Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2017

[Kinky Boy]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 3:46pm

Who's gonna get nominated? Win?

Bette Midler- Hello Dolly

Christy Altomare- Anastasia

Laura Osnes- Bandstand

Patti Lupone- War Paint

Christine Ebersole- War Paint

Phillipa Soo- Amelie

Eva Noblezada- Miss Saigon

Barrett Doss- Groundhog Day

Margo Seibert- In Transit

Denee Benton- Natasha Pierre

 

 

Updated On: 3/21/17 at 03:46 PM

[AC126748]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 3:48pm

Glenn Close is ineligible. Stephanie J. Block is Featured. The award will probably be Bette's to lose, and my guesses on the other 4 nominees are: LuPone, Ebersole, Noblezada, and either Dreyfuss or Osnes.

[smidge]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 3:51pm

https://forum.broadwayworld.com/readmessage.php?thread=1093840&dt=363

[wonderfulwizard11]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 3:51pm

Isn't Dreyfuss also eligible in Featured? I can't imagine that role being considered Lead. 

[disneybroadwayfan22]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 3:53pm

Bette Midler- Hello Dolly

Christy Altomare- Anastasia

Patti Lupone- War Paint

Eva Noblezada- Miss Saigon

Denee Benton- Natasha Pierre

[Unknown User]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 3:58pm

I think it's very unlikely to leave out one of the War Paint ladies and nominate the other. The show seems crafted to give them the exact same amount of stage time with identical character beats. I would guess Altomare and either Noblezada or Benton get the other nominations. Dreyfuss is in featured.

[Kad]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:00pm

There's no way Dreyfuss could be considered leading.

[Rainah]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:00pm

There's a thread for that here! https://forum.broadwayworld.com/readmessage.php?thread=1093840&dt=363

But I am pulling for Denee to win. She was truly transcendent in the role, and took on the difficult task of making someone as naive and young as Natasha likable to the audience. Thinking back on it I always want to take notes, she was that incredible 

[froote]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:05pm

Even if Dreyfuss was in lead, she wouldn't be getting a nomination against this competition.

I think these ladies will be the ones in the running for a nomination:

Christy Altomare - Anastasia

Denee Benton - Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812

Christine Ebersole - War Paint

Patti LuPone - War Paint

Bette Midler - Hello Dolly

Eva Noblezada - Miss Saigon

Phillipa Soo - Amelie

And I can absolutely see them only nominating one of the War Paint ladies, that show is not strong enough for them to feel they need to nominate both.

[Ado Annie D'Ysquith]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:12pm

I'd say Bette Midler, Christine Ebersole, Patti LuPone, Christy Altomare, and either Eva Noblezada or Denee Benton, with the latter having a slight edge because some people really don't care for the former's portrayal of Kim. Based on what I'm hearing about Dolly, though...it might not be much of a contest.

I like Laura Osnes and Phillipa Soo, but their current shows are just too polarizing for them to get their hopes up too much...

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:13pm

I'm predicting the nominations will be Christy Altomare, Christine Ebersole, Patti LuPone, Bette Midler, and Phillipa Soo, with Midler taking the win.

Benton and Noblezada are the two potential challengers who could potentially earn a nomination slot in place of any of those ladies.

Updated On: 3/21/17 at 04:13 PM

[froote]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:14pm

I'm iffy on Eva too. She didn't get an Olivier nomination which should be easier to get.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:15pm

My money's on Midler, Ebersole, LuPone, Noblezada, and Osnes.

[Unknown User]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:19pm

I like Laura Osnes and Phillipa Soo, but their current shows are just too polarizing for them to get their hopes up too much...

My thoughts exactly. I keep forgetting that Bandstand's even coming to Broadway.

[muscle23ftl]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:20pm

I just hope to be surprised, it's always the same names: Osnes, Lupone, etc. I hope to see surprises!

[Call_me_jorge]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:25pm

I think it will be 

Eva

Bette

Christine 

Denee

Pippa

 

[pupscotch]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:26pm

I think it'll be Bette Midler, Christy Altomare, Christine Ebersole, Denee Benton, and either Patti LuPone or Eva Noblezada taking the last nomination.

[Willie4316]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:27pm

Bette Midler 

Patti Lupone 

Christine Ebersole 

Laura Osnes 

Christy Altomare

 

Alternates could Be Phillipa for Laura, Denee or Eva for Christy.

 

[BroadwayRox3588]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:31pm

I will be very sad if Christy doesn't get a nomination.

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:32pm

Just to say another permutation of the thing: Bette, Patti, Christine, Christy, Eva

[PaulWom]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:36pm

IMO-

Locks

Denee Benton - Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812

Bette Midler - Hello, Dolly

Eva Noblezada - Miss Saigon

Christine Ebersole - War Paint

Phillipa Soo - Amelie

 

Dark Horses

Christy Altomare - Anastasia

Patti LuPone - War Paint (I just keep hearing raves about Ebersole, and I don't know if Patti really leads this show...)
 

[Cfried]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:36pm

Unless Laura's role has been dramatically rewritten, she is not getting a Tony nomination for Bandstand...not with this competition. 

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:38pm

Um, the only LOCKS, it seems, are Bette Midler and Christine Ebersole. Everybody else looks like fair game (though Christy Altomare seems to have the third-highest likelihood of anybody, if we're playing this game...).

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:39pm

Yeah you can't have five locks. That's not what lock means.

[PaulWom]

Posted: 3/21/17 at 4:42pm

Sorry! I meant to say those are the performances I think will get the nomination. Forgot to specify which ones I think are locks. In my mind, they are:

Denee Benton- Natasha

Bette Midler- Hello, Dolly

Christine Ebersole- War Paint