The eligible candidates are
Taylor Louderman and Adrienne Warren from Bring It On, who will not be nominated
Stephanie J Block
Carolee Carmello
Lilla Crawford
Laura Osnes
Erin Dilly
The Matildas
Valisia LeKae
Patina Miller
I’m guessing the Matildas are going to be ruled ineligible and they will get a special Tony instead (more on that reasoning below), so that leaves only 7 people for 5 slots. So it becomes more a matter of picking the 2 people who won’t make it than the 5 people who will. Erin Dilly is probably #7. I’m guessing Stephanie J Block will be #6, mostly because Drood is closed.
So the 5 nominees will be Carmello, Osnes, Crawford, LeKae, and Miller. (If the Matildas are in the race, they will take LeKae’s place.)
As for why I think the Matildas are getting a special Tony: I think that the fact that each one is only going on twice a week, without there being a clear role-related reason why they can’t go on three or more times a week, is really going to hurt them. It’s one thing to have a role be demanding enough that the actor can’t safely perform 8 times a week; it’s another thing for the actor to only go on twice a week because that’s what the producers want to do. Where is the end point – why not just nominate all of the understudies and swings for every role? There are 2 standbys and 1 additional understudy for the role of Annie – should they all get nominated, too? If each understudy/standby went on once a week, should all 4 Annies get nominated? And I think the randomly chosen opening night Matilda was a nice thing for the producers to do for the girls’ egos, but I think it reinforces the idea that the girls are interchangeable and therefore individually not that special. I’m sure the producers did not randomly choose who went on for the Times review, so the randomness for opening night was really just for show.
Also, post-Billy, the Committee supposedly turned down a petition for both Felas to be nominated, so I think there is some realization that the Billy decision wasn’t the best one in retrospect.
That being said, Matilda is a Broadway juggernaut, and the Committee will throw the producers a bone by giving the Matildas a special Tony, outside of competition. There is precedent for that – the rotating performers in La Boheme got a special Tony for their performances.
That's my theory, anyway.
"What was the name of that cheese that I like?"
"you can't run away forever...but there's nothing wrong with getting a good head start"
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Updated On: 4/21/13 at 12:50 PM