I just realized that if LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA wins Best Picture, Paul Haggis will have written three Best Picture winners in a row. Wow.
That may be a first, Priest, if it happens.
Unless Joseph Mankiewicz did it in the '40s/'50s. I'd have to check.
Regardless, he's about as high up on the "hot" list as anyone can get.
If I'm not mistaken, I read last year that Paul Haggis was the very first person to write back-to-back Best Pictures.
Beack-to-back-to-back would just be crazy.
Mankiewicz actually won back-to-back writing AND back-to-back directing Oscars for 1949 and 1950.
A Letter to Three Wives
All About Eve
Four Oscars in two years! He never won three in a row, though.
http://imdb.com/name/nm0000581/awards
EDIT: BUT... A Letter to Three Wives wasn't a Best Picture winner, so I guess you're right!
Haggis collaborated with someone else for Letters from Iwo Jima's story. He didn't write the screenplay. I doubt his Japanese is strong enough for that.
Good point. That reminds me many years ago, they used to split the category into "Original Story" and "Original Screenplay," then "Adapted Screenplay."
I kinda like the extra category of "Original Story." Back when stories mattered more.
The Academy actually valued story-telling as its own area of recognition.
I'm just happy I don't have to go on a rampage through Hollywood now that Abigail Breslin got nominated.
Who's gonna win Best Picture?
The Departed?
The Queen will be awarded with Best Actress and possibly Best Original Screenplay and while most loved the film, it seems like most found Mirren's performance to be the crowning (no pun intended) achievement of the actual piece.
Letters From Iwo Jima seems to be too obvious of a choice if that makes any sense. And it seems doubtful to me that they would award ANOTHER Eastwood flick. I don't know, it just seems like it's more apt to win in the technical categories.
Little Miss Sunshine, like Sideways, is probably the most worthy of the bunch and if I was voting, I'd vote for it but is it "too small" to actually win?
And Babel has voters spilt. It has a great deal of detractors as well as supporters and I think a win is a pretty far reach at this point. Most seem to love it or hate it and (although that WAS the situation with Crash last year), I don't think a shocker like that will happen again.
I think, by default, The Departed will win. I mean, don't get me wrong, I loved The Departed but I would vote for Sunshine if I was an Oscar voter...
Actually, I'd probably pencil in a little box and write "Dreamgirls" next to it and cross it off...
But in all seriousness, what do you think will take the top prize of the night?
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/23/05
Well at least there are TWO musicals that are nominated this year!
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/20/04
The thing about Iwo Jima was that it was originally going for that Foreign Film vibe. That's how it was at the Golden Globes, yet, for a few reasons (and it was filmed on American soil), it was ruled as an American film.
And as has been mentioned a few times, Dreamgirls probably got a lot of votes, but only films ranked #1 or #2 get nominated. If Dreamgirls got a million votes but was ranked #3, too bad.
I find it terribly sad that such great films like HALF NELSON and COME EARLY MORNING don't get many (or any) Oscar nods but absolutely awful films like CLICK, POSEIDON, and PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN 2 get nominations. I mean, I know they are practically just "fillers" to fill up the nominations for their respective categories but...I don't know. I mean, if it was up to me, the nominees for Best Picture would be DREAMGIRLS, HALF NELSON, THE DEPARTED, LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE, and LITTLE CHILDREN with COME EARLY MORNING possibly taking THE DEPARTED's slot. I know it's no use harping on the nominees but that's just how I feel...
I should see a shrink about all these Oscar snubs...
They're not "fillers." If HALF NELSON and COME EARLY MORNING had impressive sound mixing, special effects, and makeup designs, they would have been nominated too.
Just because you know little to nothing (or care nothing at all) about special effects or makeup doesn't mean that it's not a HUGE achievement to be nominated.
And how could you possibly say that LITTLE CHILDREN should have been nominated for best picture? LITTLE CHILDREN has an impeccable screenplay (adapted from a wonderful novel) with some fantastic performances. There's no achievement in the film itself - the achievement was had and celebrated when the story was fabricated and the story was written. The film brings nothing new to the story - and they took an easy way out by having a cheap omniscient narrator narrate almost the entire thing, a la Wisteria Lane. I loved LITTLE CHILDREN, but it's not an achievement in filmmaking. There's a difference between a wonderful adaptation (THANK YOU FOR SMOKING, THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA, LITTLE CHILDREN) and an absolutely stunning achievement in film (BABEL, UNITED 93, IWO JIMA, etc.) Agree?
And I don't know how you could say something like "BABEL has voters split." What, are you tapping their phones? Are you reading their e-mails? Are you friends with a few of them? How do you know? And didn't you say DREAMGIRLS was an absolute lock and would vie with THE DEPARTED for best picture? I mean, I don't mean to harp on the past, but you're also so sure, always so sure in a "trust me: I know - this is the way it is" sort of way. But really...just admit it - you don't know ANY more about this race than I do, or anybody else. Right? Or am I wrong, and are you in the LA scene with all the voters? Because believe me - I would like to actually be proven wrong here.
Sorry for that rant. I like you, wicked, I swear.
And as far as BABEL goes, I was incredibly moved by it. By Barazza and by Kikuchi - I absolutely cried. What brilliant, stirring performances in what probably should win the Oscar for best picture.
"I also loved Dench in "Notes on a Scandal" but let's face it. The Dame has moved herself into the same category as Meryl Streep. She will never win an onother oscar because the people, studios, academy and anyone who has eyes can tell these women could do this in their sleep.
Mirren was outstanding in "The Queen". A master performance. I hate when people assume someone has to chew the scenery to qualify good acting. Her performance is quiet and sublime. She deserves every award she gets. Blanchett was great in "Scandal" but the role was not a real departure for her (as far as range). Kikuchi was incredible. Such a strange and fascinating performance. Let's not forget Adriana Barraza, who gave Babel its heart. "
Ciaron, I could not agree more. THANK YOU FOR SAYING THAT FOR ME!!!!!!!!!
Putting this here, too:
Ahoy there BroadwayWorld.com mateys,
Whether you are an Oscar forecaster or just a guessing-for-fun type, I invite you to join the BroadwayWorld.com Oscar Pool. It's free, fast, and easy to join!
The Pool is hosted by the LA Times' Oscar website, TheEnvelope.com. To register for our private BWW.com Oscar Pool, click on the following link:
http://roadtogold.theenvelope.com/MakePicks.aspx?ShowID=4&PoolID=214
Choose your pick for who you think will win come Oscar night for each category. You can change your vote up until Oscar night!
See how you compare with other BWW.com voters and have fun!
Good luck!
PS: Winner gets a cookie!
I'd be sort of disappointed if The Departed wins Best Picture in lieu of a win for Scorcese in the Best Director category, and I'd be really surprised if the film took both. I don't think that it actually was the best film of the year -- as someone said earlier, a very, very solid genre film, but not exactly ground-breaking. It was, in my opinion, impeccably directed, though. I wouldn't see it was a front-runner for Picture, but who knows?
I'm surprised Abagail Breslin go a nod. Not that she wasn't great(I watched LMS a few days ago) but, I thought she would be overlooked.
Updated On: 1/23/07 at 11:07 PM
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/3/04
I wanted to list who I would vote for if I was voting. This is not who will win, of course.
PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:
Forest Whitaker - THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND
(no one else touches the fullness of his characterization. A masterclass in acting)
PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
Jackie Earle Haley - LITTLE CHILDREN
(heartbreaking performance from an almost forgotten actor)
PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE:
Helen Mirren - THE QUEEN
(she has no equal this year)
PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESSS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
Jennifer Hudson - DREAMGIRLS
(sentimental vote...the other actors are better actors, but she's won me over)
ACHIEVEMENT IN ART DIRECTION:
PAN'S LABYRINTH
ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY:
PAN'S LABYRINTH
ACHIEVEMENT IN COSTUME DESIGN:
THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA
ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING:
LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA
(most difficult film to direct, and he does a wonderful job)
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:
IRAQ IN FRAGMENTS
(important film...perhaps the most politically important film of the year)
ACHIEVEMENT IN FILM EDITING:
BABEL
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM OF THE YEAR:
PAN'S LABYRINTH
ACHIEVEMENT IN MAKEUP:
PAN'S LABYRINTH
ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC WRITTEN FOR MOTION PICTURES (ORIGINAL SCORE):
BABEL
(if Notes on a Scandal wins, I'm going to scream)
ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC WRITTEN FOR MOTION PICTURES (ORIGINAL SONG):
"Love You I Do" - DREAMGIRLS
(better fit the story than the other two)
BEST MOTION PICTURE OF THE YEAR:
BABEL
(more important and incisive commentary than Iwo Jima)
ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND EDITING:
LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA
ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND MIXING:
DREAMGIRLS
ACHIEVEMENT IN VISUAL EFFECTS:
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MAN'S CHEST
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
NOTES ON A SCANDAL
(for all its faults, this is an amazing adaptation
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
PAN'S LABYRINTH
(best film of the year, and mainly because of its beautiful screenplay)
I don't understand the hubbub surrounding the BABEL score.
The only truly moving piece of music in the entire score is not original. He did not write it. But I bet no one knows that.
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/23/05
Well the first time I saw BABEL during the whole movie I kept thinking to myself "this is really a great score".
During what points? I listen to the soundtrack all the time, and it doesn't do anything for me.
Go on itunes and listen to the 30 second clips. Tell me which ones you like, and I will listen to them.
I'm not being a bitch, I'm being dead serious.
Then why do you listen to the soundtrack all the time?
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/23/05
I will later tonight, I am doing something else on itunes right now. But I do remember really liking the guitar solos.
Because I really like the non-Original music.
The original guitar music is good as well - and to be honest, it probably IS the best of the score nominees. They are kind of abominable.
Glass' score for NOTES ON A SCANDAL is not great, and I'm a huge Phlip Glass fan. He should have been nominated for THE ILLUSIONIST instead.
Desplat's score for THE QUEEN is so. boring. He should have been nominated for his tremendous THE PAINTED VEIL score. So wonderful.
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/23/05
I thought for sure that THE PAINTED VEIL would win. I am really suprised that it wasn't even nominated. But out of the nominees I would say BABEL has the best.
Wow--this is twice in a row we agree, munk.
You know, WickedRocks, the folks who do the technical work are just as worthy as any Streep or Mirren.
Broadway Star Joined: 10/15/06
I'm surprised nobody has mentioned Pan's Labyrinths brilliant score!! It needs to win! If you have not heard it go to the official website and they let you listen to the entire thing.
(No I do not work for Guillermo del Toro =)
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