VotePeron said: "IdinaBellFoster said: "VotePeron said: "Unless they rewrite The Prom, it is getting zero nominations. The material is Not Good and will not land well with non-theatre audiences. Netflix would also have to pay for its Oscar campaign, which they only do for one or two select, high-profile films a year. As this is one of Ryan Murphy’s 5-movie deal, it doesn’t seem like something they’d invest in for awards. "
The movie has Meryl Streep & Nicole Kidman. It will get a push. It may not be THE IRISHMAN or MARRIAGE STORY level, but could be similar to what they did for DOLEMITE IS MY NAME, especially for the Globes."
Meryl Streep starred in The Laundromat, a Netflix original movie released this Fall. That was not pushed for any awards. Dolemite's campaign also fell completely flat on it's face, so that's not a great comparison. I appreciate the sentiment, but seeing as Irishman and Marriage Story are totally out of this years Oscars race already, it doesn't look like Netflix is making any big awards splashes with a bad niche musical.
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How can you say that Irishman and Marriage Story are totally out of this years Oscars race? Irishman has 10 nominations and Marriage Story 6, both include Best Pictures. Dern is the front runner for the Best Supporting Actress win. Do you mean their chance of winning?
IdinaBellFoster said: "VotePeron said: "Unless they rewrite The Prom, it is getting zero nominations. The material is Not Good and will not land well with non-theatre audiences. Netflix would also have to pay for its Oscar campaign, which they only do for one or two select, high-profile films a year. As this is one of Ryan Murphy’s 5-movie deal, it doesn’t seem like something they’d invest in for awards. "
The movie has Meryl Streep & Nicole Kidman. It will get a push. It may not be THE IRISHMAN or MARRIAGE STORY level, but could be similar to what they did for DOLEMITE IS MY NAME, especially for the Globes."
I believe that The Prom and ETA Jamie could get a lot of film festival exposure. The London Film Festival starts shortly before ETA Jamie is released, so I wouldn't be surprised if it was one of the major premieres there - It has become a uniquely British success story, and we'll definitely provide it with some recognition. However, Golden Globe nominations (and possibly a few BAFTA nominations for ETA Jamie) are more realistic than Oscar recognition...
Jessetenny said: "BwayLB said: "Rita Moreno isn’t in In the Heights. She’s in West Side Story"
My bad, I remember people saying she was potentially in it, I haveupdated my predictions."
So you are saying that you dont even know what movie she was in, but you predicted an Oscar nomination; when you learned it was the other movie, you simply changed the movie title. You really have to be kidding.
hork said: "None of these will be nominated for anything."
If LaLaLand could be in the running for so many major awards, West Side Story will absolutely be in the conversation for Best Picture at least. We'll see about acting categories.
hork said: "None of these will be nominated for anything."
I feel like I have one issue with this thread - there is something a little mean spirited in dismissing the Award prospects of these films so early. It's no easy task to get award nominations, as there are hundreds of films every year, and only a small handful will be up for the major awards in the first few months of 2021. West Side Story is the only likely Best Picture contender in this line up (We've probably lost count of how often Spielberg has been nominated in this category!) but I certainly don't think any of the four major musical adaptations this year will be a Cats-style dud. I stand by my belief that The Prom and ETA Jamie could make the Globes Musical/Comedy category, and ETA Jamie could be a BAFTA nominee...
I think The Prom could have a good chance at the Golden Globes with the starry cast but I don't think the Oscars will be as swayed unless it's another bad year for actresses and they need to fill out the categories. It's difficult to speculate without seeing what these movies look like. But musicals tend to be recognized in categories that reflect the scope of the endeavor like Best Picture and Best Director more than categories that highlight specific elements (performances, editing, costumes, etc.) unless there's something really special to them. The exception is, of course, Best Song, which feels like the best shot for a musical to get an Oscar. Though the song from the musical doesn't always beat an original song from a dramatic movie.
Regarding THE PROM, did they already announce that this will have a theatrical release? If not, I’m willing to bet that Netflix will not release it in Theater’s and promote this for Film awards consideration.... Wouldn’t they be better off and shoot for the “Made for television movie” categories come awards time?
I actually think ITH is potentially the most likely to be remembered come award season. WSS has a lot of expectations and if it hits them, it'll be a contender - but that's a huge if, and it could backfire and have a lot of critics comparing it unfavorably to the 1961 version. The Prom seems too light for Oscar; it and ETAJ seem more like Golden Globes contenders if anything. But there's a huge marketing push for ITH and it's the sort of socially-charged-but-uplifting kind of thing that the Oscars tend to love.