Posted: 4/26/25 at 11:37am
Does anyone think there’s a chance that Mincemeat is left out of the Best Musical category? I certainly enjoyed it but I don’t know that it’s the lock many people are thinking it is…?
Posted: 4/26/25 at 11:45am
musicthatmakesmedance said: "Does anyone think there’s a chance thatMincemeatis left out of the Best Musical category? I certainly enjoyed it but I don’t know that it’s the lock many people are thinking it is…?"
I think it's possible but not likely to miss. I honestly think Maybe Happy Ending is the only 100% complete lock in that category.
Posted: 4/26/25 at 2:21pm
Posted: 4/27/25 at 8:28am
As of Sunday (pre-final committee meeting hopefully)
Winner prediction in bold
Best Musical -
Maybe Happy Ending
Operation Mincemeat
Dead Outlaw
Death Becomes Her
Buena Vista Social Club
RU: Real Women Have Curves
Best Play
Oh, Mary !
English
Purpose
John Proctor is the Villain
The Hills of California
RU: Cult of Love
Best Revival of a Musical
Sunset Blvd.
Gypsy
Pirates!
Floyd Collins
RU: Once Upon a Mattress
Best Revival of a Play
Eureka Day
Yellow Face
Glengarry Glenn Ross
Othello ?
RU: R&J
Best Actress in a Musical
Audra McDonald
Nicole Scherzinger
Megan Hilty
Jasmine Amy Rogers
Helen J Shen
RUs: Jennifer Simard, Robyn Hurder, Idina Menzel
Best Actor in a Musical
Tom Francis
Darren Criss
Jeremy Jordan
Jonathan Groff
Andrew Durand
RUs: James Monroe Igleheart, David Hyde Pierce
Best Actress in a Play
Sarah Snook
Laura Donnelly
Mia Farrow
Sadie Sink
LaTanya Richardson Jackson
Best Actor in a Play
Cole Escola
George Clooney
Daniel Dae Kim
Jake Gyllenhaal
Jim Parsons
RU: Denzel Washington
Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Joy Woods
Natalie Venetia Belcon
Grace Hodgett Young
Jordan Tyson or Lesli Margherita
Zoe Roberts
RUs: Bernadette Peters, Julia Knitel, Justina Machado, Caroline Bowman, Jinkx Monsoon
Best Featured Actor in A Musical
Jak Malone
David Thaxton
Danny Burstein
Christopher Sieber
Thom Sesma
RUs: Ramin Karimloo, Brooks Ashmanskas, Taylor Trensch, Jeb Brown, Jason Gotay
Best Featured Actress (Play)
Kara Young
Jessica Hecht
Bianca Leigh
Marjan Neshat
Fina Strazza/Amalia Yoo
RUs: Ophelia Lovibond, Helena Wilson, Leanne Best, Tala Ashe, Alana Arenas
Best Featured Actor in a Play
Bill Burr
Conrad Ricamora
Kieran Culkin
Bob Odenkirk
Bill Irwin
RU: James Scully, Francis Jue, Glenn Davis
Best Director of A Musical
Jamie Lloyd
George C. Wolf
Michael Arden
David Cromer.
Robert Hastie
RU: Christopher Gattelli
Best Director of A Play
Sam Pinkleton
Stephen Daldry and Justin Martin
Danya Taymor
Sam Mendes
Phylicia Rashad
RU: Patrick Marber, David Cromer
Best Score
Maybe Happy Ending
Operation Mincemeat
Dead Outlaw
Death Becomes Her
Boop
RU: Real Women Have Curves
Best Book
Maybe Happy Ending
Dead Outlaw
Operation Mincemeat
Death Becomes Her
Boop!
RU: Real Women Have Curves
Best Choreography
Sunset Blvd.
Pirates!
Gypsy
Buena Vista Social Club
Smash
RUs: Death Becomes Her
Updated On: 4/27/25 at 08:28 AM
Posted: 4/28/25 at 12:24am
The Tony awards nominations will always be full of surprises and sometimes have WTF moments so I think I’ll just go out on a limb and sprinkle some left of field choices and unpopular omissions.
Best Musical
Maybe Happy Ending
Buena Vista Social Club
Dead Outlaw
Operation Mincemeat
Real Women Have Curves
Best Play
Purpose
English
John Proctor is the Villain
Oh Mary!
The Hills of California
Revival of a Musical
Gypsy
Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Sunset Blvd.
Floyd Collins
Revival of a Play
Eureka Day
Glengarry Glen Ross
Our Town
Yellow Face
Lead Actor in a Musical
Jeremy Jordan, Floyd Collins
Darren Criss, Maybe Happy Ending
David Cumming, Operation Mincemeat
Tom Francis, Sunset Blvd.
Jonathan Groff, Just in Time
Lead Actress in a Musical
Audra McDonald, Gypsy
Nicole Scherzinger, Sunset Blvd.
Megan Hilty, Death Becomes Her
Jennifer Simard, Death Becomes Her
Tatianna Cordoba, Real Women Have Curves
Natasha Hodgson, Operation Mincemeat
Featured Actor in a Musical
Jak Malone, Operation Mincemeat
David Thaxton, Sunset Blvd.
Danny Burstein, Gypsy
Jeb Brown, Dead Outlaw
Brooks Ashmanskas, Smash
Featured Actress in a Musical
Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club
Justina Machado, Real Women Have Curves
Clair Marie-Hall, Operation Mincemeat
Zoe Roberts, Operation Mincemeat
Jinkx Monsoon, Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Lead Actor in a Play
Cole Escola, Oh Mary!
Jake Gyllenhaal, Othello
George Clooney, Good Night and Good Luck
Kit Connor, Romeo + Juliet
Jon Michael Hill, Purpose
Lead Actress in a Play
Sarah Snook, The Picture of Dorian Gray
Mia Farrow, The Roommate
LaTanya Richardson Jackson, Purpose
Sadie Sink, John Proctor is the Villain
Laura Donnelly, The Hills of California
Featured Actor in a Play
Conrad Ricamora, Oh Mary!
Bill Burr, Glengarry Glen Ross
Bill Irwin, Eureka Day
Francis Jue, Yellow Face
Bob Odenkirk, Glengarry Glen Ross
Featured Actress in a Play
Jessica Hecht, Eureka Day
Bianca Leigh, Oh Mary!
Amalia Yoo, John Proctor is the Villain
Alana Arenas, Purpose
Kara Young, Purpose
Original Score
Dead Outlaw
Maybe Happy Ending
Operation Mincemeat
Death Becomes Her
Real Women Have Curves
Book of a Musical
Operation Mincemeat
Maybe Happy Ending
Dead Outlaw
Death Becomes Her
Real Women Have Curves
Direction of a Musical
Jamie Lloyd, Sunset Blvd.
David Cromer, Dead Outlaw
George C. Wolfe, Gypsy
Michale Arden, Maybe Happy Ending
Robert Hastie, Operation Mincemeat
Direction of a Play
Sam Pinkleton, Oh Mary!
Knud Adams, English
Danya Taymor, John Proctor is the Villain
Phylicia Rashad, Purpose
Steven Daldry and Justin Martin, Stranger Things
Posted: 4/28/25 at 5:33pm
Is anyone finding it surprising that, despite there being a sizable number of really well-reviewed musicals and revivals this season -- and how long has it been since we have had so many well reviewed musicals that will not be nominated for best musical -- there is only one of them that is not regularly at TKTS.
That is Just in Time, which is probably due to Jonathan Groff's draw; and it is probably not clear at this point whether that will continue as long as Groff is in the show or whether it will die down once his mega-fans have seen the show?
In any event, this season does not appear to have opened a single musical that will 'obviously' have real Broadway legs, i.e., run a minimum of three years with profitable business, and return its investment and make at least a decent return on its investment. Not a 'smash' among them, no pun intended.
I am sure that I am coming across as a doomsayer, but I just find it really disappointing.
Posted: 4/28/25 at 6:02pm
Jarethan said: "Is anyone finding it surprising that, despite there being a sizable number of really well-reviewed musicals and revivals this season -- and how long has it been since we have had so manywell reviewed musicals that will not be nominated for best musical -- there is only one of them that isnot regularly at TKTS.
That is Just in Time, which is probably due to Jonathan Groff's draw;and it is probably not clear at this point whether that will continue as long as Groff is in the show or whether it will die down once his mega-fans have seen the show?
In any event, this season does not appear to have opened a single musical that will 'obviously' have real Broadway legs, i.e., run a minimum of three years with profitable business, and return its investment and make at least a decent return on its investment.Not a 'smash' among them, no pun intended.
I am sure that I am coming across as a doomsayer, but I just find it really disappointing.
"
I feel like it sort of makes sense. Last year was full of big IP shows - Back to the Future, The Great Gatsby, The Notebook, Hell's Kitchen (Alicia Keys), The Outsiders. Aside from HK and The Outsiders, none were big critical successes but all except The Notebook have/had pretty solid runs.
This year is a lot more niche which will lead to better critical notices but less interest from the general public. So I feel like it all tracks.
Posted: 4/28/25 at 9:29pm
I think Mr. Wormwood is correct. On the Friday night of my recent visit, we were having dinner, and in walked a huge group of high schoolers, parents and teachers. What were they seeing afterwards? The Great Gatsby, of course. They read it in school, I’m sure.
Another group at our hotel, definitely a musical theater contingent, was seeing Cabaret.
This year’s new musicals, even the ones based on comparatively obscure films, all feel like they’re climbing a hill. And then they are competing with Denzel Washington and George Clooney, among other familiar names.
Operation Mincemeat may have won the Olivier, but it’s a musical with no names or a familiar story to most people. Maybe Happy Ending started from nothing. Same with Dead Outlaw. Or Boop! Real Women Have Curves has hurdles as well even if people remember the movie. I could go down the list. I saw 6 shows the week I was here and it would have been easy to add 3 or 4 more.
I am not convinced that Maybe Happy Ending can’t have a decent run if it wins Best Musical but it may, like a lot of Best Musical winners during the last decade (assuming it wins) not be the type of show to play for years.
Last year’s musicals had a lot of familiar IP. This year’s do not. And the depth of this season, with something for everyone, may work against one show managing to break out. Or maybe it’s just the sort of year when nothing captures the broader public’s imagination. It’s a tough business.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 2:25am
I guess because I myself have niche theatre interests I personally don't mind that we don't have another 'mega hit'. I don't want the real estate clogged up for years, and I tend to gravitate towards the smaller shows anyway.
As long as the box office is healthy enough to convInce investors to keep losing their money, I'm happy - and I think this season has given plenty reason for investors to part their money in future. This season has proven that a 'little artistic show' (Maybe Happy Ending) can build an audience from nothing, that you can revive a legendary show for the 35th time (Gypsy) and still get people in the door, that a scrappy little British show with no names can generate some interest (Operation Mincemeat), that there is such thing as a real theatre star who can sell tickets even today (Just In Time), that Sondheim can sell (Old Friends), that the law of a-list celebrities selling tickets still stands (Othello & Clooney play), that you can create an event and have a decent run with someone who isn't really a 'star' but becomes a star in the role (Nicole S). It may not be enough for any of these shows to actually turn a profit, but it's enough to keep people excited that they could at the beginning.
There is very little collateral damage this season (Dead Outlaw, Boop). Even 'The Last Five Years' is doing ok business.
Overall, I think it's been one of the strongest and most exciting seasons we've ever had.
Updated On: 4/29/25 at 02:25 AM
Posted: 4/29/25 at 7:28am
Jesse Green: Who Should Be a Tony Awards Nominee in 2025?
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/theater/critic-tony-awards-nominees.html?unlocked_article_code=1.DU8.9Ia_.qQYg-D1tWxyT&smid=nytcore-android-share
Posted: 4/29/25 at 8:25am
WOW. Jesse Green suggesting he doesn't think Sunset, Jamie Lloyd or Nicole should even be NOMINATED?
As if I couldn't think less of him, at this point Jesse Green has 0 credibility in my opinion as a theatre critic. Worthless and embarrassing that the NYT has him. I want Ben Brantley back.
Updated On: 4/29/25 at 08:25 AM
Posted: 4/29/25 at 8:27am
Well… Green has certainly made it clear which productions he does not like.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 8:42am
I just went back and re-read Green’s DBH review and forgot how positive it was despite not being a critic’s pick. Meanwhile, he seems to have soured a bit on Redwood.
Also interesting that despite being a huge MHE fan, he only nominates Criss.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 11:26am
MezzA101 said: "Jesse Green: Who Should Be a Tony Awards Nominee in 2025?
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/theater/critic-tony-awards-nominees.html?unlocked_article_code=1.DU8.9Ia_.qQYg-D1tWxyT&smid=nytcore-android-share"
What a joke.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 11:28am
Jarethan said: "That is Just in Time, which is probably due to Jonathan Groff's draw;and it is probably not clear at this point whether that will continue as long as Groff is in the show or whether it will die down once his mega-fans have seen the show?"
I don't think Operation Mincemeat has been on TKTS very often, but that seems to be part of a strategy to avoid offering advance discounts (though there are some affordable regular-price tickets).
Posted: 4/29/25 at 11:46am
When's the "Meet the Nominees" press junket this year? The day of nominations?
Posted: 4/29/25 at 12:09pm
EDSOSLO858 said: "When's the "Meet the Nominees" press junket this year? The day of nominations?
"
Haven't kept track post-pandemic, but usually it is the following day.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 12:12pm
I wouldn't take Jessie Green's "Who Should be a Tony Nominee" article too seriously. By including productions and performances that aren't even Tony eligible, it's really just a puff piece indicating his personal favorites of the New York season. No Tony nominator is going to be influenced by his exclusions.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 12:39pm
Green's exclusion of Operation Mincemeat almost everywhere and inclusion of Redwood in choreography are particularly outlandish. I don't claim to have a crystal ball, but even with lots of uncertainty, its certain the nominations will look nothing like his picks.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 12:49pm
I think it’s fair at this point to say that Green gets off a bit on being contrarian or trying to appear to have surprising takes, so his opinions on shows or who should win awards are not something to be taken super seriously.
I think this was the season where the Times relinquished any serious cred it has in critics to Vulture’s Sara Holdren—who is the true person leading the charge in theater criticism right now.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 12:51pm
I also don't understand how he can give Redwood a critic's pick but then also not believe it should have many nominations. I think my issue with Jesse Green is he seems irrational and unpredictable to me. I just don't get him. He gives out far too many critics picks but not to the shows that deserve it - BUT THEN he doesn't even stand behind the shows he is championing? He is the one that made strange comparisons between Sunset Boulevard, Tammy Faye and Cinderella as if Sunset Boulevard belongs in the same category. He was the only one that didn't give seem to enjoy the Patti Company. In some ways maybe he is a perfect critic because all I need to know whether I will enjoy something or not is look at Jesse Green's views and assume I will believe the opposite.
Whereas Ben Brantley was a lot easier to understand, starting with his deep love and diva worship, his deep love of Sondheim. It kind of all made sense. Jesse Green is like Alice Ripley's smile in next to normal - a bit off.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 12:52pm
QueenAlice said: "I wouldn't take Jessie Green's "Who Should be a Tony Nominee" article too seriously. By including productions and performances that aren't even Tony eligible, it's really just a puff piece indicating his personal favorites of the New York season. No Tony nominator is going to be influenced by his exclusions."
I agree. These are some of THE WORST predictions. It was clear from his review he dislikes SUNSET as a show even before this production. There is a lot of mess in this article. His taste is off even with theater being subjective.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 12:57pm
MezzA101 said: "Jesse Green: Who Should Be a Tony Awards Nominee in 2025?
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/theater/critic-tony-awards-nominees.html?unlocked_article_code=1.DU8.9Ia_.qQYg-D1tWxyT&smid=nytcore-android-share"
Bro lost the last crumbs of credibility with this list (if he ever had any). Erratic and illogical. Reminds me of someone in politics.
Are there no consequences anymore at NYT to come up with absurd stuff like that? Because if so, any opinionated random redditor can write similar articles for NYT and get away with it.
Updated On: 4/29/25 at 12:57 PM
Posted: 4/29/25 at 1:16pm
Year after year, I hate that's it's referred to as "should be Tony nominees" and then includes non-eligible productions and non-existant categories. So. Dumb.
Just call it your personal awards and be done with it. It has nothing to do with the Tonys.
Posted: 4/29/25 at 1:22pm
I don't see how this article of what he would nominate means he loses credibility. He's upfront that these would be his choices, his opinion. He didn't care for Sunset or Mincemeat, their exclusion makes sense.
You don't have to agree with him but his job as a critic is to form opinions, not explain other people's.
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