Tony Awards Predictions (All Categories)- Page 4

[JudyDenmark]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 9:11am

2 I’m hoping for: 

Boop somehow getting into Best Musical, and David Hyde Pierce in Leading Actor 

What I’m really hoping for is a whole lot of ties and extra nominees! 

[trentsketch]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 9:36am

Jasmine could be a spoiler winner if the Tony nominators really go for Boop. It's more likely that the nomination will be the prize for her because Sunset Boulevard and Gypsy both seemed to have stronger responses.

[Kad]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 9:49am

Nominator preferences don’t always align with the actual voters. There are plenty of productions who have received a disproportionate number of noms who end up being lucky if they win one of them. Nominators have a lot more freedom in who they honor- voters have only one pick per category. 

[binau]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:07am

If Jasmine beat both Audra and Nicole it would be one of the biggest upsets I’ve ever seen. I personally don’t see it happening. 

[FANtomFollies]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:20am

The nominations are out.https://www.timeout.com/newyork/theater/the-2025-tony-nominations

[Kad]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:21am

FANtomFollies said: "The nominations are out.https://www.timeout.com/newyork/theater/the-2025-tony-nominations"

Those are not the nominations, they are Time Out NY’s personal picks.

[FANtomFollies]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:24am

Kad said: "FANtomFollies said: "The nominations are out.https://www.timeout.com/newyork/theater/the-2025-tony-nominations"

Those are not the nominations, they are Time Out NY’s personal picks."

Oh woops. The headline is very misleading.

[trentsketch]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:28am

binau said: "If Jasmine beat both Audra and Nicole it would be one of the biggest upsets I’ve ever seen. I personally don’t see it happening."

I agree. I think people are probably imagining a parallel with Joaquina Kalukunga in Paradise Square sweeping in at the last minute. The difference is none of those nominees really came from rapturously reviewed shows and the presumed front runner's show, Caroline or Change with Sharon D Clarke, had already closed. 

We all have our favorites and who we want to win. It's a wonderful place to be when there are so many strong potential winners in so many categories. I'm personally rooting for Helen J Shen, but I'll be thrilled if she gets nominated with how crowded the category is.

[MemorableUserName]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:39am

The two I'm hoping for the most:

- Real Women Have Curves in Best Musical

- Hilty AND Simard in Lead Actress

Any other omissions I may be disappointed about, but those are the key nominations for me.

[gibsons2]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:48am

FANtomFollies said: "The nominations are out.https://www.timeout.com/newyork/theater/the-2025-tony-nominations"

I understand these are personal picks, but choosing DBH and Just in time for Best Book of Musical over Operation Mincemeat is demented. I understand the hatred towards the UK transplant which is objectively better that most of the new US musicals this year, but excluding it from the Book nomination looks really personal.

[Kad]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 10:59am

Feldman wasn't very keen on Mincemeat overall. People can simply just not vibe with shows without it being hatred or a personal grudge.

[MemorableUserName]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 11:05am

gibsons2 said: "FANtomFollies said: "The nominations are out.https://www.timeout.com/newyork/theater/the-2025-tony-nominations"

I understand these are personal picks, but choosing DBH and Just in time for Best Book of Musical over Operation Mincemeat is demented. I understand the hatred towards the UK transplant which is objectively better that most of the new US musicals this year, but excluding it from the Book nomination looks really personal."

This just tells us that you don't know the meaning of the word "objectively."

[bjh2114]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 11:17am

Kad said: "Feldman wasn't very keen on Mincemeat overall. People can simply just not vibe with shows without it being hatred or a personal grudge."

Correct. And he was VERY keen on Just in Time, which I definitely was not. The only one that really makes me raise my eyebrow is no Natalie Venetia Belcon who is giving an incredible performance but including Michelle Pawk and Bernadette Peters who are... fine.

[Mr. Wormwood]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 11:38am

gibsons2 said: "FANtomFollies said: "The nominations are out.https://www.timeout.com/newyork/theater/the-2025-tony-nominations"

I understand these are personal picks, but choosing DBH and Just in time for Best Book of Musical over Operation Mincemeat is demented. I understand the hatred towards the UK transplant which is objectively better that most of the new US musicals this year, but excluding it from the Book nomination looks really personal."

Objectively better? Why are you the final say?

[MezzA101]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 3:08pm

2025 Tony Awards Predictions: Kieran Culkin Eyes Historic Triple Crown, Latinos Take Center Stage and Star Power Could Rule Broadway Honors

 

https://variety.com/lists/2025-tony-awards-nominations-predictions/

[MemorableUserName]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 3:16pm

MezzA101 said: "2025 Tony Awards Predictions: Kieran Culkin Eyes Historic Triple Crown, Latinos Take Center Stage and Star Power Could Rule Broadway Honors

https://variety.com/lists/2025-tony-awards-nominations-predictions/"

Some very logical and believable predictions, but the increasing indications that Hilty may be left out are depressing.

 

[DanS3]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 3:20pm

I wonder why most predictions are leaving Just In Time out of Best Musical?  It got rave reviews.  I wonder if it will surprise everyone.  But what would it knock out of the top 5 slots?

[Kad]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 3:31pm

DanS3 said: "I wonder why most predictions are leaving Just In Time out of Best Musical? It got rave reviews. I wonder if it will surprise everyone. But what would it knock out of the top 5 slots?"

It’s a crowded year and the perception- not incorrectly- is that it’s the Groff show, so honoring him can be seen as honoring the show. 

[theatergoer3]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 4:02pm

Those do seem realistic.

Starting to doubt Mincemeat makes it in - it’d fit with other British transfers (largely plays). 

Still hoping for Hills of California, Dead Outlaw and Floyd Collins representation in that case. 

[MemorableUserName]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 4:48pm

I don't think Deadline's were posted.

Tony Awards Nominations Predictions 2025: Will Hollywood Rule The Day?

https://deadline.com/2025/04/tony-award-nominations-predictions-1236379808/

[djoko84]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 5:11pm

DanS3 said: "I wonder why most predictions are leaving Just In Time out of Best Musical? It got rave reviews. I wonder if it will surprise everyone. But what would it knock out of the top 5 slots?"

"Raves" are very subjective. I wouldn't call them raves at all. Check this chart:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Broadway/comments/1k9l7wn/202425_tony_season_ranking_by_reviews/#lightbox

[Kad]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 5:38pm

MemorableUserName said: "I don't think Deadline's were posted.

Tony Awards Nominations Predictions 2025: Will Hollywood Rule The Day?

https://deadline.com/2025/04/tony-award-nominations-predictions-1236379808/"

Greg Evans is not particularly good at predicting aside very obvious choices. He seems a little disconnected from the industry.

[vfd88]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 6:30pm

Does anyone know if Smash is eligible for Original Score? I've seen people say it isn't for obvious reasons, but I've also seen it listed as a contender by some reputable sources. The Tony committee didn't announce any ruling on its score, unless I missed it.

[EDSOSLO858]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 6:31pm

vfd88 said: "Does anyone know if Smash is eligible for Original Score? I've seen people say it isn't for obvious reasons, but I've also seen it listed as a contender by some reputable sources. The Tony committee didn't announce any ruling on its score, unless I missed it."

It is not. 

[MezzA101]

Posted: 4/30/25 at 6:36pm

Think You Know Who's Going to Win the 2025 Tonys? Take the Challenge'

 

https://www.billboard.com/music/awards/tony-awards-challenge-fans-predict-2025-tony-awards-1235958655/