Way Too Early 2020 Tony Predictions thread — Page 7

Jarethan said: "Mike Barrett said: "The biggest ? here is Flying Over Sunset, which I do believe has Best Musical contender written all over it. It should be a fun season to follow!"

I have to admit that this soundstome like the stupidest idea ever for a musical, which leads me to conclude that it is either going to be incredibly bad or incredibly brilliant. I am hoping for brilliant, as I like all three leads (I saw Carmen Cusack a decade or so ago in a revival of South Pacific in St. Louis and thought that she was far and away the best Nellie Forbush I had ever seen and probably tied with Donna Murphy for the best R&H heroine I had ever seen, which says a lot more). I guess we will know whether it is brilliant or a disaster after the first preview.

"

Based on the writers attached, it literally could be either.

I hope Patten wins, just for LuPone to write another book of memoirs and bitch about how she was robbed. And for Randy rainbow to lypsinch it.

Sebby150 said: "Is Girl From The North Country definitely being considered a musical? In an article I read it described it as a play with music."

The London production competed in the musical categories at the Oliviers. I suppose anything's possible and the Tonys could decide to go their own way, but I think it's a safe bet it'll be considered a musical here too.

I can't see Mrs Doubtfire winning or even nominated for anything. Compared to shows I have seen this week in NY, the quality just doesn't stand up. It is funny, but the songs are terrible.
I finally saw Moulin Rouge last night (Dec 25) and I don't see how people can discount this so out of hand. It is the best Broadway show I've seen so far this week. Tina was very good, but this was better. Alex Timbers' direction for sure deserves recognition here. I also thought Karen Olivo was wonderful. She should get a nomination.

Edit: will see WSS in a couple days, forgot about the potential competition for director there.

Updated On: 12/26/19 at 06:06 AM

My predictions for the nominations for the Leading Actress in a Musical Tonys:

Adrienne Warren (Tina)

Jenna de Waal (Diana)

Katrina Lenk (Company)

Sharon D. Clarke (Caroline or Change)

Elizabeth Stanley (JLP)

Possibility: Jeanette Bayardelle (GftNC)



Winners:

Rob McClure (Mrs. Doubtfire)

Danny Burstein (Moulin Rouge)

Patti LuPone (Company)



Nominees:

Aaron Tveit

Issac Powell

And maybe Sahr Ngaujah, Kathryn Gallagher and Lauren Patton with the 6 queens of Six getting special Tonys if not jointed

disneybroadwayfan22 said: "My predictions for the nominations for the Leading Actress in a Musical Tonys:

Adrienne Warren (Tina)

Jenna de Waal (Diana)

Katrina Lenk (Company)

Sharon D. Clarke (Caroline or Change)

Elizabeth Stanley (JLP)

Possibility: Jeanette Bayardelle (GftNC)



Winners:

Rob McClure (Mrs. Doubtfire)

Danny Burstein (Moulin Rouge)

Patti LuPone (Company)



Nominees:

Aaron Tveit

Issac Powell

And maybe Sahr Ngaujah, Kathryn Gallagher and Lauren Patton with the 6 queens of Six getting special Tonys if not jointed"

I believe Mare Winningham will be the only eligible leading actress from Girl From The North Country, and she is a likely nominee. Every other actress in the show should be considered featured.

Updated On: 2/2/20 at 08:21 PM

Best Musical
Flying Over Sunset
Girl From the North Country
Six
Moulin Rouge
Tina the Tina Turner Musical

Best Musical Revival
Caroline, or Change
Company
West Side Story

Best Actor in a Musical
Tony Yazbeck – Flying Over Sunset
Jay O. Sanders - Girl From the North Country
Rob McClure – Mrs Doubtfire
Daniel J. Watts – Tina! the Tina Turner Musical
Isaac Powell - West Side Story

Best Actress in a Musical
Shelly D. Clarke – Caroline, or Change
Mare Winningham – Girl From the North Country
Karen Olivio – Moulin Rouge
Adrienne Warren – Tina! the Tina Turner Musical
Shereen Pimentel – West Side Story

Best Play
The Inheritance
The Lehman Trilogy
The Minutes
Slave Play
The Sound Inside

Best Play Revival
Betrayal
How I Learned to Drive
A Soldier’s Play
Take Me Out
Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Best Actor in a Play
Charlie Cox – Betrayal
Tracy Letts – The Minutes
Campbell Scott – A Christmas Carol
Kyle Soller - The Inheritance
Blair Underwood – A Soldier’s Play

Best Actress in a Play
Zawe Ashton – Betrayal
Laura Linney – My Name is Lucy Barton
Joaquina Kulakango – Slave Play
Mary Louise Parker – How I Learned to Drive
Laurie Metcalf – Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Best Featured Actor in a Play
James Cusati-Moyer – Slave Play
Jesse Tyler Ferguson – Take Me Out
David Alan Grier – A Soldier’s Play
Paul Hilton – The Inheritance
J. Alphonse Nicholson – A Soldier’s Play

Best Featured Actress in a Play
Ato Blankson-Wood – Slave Play
Blair Brown – The Minutes
Annie McNamara – Slave Play
Lois Smith – The Inheritance
Patsy Ferran – Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

MayAudraBlessYou2 said: "Unless someone from a spring musical is surprisingly bumped into lead (or there is a tie in voting), there will only be 4 Lead Actor in a Musical nominees. I only count 8 eligible men (Daniel J Watts was just ruled featured for Tina)."



Depending on how the rulings go, I think we could get 9 eligible. Right now, we have 5 actors who are either confirmed, or virtually guaranteed as eligible:

-Isaac Powell

-Aaron Tveit

-Chris McCarrell

-Brenock O'Connor

-Rob McClure



Then, we have to wait and see about the following:

-Jay O'Sanders - could potentially go featured or leading depending on how they campaign

-Tony Yazbeck - we don't know yet if the role is more leading or more supporting

-Harry Hadden-Paton - same as above

-The kid from Caroline or Change - does anyone know if this role was considered leading or featured in the original production? I see he didn't get nominated. I haven't seen the show, but from listening to the cast album, Noah almost sounds like a co-lead.

-The actor playing Prince Charles in Diana - again, I have no idea if this role is big enough to place him in leading. Can anyone weigh in on that?

So I think it is POSSIBLE that we'll get 5 nominees. But you're correct that the odds may be against it. Because we'd need to get 4 out of those 5 "maybes" put in leading for that to happen, and that might be unlikely.

KevinKlawitter said:

"


Best Featured Actress in a Play
Ato Blankson-Wood – Slave Play
Blair Brown – The Minutes
Annie McNamara – Slave Play
Lois Smith – The Inheritance
Patsy Ferran – Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?"

Ato Blankson-Wood is cis male, as far as i know.

My money is on Aaron or Danny for lead actor, and Karen for simply a nom (MAYBE win).

I will be extremely disappointed if Lauren P. doesn't get nominated for JLP. She was 100% the stand out.

"danny would be featuring as much as I want Aaron to win idk if that will happen! I see Karen getting snubbed potentially not even a nom.

"

Completely agree. There's not enough buzz, but she was great.

Aaron was amazing too, of the shows that have come out so far Isaac and Aaron are my favorite contenders