Let's Make Ridiculously Uninformed Tony Predictions: 2010 Edition

[PiraguaGuy2]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 10:48pm

Yup, the Tonys are only eight months away, and you know what that means...RIDICULOUSLY UNINFORMED TONY PREDICTIONS! Yaaaaaay. Have at 'em, folks. These shows may not even be opening ever, but let's have a little fun.

Best Musical:
The Addams Family
American Idiot**
Fela!
Spider-Man, Turn Off the Dark

Best Musical Revival:
A Little Night Music
La Cage Aux Folles
Promises, Promises
Ragtime**

Best Actor:
John Gallagher Jr., American Idiot
Douglas Hodge, La Cage Aux Folles**
Sean Hayes, Promises, Promises
Nathan Lane, The Addams Family
Saur Ngaujah, Fela!

Best Actress:
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Bebe Neuwirth, The Addams Family
Christiane Noll, Ragtime**
Evan Rachel Wood, Spider-Man, Turn Off the Dark
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Alan Cumming, Spider-Man, Turn Off the Dark
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian's Rainbow
Alexander Hanson, A Little Night Music**
Robert Petkoff, Ragtime
Tony Vincent, American Idiot

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim**
Erin Davie, A Little Night Music
Rebecca Naomi Jones, American Idiot
Stephanie Umoh, Ragtime
Lillias White, Fela!

Updated On: 10/26/09 at 10:48 PM

[B3TA07]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 10:52pm

I'd always assumed Mme. Armfeldt is a "Featured Actress" slot...



Regardless, I like your list. It is both safe and daring, as well as aesthetically pleasing.

Updated On: 10/26/09 at 10:52 PM

[IfYouCan]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 10:53pm

No way that Umoh will get a nomination as leading actress, if any Ragtime cast member winds up in that category, it'll be Christiane Noll. Plus, Sarah's a featured role.

And Evelyn has, like, two spoken word scenes and her songs are performance songs. Updated On: 10/26/09 at 10:53 PM

[PiraguaGuy2]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 10:56pm

Yeah, thanks. I don't know Ragtime too well.
I'm keeping Lansbury in Leading because she's above the title and getting top billing.

[FindingNamo]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 10:56pm

This reminds me of the Oscar prediction threads that start the day after the Oscars. Who is the guy who always has something to add based on some sort of tomato system? Oh, I truly pity my memory.

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 10:57pm

I think Stephanie Umoh has a great chance at Featured. Christine Noll is most definitely getting nominated and will most likely win.

[B3TA07]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 10:59pm

Namo - Do you mean based off of rottentomatoes.com? I don't know who the user is; sounds like Cruel Sandwich.

[givesmevoice]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 11:04pm

Was Hermione Gingold billed above the title for the original production of A Little Night Music? I can't imagine Lansbury getting a leading actress nod.

[ljay889]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 11:04pm

Madame Armfeldt is a featured role. Frederik is a leading role. You may want to change that.
Updated On: 10/26/09 at 11:04 PM

[B3TA07]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 11:06pm

Gingold was nominated for Featured, and Cariou for Leading.

[Yankeefan007]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 11:16pm

Musical - Addams Family
Revival - My $$ is on Ragtime, if only as an apology. I'd vote for La cage.

Actor - Doug Hodge
Actress - Bebe Neuworth
Featured Actor - Kevin Chamberlain
Featured Actress - Angela Lansbury (cause nobody sits in a wheelchair better than her)

Play - A Behanding in Spokane or Next Fall
Revival - The Miracle Worker
Actor - James Spader
Actress - Allison Pill
Featured Actor - Eric Bogosian
Featured Actress - Maria Dizzia

[B3TA07]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 11:18pm

Allison Pill!!!!!!!!! Thank You!!!


...I couldn't remember her name all day.

Updated On: 10/26/09 at 11:18 PM

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 10/26/09 at 11:23pm

Barbara Cook will be a leading contender in the
Lead Actress category, and expect more nods for
SONDHEIM ON SONDHEIM, which will unfortunately
be refered to on the board as S.O.S.

[WithoutATrace]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 12:18am

The Addams Family - Best Musical
Ragtime - Best Revival of a Musical
Christiane Noll - Leading Actress in a Musical
Angela Lansbury - Featured Actress in a Musical

[AC126748]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 12:22am

Is American Idiot even confirmed yet?

[ljay889]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 12:25am

I CAN'T wait to revisit this thread in May/June.

*adds to favorites*

[GimmeABreak2]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 12:40am

I CAN'T wait to revisit this thread in May/June.

*adds to favorites*

Haha, you mean for when everything that's closed before the new year gets snubbed?

[hubee]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 12:51am

I actually think Ragtime's best chances are Christiane Noll, Bobby Steggert and Quentin Earl Darrington with Noll winning.

I'd love if Kate Baldwin got recognition mainly because I've thought she should have been a star for a while now, but Finian's might be forgotten by June. (Though I do think Chris Fitzgerald has a good chance too)

If La Cage is exactly like the London version which its based on, then it's good but I might actually prefer Finian's.

[jonmbway4652]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 12:52am

Best Musical
Spider Man
Memphis
Addams Family

Best Revival
Ragtime
A Little Night Music

thats all i can think of for now. it really will be interseting to see how many nominees Addams Family and Spider Man get

[IdinaBellFoster]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 12:57am

Musical:
The Addams Family

Revival:
Ragtime

Best Actor:
Douglas Hodge, La Cage Aux Folles

Best Actress:
Christiane Noll, Ragtime

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Alan Cumming, Spider-Man, Turn Off the Dark (If it opens)
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian's Rainbow (if not)

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music

Updated On: 10/27/09 at 12:57 AM

[vodkastinger]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 12:59am

Best Musical
The Addams Family**
Catch Me If You Can
Fela!
Memphis

Best Play
A Behanding in Spokane**
Next Fall
Race
Superior Donuts

Musical Revival
La Cage Aux Folles**
A Little Night Music
Promises Promises
Ragtime

Play Revival
A View From The Bridge**
Collected Stories
The Neil Simon Plays
The Royal Family

Actor--Musical
Nathan Lane, The Addams Family
Aaron Tviet, Catch Me If You Can**
The Two Felas, Fela!
Douglas Hodge, La Cage Aux Folles
_____, La Cage Aux Folles

Actor--Play
Liev Schrieber, A View From The Bridge
Jude Law, Hamlet
Next Fall**
James Spader, Race
Michael McKean, Superior Donuts

Actress--Musical
Bebe Neuwirth, The Addams Family
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music**
Monetgo Glover, Memphis
Kristin Chenoweth, Promises Promises
Christine Noll, Ragtime

Actress--Play
Scarlett Johansson, A View From The Bridge
Linda Lavin, Collected Stories
Laura Benanti, In The Next Room (or the vibrator play)
Laura Linney, Time Stands Still**
Carrie Fisher, Wishful Drinking

Featured Actor--Musical
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
Tom Wopat, Catch Me If You Can
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian's Rainbow**
Aaron Lazar, A Little Night Music
Promises Promises

Featured Actor--Play
A Behanding in Spokane
Next Fall
Richard Thomas, Race
Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts**
Brian D'Arcy James, Time Stands Still

Featured Actress--Musical
Carollee Carmello, The Addams Family
Kerry Butler, Catch Me If You Can
Lillias White, Fela!
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music**
Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim

Feature Actress--Play
Next Fall
Laurie Metcalfe, The Neil Simon Plays
Harriet Harris, Present Laughter
Kerry Washington, Race**
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family

[colorandlight2]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 1:28am

I think given the out and out raves they've been getting for Brighton Beach, I think that Noah Robbins and Santino Fontana will be contenders in the Leading and Featured play categories, respectively.

[binau]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 2:05am

Interesting comment RE: Frank Rich:

Interviewer: "I think it says something about gullible, unsophisticated standing-O audiences here in Seattle."

Rich: "You see, that never works. In Washingtonâ??which is incredibly unsophisticated, much more unsophisticated than Seattle or Chicagoâ??you got false information from the audiences and it was a disaster"

That is, this could be considered when using the 'Ragtime got rave reviews in Washington" kind of argument...

I'm surprised Ragtime is being considered the overwhelming front-runner. I could imagine once ALNM opens it may become a bit more even (or La Cage for that matter, but even so I could imagine it being RagtimeVS Night Music)

Updated On: 10/27/09 at 02:05 AM

[CATSNYrevival]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 2:25am

I hope American Idiot really does make it to Broadway. That would be awesome.

[orangeskittles]

Posted: 10/27/09 at 3:53am

That is, this could be considered when using the 'Ragtime got rave reviews in Washington" kind of argument...

qolbinau, you do realize that Frank Rich was referring to Washington in the 1960s circa-Forum's tryout, right?

People in New York have already seen this production and given it standing ovations themselves. You may not like it, but doesn't mean you can preen over the out-of-context quote as support to your opinion.