Way too early 2017 Tony predictions- Page 9
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#200
Posted: 12/13/16 at 1:21pm
"Also, not sure why the length of the run would affect any awards candidate. We've seen people win before for limited engagements..."
Of course they can, but it's certainly harder, especially in a competitive category.
I didn't see Sunday at City Center, though I am going in February- I brought up Gyllenhaal because George is a great role and his reviews were glowing. I would still expect Platt to win even if the run were longer, but thus far he's pretty much walking away with the thing.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/24/15
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#201
Posted: 12/13/16 at 1:23pm. Updated On: 12/14/16 at 01:23 PM
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#202
Posted: 12/13/16 at 1:24pm
M Butterfly is delayed until the fall, per yesterday's news.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#203
Posted: 12/13/16 at 1:47pm
I'd really be surprised if anyone in any category turns in a better performance than Ben Platt.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#204
Posted: 12/13/16 at 3:23pm
Well, damn Best Actress is going to be exciting as hell. Especially if Sutton joins in.
Seconding neonlights : As a person who saw Christy in Anastasia, I can say it is extremely possible that she'll get a nomination. I can't think of a better Anastasia/Anya than Christy. Extremely touching and beautiful. If it wasn't for Bette or maybe even Patti, I would say that she would definitely be the front-runner. The only ways that Christy isn't nominated is if Sutton joins the race or if Christine doesn't get nominated because there are so many good actresses.
MY GUESSES:
Annaleigh Ashford
Christy Altomare/Sutton Foster
Christine Ebersole/Sutton Foster/Denee Benton
Patti LuPone
Bette Middler
Updated On: 12/13/16 at 03:23 PM
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/5/16
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#205
Posted: 12/13/16 at 3:56pm
Tell me more about this Ashleigh Ashford
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#206
Posted: 12/13/16 at 4:29pm
Dammit: Annaleigh Ashford! Thanks Rox
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#207
Posted: 12/13/16 at 4:38pm
My guess is Bette, Patti, Christine, Annaleigh, and even though I know I'm a minority, I think Eva is going to get a nomination. Unless Sutton comes in this season
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#208
Posted: 12/13/16 at 4:45pm
I'm worried Patti and Christine will split and neither will get nominated. I'd be happy with just one of them being nominated, especially Christine.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#209
Posted: 12/13/16 at 4:55pm
Christine got better reviews, why do you all think they'll nominate only LuPone? If only one gets a nod it will be Christine
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#210
Posted: 12/13/16 at 5:29pm
I'm probably in the minority here, but I would prefer it if some of the first timers got nominated instead. Sure it's great to have all these legends back on stage, but I don't think they should be nominated solely based in their name recognition.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#211
Posted: 12/13/16 at 5:39pm
@littlemouse921, I agree.
Though as of now, the only potential first time nominees in the conversation are Christy Altomare, Denee Benton, Bette Midler (even though she received a special Tony Award in 1974), and Eva Noblezada.
The previous nominees are Laura Osnes and Phillipa Soo. The previous winners are Annaleigh Ashford, Christine Ebersole, and Patti LuPone.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#212
Posted: 12/13/16 at 5:43pm
Keep in mind the Tony nominating committee also has the option of awarding special performance Tonys. For example, they could award someone like Midler a special Tony for her performance in HELLO DOLLY and then nominate 5 other women for the competitive Best Actress in a musical award. This used to happen more frequently in decades past, but they did something similar with the girls playing Matilda.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/24/15
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#213
Posted: 12/13/16 at 5:45pm
I think people keep writing off Noblezada because she's not a usual name on here... but Kim is, uh, a pretty big role. Moreover, I believe she got raves in London.
I believe current Lead Actress possibilities now include: Christy Altomare, Annaleigh Ashford, Denée Benton, Christine Ebersole, Patti LuPone, Bette Midler, Eva Noblezada, Laura Osnes, Phillipa Soo.
Man, oh man! Sutton Foster better wait a season to come with Charity or my head's going to explode!
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/31/15
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#214
Posted: 12/13/16 at 5:47pm
Although Eva didn't get nominated for an Olivier in a much less competitive category. How much that means I'm not sure.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#215
Posted: 12/13/16 at 5:50pm
Awards tend to be pretty good at spreading the wealth between industry newcomers, legends and inbetweeners regarding nominations I think. There will probably be a good mix next year.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#216
Posted: 12/13/16 at 5:59pm
There's also the possibility that if there ends up being a tie in the nominating process, we could see six or seven nominees for Lead Actress in a Musical.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#217
Posted: 12/13/16 at 8:43pm
I sense that there are a lot of shows being discussed as in the running that folks have not seen (in addition, of course, to the ones nobody has seen). This is not horse racing. Six shows max from this group will be running post-Tonys, and at least 2 of them will be gone by Labor Day. Place your bets.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#218
Posted: 12/13/16 at 10:00pm
I saw Eva in London and definitely believe that it's likely for her to me nominated. I also think Christy has a shot too. I think my top 5 would be:
Christy Altomare
Annaleigh Ashford
Christine Ebersole
Bette Midler
Eva Noblezada
Dark Horse: Denee Benton
I think Patti might be the one to get the short end of the stick this year. I'm holding out on Laura Osnes and Phillipa Soo mainly because I'm haven't seen or heard enough of them yet.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#219
Posted: 12/14/16 at 8:53am
HogansHero said: "I sense that there are a lot of shows being discussed as in the running that folks have not seen (in addition, of course, to the ones nobody has seen). This is not horse racing. Six shows max from this group will be running post-Tonys, and at least 2 of them will be gone by Labor Day. Place your bets. "
I generally just assume that nobody who posts here has actually seen anything.
Broadway Legend Joined: 6/13/04
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#220
Posted: 12/14/16 at 12:10pm
"Andy Karl got beyond glowing reviews for GROUNDHOG DAY. And he's been nominated twice before. I'm not sure why everyone is ruling him out so quickly."
Because I saw Groundhog Day and there's no comparison to what Ben is doing?
Okay. And that's your personal opinion. There is no denying the reviews he got in London. Weirder things have happened at the Tonys. The most "deserving" person or show doesn't always win...
Updated On: 12/14/16 at 12:10 PM
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#221
Posted: 12/14/16 at 12:22pm
A little off topic -- but does anyone know how long Ben Platt is contracted for DEH? My only disparaging thought watching his amazing, amazing performance was 'how is he going to sustain that for 8 shows a week for an indefinite period of time." I think the Tony is his unless he for some reason he is only doing a short run in the show.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#222
Posted: 12/14/16 at 1:12pm
What is successful in London is not always successful in New York, as has been discussed ad nauseum on this board.
Chorus Member Joined: 11/10/14
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#223
Posted: 12/14/16 at 4:28pm
WiCkEDrOcKS said: ""Andy Karl got beyond glowing reviews for GROUNDHOG DAY. And he's been nominated twice
Okay. And that's your personal opinion. There is no denying the reviews he got in London. Weirder things have happened at the Tonys. The most "deserving" person or show doesn't always win...
True...as much as Ben Platt's performance blows me away and should definitely win, I can't help but get a David Hyde Pierce over Raul Esparza kinda vibe gnawing in my gut. We shall see...
"
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#224
Posted: 12/14/16 at 4:34pm
Not like it matters, but here are my predictions for Best Musical, based on hype from previous productions (and having seen the two nominees I chose that are now open):
Anastasia
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
War Paint
SPOILER: Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, Groundhog Day
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