Official Tony Award 2009 Predictions Thread- Page 12

[esparza 333]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 10:40am

Okay we seem to have a pretty good idea of who will win and who will be nominated in every category except Featured Actress. We are al saying very different things. What I have noticed in the past is that mostly Featured categories is that basically all of the past winners have a moment in the show that they were brilliant in and wouldn't have won with out. Also the other nominated people mostly had a moment in the show. Whose ever moment was the most phenomenal mostly wins.

So
for Karen Olivo people seem to be raving about her very gritty and moving rape
scene and some people are raving about her powerful voic eand presence in America.

for Stephanie J Block people are raving about her Get Out and Stay Out and calling it a showstopper.

for Haydn Gwynn people are raving about her Born to Boogie.


for Martha Plimpton people are raving abot her Show Stopping Zip.

For anyone who has seen all of these shows can say which one of these most screams TONY!

Updated On: 4/15/09 at 10:40 AM

[IdinaBellFoster]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 12:03pm

* Will Win
# Should Win

Best Musical
9 to 5*
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Next to Normal #
Shrek the Musical

Best Musical Revival
Guys and Dolls
Hair #
Pal Joey
West Side Story*

Best Actor in a Musical
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik and Kiril Kulish (Billy Elliot: The Musical)*#
Craig Bierko (Guys and Dolls)
Gavin Creel (Hair)
Brian d'Arcy James (Shrek the Musical)
J. Robert Spencer (Next to Normal)

Best Actress in a Musical
Sutton Foster (Shrek the Musical)
Kate Jennings Grant (Guys and Dolls)
Allison Janney (9 to 5)*
Alice Ripley (Next to Normal)#
Josefina Scaglione (West Side Story)

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Gregory Jbara (Billy Elliot: The Musical)
Marc Kudicsh (9 to 5)
Christopher Sieber (Shrek The Musical)
Will Swenson (Hair)
Aaron Tveit (Next to Normal)*#

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Stephanie J. Block (9 to 5)*#
Haydn Gwynne (Billy Elliot: The Musical)
Megan Hilty (9 to 5)
Karen Olivo (West Side Story)
Martha Plimpton (Pal Joey)

Best Score
9 to 5 (Music and Lyrics by Dolly Parton)*
Billy Elliot: The Musical (Music:Elton John/Lyrics: Lee Hall)
Next to Normal (Music: Tom Kitt/Lyrics: Brian Yorkey)#
Shrek the Musical (Music:Jeanie Tesori/Lyricsavid Lindsay-Abaire)

Best Book
[title of show] (Hunter Bell) #
9 to 5 (Patricia Resnick)*
Billy Elliot: The Musical (Lee Hall)
Shrek the Musical (David Lindsay-Abaire)

[#1Elphie]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 12:07pm

I don't think 9 to 5 will take all of those. I think Billy Elliot will win best musical (although I would also love to see N2N win), Alice Ripley will win best actress, and N2N will win best score.

[bwaygal1]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 12:15pm

I don't think 9 to 5 will get all those awards either, Elphie. I think Alice Ripley will win. I do think one of the ladies could take featured actress. Billy will get musical (although in my heart I'd love to see Next to Normal take it) and Lee Hall will get best book. I don't doubt that Dolly Parton has a shot at score although again Next to Normal has a chance.

[minicko88]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 2:29pm

* Will Win
# Should Win

Best Musical
9 to 5*
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Next to Normal
Shrek the Musical#

Best Musical Revival
Guys and Dolls
Hair
Pal Joey
West Side Story*#

Best Actor in a Musical
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik and Kiril Kulish (Billy Elliot: The Musical)*
James Barbour (A Tale of Two Cities)
Gavin Creel (Hair)
Brian d'Arcy James (Shrek the Musical)#
J. Robert Spencer (Next to Normal)

Best Actress in a Musical
Sutton Foster (Shrek the Musical)
Kate Jennings Grant (Guys and Dolls)
Allison Janney (9 to 5)
Alice Ripley (Next to Normal)*
Josefina Scaglione (West Side Story)#

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Gregory Jbara (Billy Elliot: The Musical)
Marc Kudicsh (9 to 5)
Christopher Sieber (Shrek The Musical)
Will Swenson (Hair)
Aaron Tveit (Next to Normal)*#

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Stephanie J. Block (9 to 5)
Haydn Gwynne (Billy Elliot: The Musical)*#
Megan Hilty (9 to 5)
Karen Olivo (West Side Story)
Natalie Toro (A Tale of Two Cities)

Best Score
9 to 5 (Music and Lyrics by Dolly Parton)*
Billy Elliot: The Musical (Music:Elton John/Lyrics: Lee Hall)
Next to Normal (Music: Tom Kitt/Lyrics: Brian Yorkey)
Shrek the Musical (Music:Jeanie Tesori/Lyricsavid Lindsay-Abaire)#

Best Book
9 to 5 (Patricia Resnick)
Billy Elliot: The Musical (Lee Hall)*#
Shrek the Musical (David Lindsay-Abaire)

[ZONEACE]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 2:37pm

hahaha Shrek should win? are you deaf and blind? Shrek was TERRIBLE!

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 2:41pm

Why does everyone think Aaron Tveit will win? Will Swenson deserves it over him. And I think Will will get it.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 2:54pm

There is no way in hell that Natalie Toro will get nominated.

[esparza 333]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 3:16pm

I do agree that Toro has absolutely no chance. I do however think Barbour will be nominated. Critics loved him and said he was the best thing about tale. Bierko got very mixed reviews and many found him bland.

[PiraguaGuy2]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 3:23pm

* Will Win
# Should Win (only for categories I can really judge)

Best Musical
9 to 5#
Billy Elliot: The Musical*
Next to Normal
Shrek the Musical

Best Musical Revival
Guys and Dolls
Hair*
Pal Joey
West Side Story

Best Actor in a Musical
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik and Kiril Kulish (Billy Elliot: The Musical)*
Craig Bierko (Guys and Dolls)
Gavin Creel (Hair)
Brian d'Arcy James (Shrek the Musical)#
J. Robert Spencer (Next to Normal)

Best Actress in a Musical
Sutton Foster (Shrek the Musical)
Kate Jennings Grant (Guys and Dolls)
Allison Janney (9 to 5)*
Alice Ripley (Next to Normal)
Josefina Scaglione (West Side Story)

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Gregory Jbara (Billy Elliot: The Musical)
Marc Kudisch (9 to 5)
Christopher Sieber (Shrek The Musical)*#
Will Swenson (Hair)
Aaron Tveit (Next to Normal)

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Stephanie J. Block (9 to 5)#
Haydn Gwynne (Billy Elliot: The Musical)
Megan Hilty (9 to 5)
Karen Olivo (West Side Story)*
Martha Plimpton (Pal Joey)

Best Score
9 to 5 (Music and Lyrics by Dolly Parton)
Billy Elliot: The Musical (Music:Elton John/Lyrics: Lee Hall)*
Next to Normal (Music: Tom Kitt/Lyrics: Brian Yorkey)#
[title of show] (Music and Lyrics by Jeff Bowen)

Best Book
9 to 5 (Patricia Resnick)*#
Billy Elliot: The Musical (Lee Hall)
Next to Normal
Shrek the Musical (David Lindsay-Abaire)

[CSonBroadway]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 3:42pm

Billy Elliot does NOT deserve best score. At all.

[bwayguy22089]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 6:46pm

I don't know how anyone thinks 9 to 5 will win best book. I LOVE the show, but it's book is not strong/solid at all. I do think it will win best score though.

[bwaydan24601]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 8:19pm

So here's what I think the Tony Award nominations for musicals will look like. I could be REALLY off on some of them, and for some I just threw a show in there because I thought each show should have at least one nomination. Comment and tell me what you think!

BEST SOUND DESIGN
Billy Elliot
Hair
West Side Story
9 to 5

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
Billy Elliot
9 to 5
Shrek
White Christmas
(A Tale Of Two Cities)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Shrek
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Guys and Dolls

BEST SCENIC DESIGN
9 to 5
Shrek
Billy Elliot
A Tale Of Two Cities

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
9 to 5
[title of show]
Next To Normal
Shrek

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Next To Normal
Shrek

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Billy Elliot
Hair
9 to 5
Shrek
(Rock Of Ages)

BEST DIRECTOR
Stephen Daldry - Billy Elliot
Diane Paulus - Hair
Joe Mantello - 9 to 5
Arthur Laurents - West Side Story

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS
Karen Olivia - West Side Story
Hadyn Gwyne - Billy Elliot
Jennifer Damiano - Next To Normal
Martha Plimpton - Pal Joey
Megan Hilty - 9 to 5
(Susan Blackwell - [title of show])
(Heidi Blickstaff - [title of show])

BEST FEATURED ACTOR
Christopher Sieber - Shrek
Greg Jbara - Billy Elliot
Marc Kudisch - 9 to 5
Aaron Tveit - Next To Normal
Will Swenson - Hair
(Hunter Bell - [title of show])
(Jess Bowen - [title of show])

BEST ACTRESS
Allison Janey - 9 to 5
Sutton Foster - Shrek
Kate Jennings Grant - Guys and Dolls
Josefina Scaglione - West Side Story
Alice Ripley - Next To Normal
(Stephanie J. Block - 9 to 5)
(Amy Spanger - Rock Of Ages)

BEST ACTOR
Brian D'Arcy James - Shrek
David Alvarez/Trent Kowalik/Kiril Kulish - Billy Elliot
Gavin Creel - Hair
James Barbour - A Tale Of Two Cities
J. Robert Spencer - Next To Normal
(Constantine Maroulis - Rock Of Ages)

BEST REVIVAL
West Side Story
Hair
Pal Joey
Guys and Dolls

BEST BOOK
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Next To Normal
Shrek
([title of show])

BEST MUSICAL
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Shrek
Next To Normal

Total nominations per show:
9 to 5 - 12
Billy Elliot -11
Shrek - 10
Next To Normal - 8
Hair - 5
West Side Story - 5
Guys and Dolls - 3
A Tale of Two Cities - 2
Pal Joey - 2
[title of show] - 1
White Christmas - 1

[Smaxie]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 8:57pm

They also have these things on Broadway known as "plays".

[CSonBroadway]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 8:58pm

Then what is a play without music called?

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 9:13pm

*Will Win
#Should Win

Best Musical
9 to 5#
Billy Elliot: The Musical*
Next to Normal
Shrek the Musical

Best Musical Revival
Guys and Dolls
Hair*#
Pal Joey
West Side Story (Close Second for Should Win)

Best Actor in a Musical
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik and Kiril Kulish (Billy Elliot: The Musical)
Craig Bierko (Guys and Dolls)
Gavin Creel (Hair) #*
Brian d'Arcy James (Shrek the Musical)
J. Robert Spencer (Next to Normal)

Best Actress in a Musical
Sutton Foster (Shrek the Musical)
Kate Jennings Grant (Guys and Dolls)
Allison Janney (9 to 5)#
Alice Ripley (Next to Normal)*
Josefina Scaglione (West Side Story)

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Gregory Jbara (Billy Elliot: The Musical)
Marc Kudisch (9 to 5)
Christopher Sieber (Shrek The Musical)
Will Swenson (Hair) *#
Aaron Tveit (Next to Normal)

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Stephanie J. Block (9 to 5)
Haydn Gwynne (Billy Elliot: The Musical)
Megan Hilty (9 to 5)
Karen Olivo (West Side Story)*#
Martha Plimpton (Pal Joey)

Best Score
9 to 5 (Music and Lyrics by Dolly Parton) *
Billy Elliot: The Musical (Music:Elton John/Lyrics: Lee Hall)
Next to Normal (Music: Tom Kitt/Lyrics: Brian Yorkey)
[title of show] (Music and Lyrics by Jeff Bowen) #

Best Book
9 to 5 (Patricia Resnick)
Billy Elliot: The Musical (Lee Hall)*
Next to Normal
Shrek the Musical (David Lindsay-Abaire)

[PiraguaGuy2]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 9:14pm

Will Swenson isn't winning.

[CSonBroadway]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 9:31pm

I'd rather have Gavin Creel win, but I really think it is going to the Billys.

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 9:37pm

"Will Swenson isn't winning."

I don't think Chris Seiber win. I wouldn't be so positive that Swenson will lose.

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 4/15/09 at 9:57pm

Are there really people out there who think A TALE OF TWO CITIES is getting any nominations?
That's whack.

[jv92]

Posted: 4/16/09 at 10:13am

Okay, another big question- Liza or Will? My guess, Liza! Liza! Liza!

[Ed_Mottershead]

Posted: 4/16/09 at 10:57am

With the praise that N2N is now getting, it's going to be difficult to predict the potential nominees. We now have 5 shows to consider seriously: Billy Elliot, Shrek, N2N, 9 to 5, and Rock of Ages. Before Rock of Ages and N2N's success (with the critics, at least), I would have thrown in [title of show] but don't really think that stands much of a chance at this late date, particularly that it's now almost ancient history.

[MyLife]

Posted: 4/16/09 at 10:59am

I have not seen Pal Joey, but I've seen 9to5, WSS, and BE. In terms of Featured Actress, I think Karen Olivo deserves it. Her performance moved me much more than the others. I didn't think SJB was that great, and in fact I thought Megan's performance was better. I would make it a race between Karen and Hadyn, having Karen win.

[bwaygal1]

Posted: 4/16/09 at 11:00am

I think Billy Elliot, 9 to 5 and Next to Normal are locks for the Best Musical category (and I would hazard best book and score). 4th nominee will either be Shrek or Rock of Ages.

[PiraguaGuy2]

Posted: 4/16/09 at 11:01am

The nominees for Best Musical will be Shrek the Musical, 9 to 5, Next to Normal, and Billy Elliot the Musical.

Director:
Diane Paulus, Hair
Arthur Laurents, West Side Story
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot the Musical
Joe Mantello, 9 to 5

Book:
9 to 5
Shrek the Musical
Billy Elliot the Musical
Next to Normal

Score:
9 to 5
Billy Elliot the Musical
Next to Normal
[title of show]