Current acting predictions
Actor in a musical: Santino Fontana (A very easy win. People love his performance, and none of his competitors have gotten anywhere near as much hype. The only way I can see someone else standing a chance is if Hadestown frauds Page or De Shields into lead)
Actress in a musical: Stephanie J Block (For awhile I didn’t think that she’d win, and while I’ve changed that thought, I still don’t think she’s a strong front runner at all. While she’s been agreed on a test best part of a lackluster show, most people predicting her admit that her status as front runner comes from love of her career rather than her performance. The reason why I changed to predicting her is because it’s now clear that the other potential contenders don’t seem to have enough support, so as of now, I think Block will win)
Actor in a play: Jeff Daniels (Daniels is a beloved actor playing a beloved role. I think most voters will be very excited to reward him. Cranston could very likely win, but as of now, I think the fact that Daniels is giving an acclaimed performance in a strong show will help him pull through against Cranston, who’s giving an acclaimed performance in a weak show)
Actress in a play: Elaine May (She’s a beloved veteran who made a triumphant return to broadway in a performance that people absolutely loved. It’ll be a great opportunity to finally give her a tony that voters are highly unlikely to give up)
Supporting actor in a musical: Patrick Page (He’s in possibly the biggest musical of the season, he’s gotten raves, he seems to have plenty of industry goodwill, and he has a very showy role. Hades is a very big part, which most people agree is still legitimately supporting, he has much more depth than the leading roles, and from a vocal perspective, he has possibly the hardest job of the entire cast. Andre De Shields could definitely provide some internal competition though. He’s another veteran who’s never won giving a raved about performance, and he got in over Page at drama league and outer critics. Of course, the lack of an overlap between those organizations and tony voters means that Page’s snubs could end up meaning nothing. So as of now, I believe Page has the better shot of the two Hadestown actors due to his great notices, and the fact that he has stronger material to work with)
Supporting actress in a musical: Amber Gray (Gray will likely win for some of the same reasons as Page. The strength of the show, she’s playing a great and complex character, people are raving about her, Persephone is a big supporting role, and she won’t have to worry about splitting any votes unlike her costars. The obvious alternative choice is Ali Stroker. I’ve heard several people say that they disliked this production of Oklahoma, yet they liked her. I also know many people loved this production, and she’s likely to receive their support. However I believe the divisiveness of the show is going to hurt all the actors’ chances of winning. As I previously said, while Gray won’t have a costar to split votes with, Mary Testa is most likely going to be nominated alongside Stroker, and there’s a definite chance that she could steal some votes from her. A potentially close race, but I think the new and exciting nature of Gray’s show and character will end up getting her the win)
Supporting actor in a play: Bertie Carvel (He’s already won the Olivier, and I believe the road to the tony looks pretty clear. The footage of him for the show’s opening was totally electric, making his part look big, showy, and very exciting. It brought Roy Cohn in Angels in America to mind for me, which can only mean good things for his awards prospects. Also, the tonys owe Carvel after his Matilda snub)
Supporting actress in a play: Celia Keenan-Bolger (It’s her time. She’s been giving great performances for years, and now she’s got her hands on an iconic character, with most people agreeing that she’s owning it. She’s going to be helped by the fact that Scout is really a leading character that’s eligible in supporting. In the event that the love for the Ferryman and Cranston’s leading performance overcome To Kill a Mockingbird, then Keenan-Bolger could potentially get even more support as a way to reward at least one aspect of the show)
Updated On: 4/25/19 at 03:13 AM
