Let's Make Ridiculously Uninformed Tony Predictions: 2010 Edition — Page 2

Well, Yes.

But the interview was talking about Seattle try-outs in present context (Hairspray, Shrek, Catch Me If you Can), so it would seem inappropriate for Frank Rich to refer to Washington as "more unsophisticated" than Seattle if he was only talking about the 60s and the strange reception to 'Forum'..(It read more like he was using the older example to support his claim that it was currently unsophisticated, which might make his claim less strong. But still).

I concede that since Ragtime has already had a proven Broadway run it's not like the revival is moving into NY 'blind', but still. If Frank Rich's comment (which I still think is meant to refer to present-day, as it was answered presently and as a response to recent try-outs in Seattle) is true, maybe Ragtime won't gain the rave reviews it did in DC, and might not be the absolute-forerunner for Best Revival.

And if I did have a 'bias', it's a positive one towards the ALNM one, not a negative one towards Ragtime, which I do enjoy from the few times I've listened to the cast recording I picked up recently. That is, I'm not trying to have an anti-ragtime vendetta or anything.

---

Ok, if SONDHEIM ON SONDHEIM is going to have video footage does it still qualify? My guess is at least 20-30 minutes of the musical will be video footage and the rest will be singing?

Heck, I don't even know if there is a storyline with character names.

Updated On: 10/27/09 at 04:39 PM

There's really no rule disqualifying Sondheim on Sondheim for using video footage. I can't imagine it's going to take up the majority of the evening (and who knows if there will be staging during this). As far as plot: there's no rule saying a new musical needs a plot to be eligible. There's no revue category (and the special event category is toast).

I find it strange that Lansbury is in for "Best actress" with CZJ but Hanson is only featured actor. (It should be Lansbury featured and Hanson actor)

---

Unless Come Fly With Me goes the way of The Times They Are A-Changin'.

---

Based on Isherwood's review, I doubt that it will.
( http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/26/theater/reviews/26fly.html )

But it's possible I guess.

Alexander Hanson will be eligible in the lead category. He has the largest role in the musical.

And you don't think Angela Lansbury will be nominated?????

Best Musical
The Addams Family**
Come Fly With Me
Fela!
Memphis

Best Play
A Behanding in Spokane**
Enron
Next Fall
Race

Musical Revival
Finian's Rainbow
La Cage Aux Folles**
A Little Night Music
Ragtime

Play Revival
A View From The Bridge
Collected Stories
Fences
The Miracle Worker**

Actor--Musical
Nathan Lane, The Addams Family
Sahr Ngaujah, Fela!
Douglas Hodge, La Cage Aux Folles
Kelsey Grammar, La Cage Aux Folles**
Chad Kimball, Memphis

Actress--Musical
Bebe Neuwirth, The Addams Family
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music**
Montego Glover, Memphis
Kristin Chenoweth, Promises Promises
Christiane Noll, Ragtime

Actor--Play
Christopher Walken, A Behanding in Spokane
Denzel Washington, Fences**
_____, Next Fall
James Spader, Race
Liev Schrieber, A View From The Bridge

Actress--Play
Scarlett Johansson, A View From The Bridge
_____, Fences
Allison Pill, The Miracle Worker**
Laura Linney, Time Stands Still
Carrie Fisher, Wishful Drinking

Featured Actor--Musical
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
Terrence Mann, The Addams Family**
Jim Norton, Finian's Rainbow
Aaron Lazar, A Little Night Music
Robert Petkoff, Ragtime

Featured Actress--Musical
Carollee Carmello, The Addams Family
Jackie Hoffman, The Addams Family
Lillias White, Fela!
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music**
Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim

Featured Actor--Play
Sam Rockwell, A Behanding in Spokane**
____, Enron
____, Fences
Richard Thomas, Race
Brian D'Arcy James, Time Stands Still

Featured Actress--Play
Zoe Kazan, A Behanding in Spokane**
Abigail Breslin, The Miracle Worker
____, Next Fall
Kerry Washington, Race
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family

EDIT: Completely forgot about Fences the first time around.

Updated On: 12/1/09 at 10:55 PM

"I still say Ragtime wins regardless."

- Do you think it will still win even if it's closed?

I'm thinking LA CAGE will win Best Revival. And Actor (Hodge).

And I hope Patrick Breen and some of the other cast members of NEXT FALL get some awards attention. They're all absolutely fantastic...I just can't wait to see this show again!

I'm not entirely sure why everyone is predicting Sondheim on Sondheim to be such a big deal. It's ANOTHER Sondheim revue, SO WHAT? I predict a few acting nods for Cook and Williams, but Best Musical? Really? Anyway, here are my predictions: Predicted Winner- *
Personal Choice- #

Best Musical:
The Addams Family#(* if Fela closes)
Fela*(If it can stay open)
Come Fly With Me(Unless American Idiot transfers)
Memphis (Like it or not, unless it closes, it's going to be nominated)

Best Revival: (Remember 2008?)
Ragtime#* (South Pacific)
La Cage Aux Folles (Sunday in the Park with George)
A Little Night Music (Gypsy)
Promises, Promises (The only other revival that will be open by then, and I don't expect much from this one... I dare them to prove me wrong)

Don't forget that the Tonys are business calculations as much as merits of artistic achivement. Whether or not it's your cup of tea, "Memphis" could tour the country and do well, "Sondheim on Sondheim" will not. Honestly, if "Memphis" hangs on business wise, I think it's a contender to win. It's reviews were very similar to "Jersey Boys" and "Wicked".

There can only be 4 Best Musical nominees.