Call_me_jorge said: "I think the best bet is one of the spring shows closing up shop after not receiving Tony’s or something in June, Rudin moved TKAM to whatever smaller Shubert theatre and Beetlejuice opening up in The Shubert Theatre"
That doesn't make any sense to me. TKAM is still selling out every performance and grossing much more than BJ. Further, when you look out a few months, TKAM is still selling extremely well, and at higher prices than right now.
I think the key issue with BJ is 'how much is it going to cost to move?' The show is doing better, but not great (now that the holidays are over), clearly making a profit every week, but probably not a huge one. The people paying for the move would have to feel pretty confident that the show would at least make back the cost of the move itself. One thing if it is $1.0MM, another thing if the sets have to be rebuilt, the lighting reworked, etc. I think I read that that would likely cost more like $3.0MM, but have no idea if that is correct.
Big question to me: How much extra can it make from mid-June to late August, peak time for a show that attracts families? If they really believe they can pretty much cover the cost of the move in that timeframe, they should move. If not, I suspect it may not be an economically sound decision. A long-run does not guarantee profitability. Jekyll/Hyde rate almost 4 years and lost money; years ago, Shenandoah ran almost 3 years (a really good run in those days) and lost a large part of its investments. Sure there are others...just don't know which ones.