The realistic possible nominees are
Laurie Metcalf
Amy Morton
Cicely Tyson
Jessica Hecht
Bette Midler
Fiona Shaw
Holland Taylor
Sigourney Weaver
So that’s 8 women for 5 slots. Laurie Metcalf, Jessica Hecht, and Cicely Tyson are almost certainly going to get nominated IMO. (Amy Morton would be in this group if her show was still open. I’m not sure that the committee will nominate 2 women from closed shows, and Metcalf will get in over Morton.)
I think the nominees will be
Metcalf
Hecht
Tyson
Taylor
Either Morton or Shaw, depending on the reviews for Testament of Mary
With Midler and Weaver unlikely to make it to the final 5.
"What was the name of that cheese that I like?"
"you can't run away forever...but there's nothing wrong with getting a good head start"
"well I hope and I pray, that maybe someday, you'll walk in the room with my heart"