyler Micoleau, Buena Vista Social Club
Ben Stanton, Maybe Happy Ending
Scott Zielinski, Floyd Collins
Best Sound Design of a Musical
PREDICTION
Adam Fisher, Sunset Boulevard*
Kai Harada, Dead Outlaw*
Peter Hylenski, Death Becomes Her
Peter Hylenski, Maybe Happy Ending
Dan Moses Schreier, Floyd Collins
*Potential displacers or additional nominees: Peter Hylenski, Just In Time; Mike Walker, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
WHOM I’D NOMINATE
Jonathan Deans, Buena Vista Social Club
Peter Hylenski, Death Becomes Her
Peter Hylenski, Maybe Happy Ending
Gareth Owen, BOOP! The Musical
Dan Moses Schreier, Floyd Collins
Posted: 5/1/25 at 8:34am
So first surprises - Othello getting snubbed.
