Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread- Page 25

[Fredrich Yeager]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 6:52am

I see almost everyone in this thread agreeing that Santino Fontana will get the Tony for Best Actor in a Musical, but is there anyone you guys think could give him a serious run for his money? I've heard pretty universally good things about his performance and the Tony voters just eat up drag roles, but I haven't been following other shows with male leads as closely so I could be missing some talented people.

[Call_me_jorge]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 7:43am

I think Derrick Baskin is the closest to beating santino.

[Mike Barrett]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 8:19am

Fredrich Yeager said: "I see almost everyone in this thread agreeing that Santino Fontana will get the Tony for Best Actor in a Musical, but is there anyone you guys think could give him a serious run for his money? I've heard pretty universally good things about his performance and the Tony voters just eat up drag roles, but I haven't been following other shows with male leads as closely so I could be missing some talented people."

Damon Dunno is really the one to look out for. Id say its between him and Santino. Santino and Book seem like the perfect way to honor Tootsie, but the love for Oklahoma may be too strong and push Damon over the edge. I could see it happening, I don't think that race is as definitive as it was a couple months ago. 

[magictodo123]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 8:40am

I agree that I don't really see BMC being nominated for much. I don't think it will be shut out entirely, but I'm not sure what it has going for it. 

 

In terms of competition for Santino....Damon in Oklahoma!?...I'm thinking maybe Brad (right?) in The Prom, possibly Andre de Shields (spelling....?) or Patrick Page? Or are they more likely to be considered for a different category? Otherwise I'm not sure what the Leading group of actors will look like. 

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 8:52am

I have Santino, Damon, Chase, Brooks and Baskins for the nominations.

If they really love ''Hadestown'', maybe Carvey can get Baskins' spot.

[Andres_Zayas]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 8:59am

I’m curious if there’s the possibility of there being 6 nominees for Best Actor in a Musical from a tie in votes, like what happened last year for Best Actress in a Musical. I know Reeve Carney received mixed reviews in Hadestown’s productions at Edmonton and the National Theatre, but I’d love to see him recognized for his talent now that he’s in a great show compared to Spiderman

[CT2NYC]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 9:31am

I think Reeve Carney definitely deserves a nomination. After reading lukewarm responses to his performance, I was surprised at how much I loved him as Orpheus. For me, he was the emotional heart of the show. Also, as I was watching it, I was thinking how well he captured the wide-eyed innocence that was completely missing from Aaron Tveit's characterization of Christian in Moulin Rouge.

[JBroadway]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 9:34am

I wouldn’t count out Brooks Ashkanskas so early. He’s been paying his dues in the industry for a long time now, and off the top of my head, I believe this is the meatiest role he’s had to date (or at least it’s up there). And while I agree that Santino’s role is Tony-baity, so is Brooks’.

(And for the record, I’m saying this as someone who absolutely despised The Prom)

[HeyMrMusic]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 12:08pm

I can see The Prom and Hadestown getting in for every acting category. It seems right for Brooks and Reeve to get in. Santino is probably a favorite, but I think people are right to say watch out for either Brooks or Damon. I think Baskin and Chase will likely push the category to six nominees. Might be an interesting race.

[DramaTeach]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 1:04pm

I sincerely hope that Mr. Carney gets a nomination. His big number toward the end of act two was beautiful, and I agree about his boyish naïveté. The other one I NEED to get a nomination is Jeremy Pope did for best actor in a play. His Choir Boy performance was incredible. Hoping that they don’t forget about him in that role now that it’s closed.

[Rogerdellibovi]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 1:49pm

I definitely think it could be close in votes that we get 6 best lead actor nominees. With the trend of the best musical nominee basically getting whatever acting nominations possible I see Reeve getting in. But I think it’s definetly Santino, Brooks, Damon and Will Chase and either (or possibly both) Derrick and Reeve. I actually think this category is the most up in the air acting category just because there are 3 people (Santino, Brooks and Damon) that could win without me being that shocked. 

[HeyMrMusic]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 1:53pm

While Damon is a very likely nominee, I believe this production of Oklahoma might be a little too polarizing for the larger voting body for him to pull out a win. Santino and Brooks might be safer bets, but it’s so up in the air, nothing would surprise me here.

[TFMH18]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 2:27pm

I'm sure it's somewhere in this thread, but I think one of the most interesting races will be Fish VS. Chavkin for direction. For my money, it's the latter all the way but I could see it going the other way. (And I don't think anyone else in the race comes close.) 

[Broadway61004]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 3:19pm

TFMH18 said: "I'm sure it's somewhere in this thread, but I think one of the most interesting races will be Fish VS. Chavkin for direction. For my money, it's the latter all the way but I could see it going the other way. (And I don't think anyone else in the race comes close.)"

The only other one I could potentially see contend for director would be Scott Ellis, simply because a) Tootsie actually was much better received out of town than a lot of people seem to be remembering, so I think could end up being more of a factor at the Tonys than we're thinking now; and b) The Tonys recently have loved honoring long-time Broadway folks who've never won (Cromer, Ashley, Gold, etc.), so Ellis having 2 shows and over half a dozen prior nominations (and going up against two relative newcomers in terms of Broadway credits) could certainly be a factor.

[52889j]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 3:43pm

I think Best Actor in a Play has become the most interesting category for me. If it were up to me, I would nominate: 

Cranston

Daniels

Considine

Pope

Urie

If I had been told at the curtain call for their respective shows that Pope and Urie likely won't be remembered come nomination time, I would've said you were crazy. I've seen all nominated performances, except for Adam Driver. As of now I'm predicting:

Cranston

Daniels

Miller

Driver

Considine

and it breaks my heart that Pope and Urie are likely out of the picture. In other years, I would've thought Lucas Hedges, Nathan Lane, Ethan Hawke, Tracy Letts, and Daniel Radcliffe were deserving of a nomination.

Updated On: 4/16/19 at 03:43 PM

[HeyMrMusic]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 4:30pm

Yeah, Best Actor in a Play is an insanely stacked category, but that means we will possibly see more than five nominated. The more, the merrier. So many deserving performances this year.

[JudyDenmark]

Posted: 4/16/19 at 5:11pm

HeyMrMusic said: "Yeah, Best Actor in a Play is an insanely stacked category, but that means we will possibly see more than five nominated. The more, the merrier. So many deserving performances this year."

Every year I have trouble narrowing things down, and insist that there must be extra nominees in some categories... but this year I really believe it. It would be a damn shame if Urie and/or Pope didn’t get a nomination for their truly leading performances. (Personally I’d nominate both of them over Daniels, but that’ll never happen.)

We do have several openings still to come, which certainly could help narrow down if someone doesn’t get raves, but man. What a ridiculously stacked list of exceptional actors. Come April 30th, this is easily the category I’m most excited about.  

[dollyfan]

Posted: 4/19/19 at 3:10pm

I saw Oklahoma! last night. Rebecca and Damon were phenomenal as Curly and Laurey, I would love to see them win. Mary Testa and Ali Stroker should get featured. Patrick Vaill was a stunning Jud and deserves a nomination for sure. 

[JBroadway]

Posted: 4/19/19 at 5:04pm

I’m not yet convinced that Pope is out of the race (for a nomination). I admit I haven’t seen Ink yet, but I haven’t heard nearly the same amount of buzz around Miller as I have around Pope. And while I did enjoy Adam Driver’s performance, it’s not exactly a tour-de-force, and I can totally see him getting shut out over Pope - even with Choir Boy having closed.

Everyone keeps saying “it’s too stacked” and “Choir Boy has the disadvantage of being closed” etc. but I predict that this will be one of those cases - rare but not unheard of - where a performance is just so good, and so buzzed-about, that he’ll leap the hurdles and still get in. Even up against all this star-power.

Same thing with Elaine May, except in her case I think it will lead her to the win.

[treblemakerz]

Posted: 4/19/19 at 6:01pm

JBroadway said: "I’m not yet convinced that Pope is out of the race (for a nomination). I admit I haven’t seen Ink yet, but I haven’t heard nearly the same amount of buzz around Miller as I have around Pope. And while I did enjoy Adam Driver’s performance, it’s not exactly a tour-de-force, and I can totally see him getting shut out over Pope - even with Choir Boy having closed.

Everyone keeps saying “it’s too stacked” and “Choir Boy has the disadvantage of being closed” etc. but I predict that this will be one of those cases - rare but not unheard of - where a performance is just so good, and so buzzed-about, that he’ll leap the hurdles and still get in. Even up against all this star-power.

Same thing with Elaine May, except in her case I think it will lead her to the win."

I truly hope so. Jeremy Pope was nothing less than phenomenal when I saw Choir Boy. Currently making plans to see Ain't Too Proud, which I had little to no interest in, just so I can see him perform again. I'll be so sad if he doesn't get recognized.

[Hokosho]

Posted: 4/19/19 at 8:58pm

Ali if she gets nominated will the first person in a wheelchair to get nominated. She is not even playing a person in a wheelchair. She is breaking boundaries and stereotypes

[Mike Barrett]

Posted: 4/19/19 at 11:03pm

Best actor in a play:

Bryan Cranston

Paddy Considine

Jeff Daniels

Adam Driver

Johnny Lee Miller

Jeremy Pope


Yes, I think we’ll get 6 nominations.

[theater_tech]

Posted: 4/20/19 at 1:43pm

Am I going to have to start emotionally preparing myself for Chavkin losing again?

Updated On: 4/20/19 at 01:43 PM

[JudyDenmark]

Posted: 4/20/19 at 2:07pm

Mike Barrett said: "Best actor in a play:

Bryan Cranston

Paddy Considine

Jeff Daniels

Adam Driver

Johnny Lee Miller

Jeremy Pope


Yes, I think we’ll get 6 nominations."

 

And that doesn’t even include Lithgow and Urie! ...Do we think there’s any chance that Paddy Considine doesn’t get a nom? A few months ago I would’ve said it was a guarantee, but now I’m not so sure, only because he hadn’t been in the role for a while.

[Miles2Go2]

Posted: 4/20/19 at 2:13pm

I enjoyed Torch Song, but I don’t think Urie will get nominated. I think Paddy will.