BROADWAY CLOSINGS - can you call it? What's next to go?- Page 2

[dramamama611]

Posted: 5/4/11 at 6:01pm

TEN years? Really? Pretty high expectations -- aren't there only 3 currently playing now that have surpassed that? Not too many shows get there.

I have no feelings on the show at all -- but even lots of really successful and "hot" shows run their course in 2 to 3 years.

[Barney Stinson]

Posted: 5/4/11 at 7:29pm

5 years is a solid guess for BoM, I'd say. Producers ran for ~6 years, Spamalot for ~4, Avenue Q for ~6 years. Seems like the smash comedies only last about 5-6 years.

[JP2]

Posted: 5/4/11 at 7:32pm

Hairspray was 6 1/2 as well.

[Kalimba]

Posted: 5/4/11 at 7:36pm

Mamma Mia seems to be doing well without all the nominations. Although it wasn't my favorite, I think Priscilla will fare well, too.

[quizking101]

Posted: 5/4/11 at 8:53pm

I don't think PRISCILLA is going down in flames like everyone says it will, it has at least until January (since, isn't the EVITA revival eyeing the Palace?)

BABY IT'S YOU, WONDERLAND, ARCADIA, and BENGAL TIGER will all hit the skids very soon (By the end of the month).

BORN YESTERDAY may have a chance, and with Nina Arianda's nomination, they may hold out until at least the Awards.

In old news...
MILLION DOLLAR QUARTET seems to be the cockroach that just won't die. It'll close when it closes. Even with sh!t weeks, it still holds on (because of it's obscenely low nut).

[mjroberts93]

Posted: 5/4/11 at 9:18pm

I think WONDERLAND will close some time mid-summer. BORN YESTERDAY has about a month or so. Same with ARCADIA. MILLION DOLLAR QUARTET will close sometime in July.

[Pammylicious]

Posted: 5/5/11 at 11:21am

I don't know why MILLION DOLLAR QUARTET is making some of your lists. I was at last night's performance ( 7 pm on Wed) and it was around 90% capacity in the orchestra. I really liked the show and so did the many grannies who were standing up and dancing to the music they remembered so much. The cast was terrific.

These jukebox musicals seem to survive because of the very low overhead, remember no orchesra = lot less salaries.

M$4 doesn't even have to pay for a full back, the performers are the band.

[Just_John]

Posted: 5/5/11 at 11:35am

For Sweeney Todd all the performers were getting paid two salaries. One through equity and one through the musicians union. I don't know if it's the same for Million Dollar Quartet but I would assume it is if they take the place of the band.

[Okayfine]

Posted: 5/5/11 at 10:13pm

In response to the posts about length of run: having a run of 10 years is very uncommon. CW has it that a "good run" is a few years or so. Honestly, a good run is "however long it takes to make back what it costs to mount the show"! Or at least build a name so money can be made on the road.

[Testing1232]

Posted: 5/6/11 at 12:04am

<< BABY IT'S YOU, WONDERLAND, ARCADIA, and BENGAL TIGER will all hit the skids very soon (By the end of the month).

Not sure about the others that you mentioned, but I would be very surprised if "Wonderland" closed by the end of the month-- The show draws alot of tourists and families, and had a great
"Spring Break" week--- I expect the same to happen during Memorial weekend- Their attendance has not been that bad- The show seems to have found an audience despite the brutal reviews.

[dramamama611]

Posted: 5/6/11 at 3:27am

But all shows get a big bump on holidays -- when they can't get in to the high interest shows, they'll buty tickets for anything because it was in the plans to "see a broadway show".

To question whether or not the performers get paid, I'll throw this in the fire for discussion: Perhaps the difference would be that MDQ was WRITTEN to be performed by the cast as they are playing musicians and Sweeney was not. It was a director's CONCEPT that had the actor's play the music, not the book.

I don't have any information about that, just kind of thinking "out loud" as it were.

[Unknown User]

Posted: 5/11/11 at 8:05am

And the prize goes to QuzKing.

Quiz king and I- correct so far.



https://www.broadwayworld.com/article/WONDERLAND-to-Close-on-Broadway-Plays-Final-Show-May-15-20110510

Wonderland is the first to go.

Surprised that so many of you said it will last through the summer.


Updated On: 5/11/11 at 08:05 AM

[orangeskittles]

Posted: 5/11/11 at 8:15am

"For Sweeney Todd all the performers were getting paid two salaries. One through equity and one through the musicians union. I don't know if it's the same for Million Dollar Quartet but I would assume it is if they take the place of the band."

No. They figured out which of the two union salaries would be more and that is the one they got. They didn't get both.

[wonkit]

Posted: 5/11/11 at 9:43am

And, for the 623rd time, ARCADIA is a limited run until June 19th. Predicting its closing is like predicting that the sun will come up in the morning...

[Unknown User]

Posted: 5/11/11 at 10:31am

well wonkit, some people think that after May 21st, 2011- the sun will not rise again. It's the apocalypse, the end of days, I think Jesus is visiting us...or something like that.

It's causing panic....

it's like Y2K. And we all know how that went.
Updated On: 5/11/11 at 10:31 AM

[choitoy]

Posted: 5/11/11 at 3:27pm

Finally got around to checking this thread out. I saw a lot of people put "Wonderland", but many put it to lasting the summer. I kinda expected this too, but I guess a shutout at the Tonys was the kiss of death for this show. I'm guessing of the non-limited run shows, "Baby It's You" would be next. I'm not sure after that, but I can see "How To Succeed..." pulling a "Promises, Promises" and closing up shop after Daniel is gone.

[wonkit]

Posted: 5/11/11 at 3:43pm

You know, taboo, I forgot about that. But I thought BWW would survive the end of the world... or maybe cause it.

lol

[nexttotheheights]

Posted: 5/11/11 at 4:56pm

"Not sure about the others that you mentioned, but I would be very surprised if "Wonderland" closed by the end of the month"

Oops... Wonderland closing May 15th

[Unknown User]

Posted: 5/15/11 at 8:19am

I predict a big one will make an announcement this week....

wonkit---- you may be right
Updated On: 5/15/11 at 08:19 AM

[singtopher]

Posted: 5/15/11 at 8:42am

I am surprised Baby It's you out lived Wonderland. Now, I didn't see Wonderland, but I did see Baby It's You so I just can't imagine anything worse. I guess the baby boomer ladies are keeping it afloat.

[Unknown User]

Posted: 5/15/11 at 8:48am

Singtopher-

Baby It's You was at 81% capacity last week as opposed to Wonderland's 67%
....so it's hanging in there.

I'm sure they also market it to their intended demographics.
Baby boomers love that music....they will go.

Let's just see how long they hang...

as of now Addams Family and Million Dollar Quartet are around 50% capacity

so Baby It's you is actually doing fine for now.


you think Brooke Shields will bump up Addams Family ticket sales???..


Updated On: 5/15/11 at 08:48 AM

[Unknown User]

Posted: 5/15/11 at 9:11am

Brooke Shields will definatley bump up the ticket sales for Addams Family! I think Spider-Man will last.

My predications:
Baby It's You in like a year or so
How To Succeed..... when Daniel Radcliffe leaves
Million Dollar Quartet

[nexttotheheights]

Posted: 5/15/11 at 10:28am

I think Baby it's you will make it to labor day and probably close. I don't even know anymore with Million Dollar Quartet.

[bk]

Posted: 5/15/11 at 3:25pm

Actually, if you read the grosses for Baby, It's You, while it may have had 81% capacity in terms of people in seats, it actually played to only 49% paid admissions. It's easy to paper and inflate the percent of capacity, but if I read the grosses here correctly, it's misleading.

[nexttotheheights]

Posted: 5/15/11 at 4:32pm

I think Baby It's You will have some of the name recognition from the Shirelles and that will get it through the summer. From what I've seen it doesn't take that much to run the show.