I feel like best direction of a musical will be a very competitive category with the locks being:
Rachel Chavkin, creating such an innovative concept and staging.
Christopher Ashley, using a small cast, but utilizing so many characters and incredibly well done.
Michael Greif, he's yet to receive a tony award so the voters might want to help him out, especially for such a great piece of theatre.
Matthew Warchus, they need to make things right for not giving him the tony award for Matilda.
Jerry Zaks will probably grab the 5th slot.
My father (AIDS)
My sister (AIDS)
My uncle and my cousin and her best friend (AIDS, AIDS, AIDS)
The gays and the straights
And the white and the spades