Way too early 2017 Tony predictions — Page 9

"Also, not sure why the length of the run would affect any awards candidate. We've seen people win before for limited engagements..."

Of course they can, but it's certainly harder, especially in a competitive category.

I didn't see Sunday at City Center, though I am going in February- I brought up Gyllenhaal because George is a great role and his reviews were glowing. I would still expect Platt to win even if the run were longer, but thus far he's pretty much walking away with the thing.

M Butterfly is delayed until the fall, per yesterday's news.

Well, damn Best Actress is going to be exciting as hell. Especially if Sutton joins in.

Seconding neonlights : As a person who saw Christy in Anastasia, I can say it is extremely possible that she'll get a nomination. I can't think of a better Anastasia/Anya than Christy. Extremely touching and beautiful. If it wasn't for Bette or maybe even Patti, I would say that she would definitely be the front-runner. The only ways that Christy isn't nominated is if Sutton joins the race or if Christine doesn't get nominated because there are so many good actresses.

MY GUESSES:

Annaleigh Ashford

Christy Altomare/Sutton Foster

Christine Ebersole/Sutton Foster/Denee Benton

Patti LuPone

Bette Middler

Updated On: 12/13/16 at 03:23 PM

Dammit: Annaleigh Ashford! Thanks Rox

I'm worried Patti and Christine will split and neither will get nominated. I'd be happy with just one of them being nominated, especially Christine.

I'm probably in the minority here, but I would prefer it if some of the first timers got nominated instead. Sure it's great to have all these legends back on stage, but I don't think they should be nominated solely based in their name recognition.

Keep in mind the Tony nominating committee also has the option of awarding special performance Tonys. For example, they could award someone like Midler a special Tony for her performance in HELLO DOLLY and then nominate 5 other women for the competitive Best Actress in a musical award. This used to happen more frequently in decades past, but they did something similar with the girls playing Matilda.

Although Eva didn't get nominated for an Olivier in a much less competitive category. How much that means I'm not sure.

There's also the possibility that if there ends up being a tie in the nominating process, we could see six or seven nominees for Lead Actress in a Musical.

I saw Eva in London and definitely believe that it's likely for her to me nominated. I also think Christy has a shot too. I think my top 5 would be:

Christy Altomare

Annaleigh Ashford

Christine Ebersole

Bette Midler

Eva Noblezada

Dark Horse: Denee Benton



I think Patti might be the one to get the short end of the stick this year. I'm holding out on Laura Osnes and Phillipa Soo mainly because I'm haven't seen or heard enough of them yet.

"Andy Karl got beyond glowing reviews for GROUNDHOG DAY. And he's been nominated twice before. I'm not sure why everyone is ruling him out so quickly."



Because I saw Groundhog Day and there's no comparison to what Ben is doing?



Okay. And that's your personal opinion. There is no denying the reviews he got in London. Weirder things have happened at the Tonys. The most "deserving" person or show doesn't always win...

Updated On: 12/14/16 at 12:10 PM

What is successful in London is not always successful in New York, as has been discussed ad nauseum on this board.

Not like it matters, but here are my predictions for Best Musical, based on hype from previous productions (and having seen the two nominees I chose that are now open):

Anastasia
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
War Paint

SPOILER: Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, Groundhog Day