"Also, not sure why the length of the run would affect any awards candidate. We've seen people win before for limited engagements..."
Of course they can, but it's certainly harder, especially in a competitive category.
I didn't see Sunday at City Center, though I am going in February- I brought up Gyllenhaal because George is a great role and his reviews were glowing. I would still expect Platt to win even if the run were longer, but thus far he's pretty much walking away with the thing.
I am a firm believer in serendipity- all the random pieces coming together in one wonderful moment, when suddenly you see what their purpose was all along.
Well, damn Best Actress is going to be exciting as hell. Especially if Sutton joins in.
Seconding neonlights : As a person who saw Christy in Anastasia, I can say it is extremely possible that she'll get a nomination. I can't think of a better Anastasia/Anya than Christy. Extremely touching and beautiful. If it wasn't for Bette or maybe even Patti, I would say that she would definitely be the front-runner. The only ways that Christy isn't nominated is if Sutton joins the race or if Christine doesn't get nominated because there are so many good actresses.
My guess is Bette, Patti, Christine, Annaleigh, and even though I know I'm a minority, I think Eva is going to get a nomination. Unless Sutton comes in this season
I'm worried Patti and Christine will split and neither will get nominated. I'd be happy with just one of them being nominated, especially Christine.
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I'm probably in the minority here, but I would prefer it if some of the first timers got nominated instead. Sure it's great to have all these legends back on stage, but I don't think they should be nominated solely based in their name recognition.
Though as of now, the only potential first time nominees in the conversation are Christy Altomare, Denee Benton, Bette Midler (even though she received a special Tony Award in 1974), and Eva Noblezada.
The previous nominees are Laura Osnes and Phillipa Soo. The previous winners are Annaleigh Ashford, Christine Ebersole, and Patti LuPone.
Keep in mind the Tony nominating committee also has the option of awarding special performance Tonys. For example, they could award someone like Midler a special Tony for her performance in HELLO DOLLY and then nominate 5 other women for the competitive Best Actress in a musical award. This used to happen more frequently in decades past, but they did something similar with the girls playing Matilda.
“I knew who I was this morning, but I've changed a few times since then.”
I think people keep writing off Noblezada because she's not a usual name on here... but Kim is, uh, a pretty big role. Moreover, I believe she got raves in London.
I believe current Lead Actress possibilities now include: Christy Altomare, Annaleigh Ashford, Denée Benton, Christine Ebersole, Patti LuPone, Bette Midler, Eva Noblezada, Laura Osnes, Phillipa Soo.
Man, oh man! Sutton Foster better wait a season to come with Charity or my head's going to explode!
Awards tend to be pretty good at spreading the wealth between industry newcomers, legends and inbetweeners regarding nominations I think. There will probably be a good mix next year.
There's also the possibility that if there ends up being a tie in the nominating process, we could see six or seven nominees for Lead Actress in a Musical.
I sense that there are a lot of shows being discussed as in the running that folks have not seen (in addition, of course, to the ones nobody has seen). This is not horse racing. Six shows max from this group will be running post-Tonys, and at least 2 of them will be gone by Labor Day. Place your bets.
I saw Eva in London and definitely believe that it's likely for her to me nominated. I also think Christy has a shot too. I think my top 5 would be:
Christy Altomare
Annaleigh Ashford
Christine Ebersole
Bette Midler
Eva Noblezada
Dark Horse: Denee Benton
I think Patti might be the one to get the short end of the stick this year. I'm holding out on Laura Osnes and Phillipa Soo mainly because I'm haven't seen or heard enough of them yet.
HogansHero said: "I sense that there are a lot of shows being discussed as in the running that folks have not seen (in addition, of course, to the ones nobody has seen). This is not horse racing. Six shows max from this group will be running post-Tonys, and at least 2 of them will be gone by Labor Day. Place your bets. "
I generally just assume that nobody who posts here has actually seen anything.
"Andy Karl got beyond glowing reviews for GROUNDHOG DAY. And he's been nominated twice before. I'm not sure why everyone is ruling him out so quickly."
Because I saw Groundhog Day and there's no comparison to what Ben is doing?
Okay. And that's your personal opinion. There is no denying the reviews he got in London. Weirder things have happened at the Tonys. The most "deserving" person or show doesn't always win...
A little off topic -- but does anyone know how long Ben Platt is contracted for DEH? My only disparaging thought watching his amazing, amazing performance was 'how is he going to sustain that for 8 shows a week for an indefinite period of time." I think the Tony is his unless he for some reason he is only doing a short run in the show.
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WiCkEDrOcKS said: ""Andy Karl got beyond glowing reviews for GROUNDHOG DAY. And he's been nominated twice
Okay. And that's your personal opinion. There is no denying the reviews he got in London. Weirder things have happened at the Tonys. The most "deserving" person or show doesn't always win...
True...as much as Ben Platt's performance blows me away and should definitely win, I can't help but get a David Hyde Pierce over Raul Esparza kinda vibe gnawing in my gut. We shall see...
Not like it matters, but here are my predictions for Best Musical, based on hype from previous productions (and having seen the two nominees I chose that are now open):
Anastasia Come From Away Dear Evan Hansen Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812 War Paint
SPOILER: Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, Groundhog Day
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