Several thoughts:
1. To those who predicted that demand for DEH would go down post Platt, he has been gone 4 months now and the average ticket price is only behind Hamilton and the obscenely priced Springsteen show; and, given the miserable musicals produced this season, I am willing to bet that the demand is not going down any time in the foreseeable future.
2. Is Beautiful reaching the end? The past two summers saw Beautiful grosses buck trends and go down. If that is the case here, how much longer can it last?
3. I am thinking that once kids are out of school, Spongebob seems pretty guaranteed to run through the summer, based on its increased business when kids are off for holidays. A successful Tony performance would not hurt business.
4. If you compare the first 13 weeks of Chicago's grosses this year to the first thirteen weeks of its post-holiday grosses in 2017 (to put them on an equal base), 2018 is ahead of 2017 by about 5%. I continue to be boggled by its staying power. Kinky Boots is exactly where it was at this time last year. If the trend continues per 2016, not Brendon Urie's year, I am guessing that KB will still be opened at year-end 2018.
5. If they can continue to manage costs and average $350K a week as they have done so far this year -- an given that the Lyceum is not an in-demand theatre -- I am betting that TPTGW also stands an excellent chance of being here until the end of the year, certainly at least Labor Day. I really disliked the show, but I am delighted that it is continuing to attract audiences.
6. I was actually disappointed with Dolly's gross. I really expected that the average price of a ticket would go up more than $0.72 per ticket last week, given the holiday week. Look at how much the average ticket price went up for so many other shows. I guess it really will underperform -- relative to where I would have expected it to be, given the original reviews, and the fact that it is barely into its second year (not even a year since the official opening night) -- unless they can draw someone bigger than a Broadway legend. (I actually think Audra McDonald would draw large audiences at a considerably higher ticket price, although I am not sure if her voice is right for the score).
7. I am AMAZED at Anastasis's grosses. Although not selling out, it has averaged over $920K per week year-to-date. This for a show that got (well-deserved) totally mediocre reviews and virtually no Tony love.