Smaxie said: "Closed or not, I think Liberation goes all the way this year."
For whatever reason, the Tonys have no problem rewarding plays or performances from plays that are already closed, just musicals. So, Liberation closing shouldn't have too much of an impact.
However, Giant getting as strong of buzz as it is and being extremely timely and relevant could end up leading to its win. But I'd still call Liberation the frontrunner at this point.