Posted: 10/30/16 at 4:24pm
If Lucas Steele can't get a nomination this year, then I can't wait to see the five people who somehow block him...
Updated On: 10/30/16 at 04:24 PM
Posted: 10/30/16 at 4:37pm
Not fully convinced about Eva. She didn't get the Olivier nomination in a weaker category.
I'd say Bette, Christine and Patti then two out of Christy, Denee and Phillipa (if Amelie comes in this season).
Updated On: 10/30/16 at 04:37 PM
Posted: 10/30/16 at 5:24pm
I really feel like Phillipa Soo stands a strong chance if Amélie makes it in this season. Christy Altomare also got uniformly positive reviews out in Hartford. Natasha is a beautiful role, but I'm wondering if Denée will be left out by a strong spring showing.
We'll also have to see how War Paint does once it hits Broadway. We all thought Audra was a cinch for a Tony nom this past season because she was the seasoned veteran, and we all know what happened with Shuffle... It's just such a (blessedly) dense category.
Updated On: 10/30/16 at 05:24 PM
Posted: 11/14/16 at 1:07pm
Updated On: 11/16/16 at 01:07 PM
Posted: 11/16/16 at 9:50am
List updated with Amélie announcement.
Best Musical – Confirmed
Amélie
Anastasia
Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint
Best Play – Confirmed
A Doll's House, Part 2
The Encounter
Heisenberg
Indecent
Oh, Hello
Oslo
The Play That Goes Wrong
Significant Other
Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed
Cats
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard
Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed
The Cherry Orchard
The Front Page
The Glass Menagerie
Jitney
Les Liaisons Dangereuses
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
The Price
Six Degrees of Separation
Confirmed, Ruling TBD
The Present (play: new or revival?)
Not Yet Announced
Half Time (new musical)
M. Butterfly (play revival)
The Master Builder (play revival)
Ride the Cyclone (new musical)
Smokey Joe's Café (musical revival)
SpongeBob: The Musical (new musical)
Sweat (new play)
Sweet Charity (musical revival)
To Kill a Mockingbird (play: new or revival?)
Whorehouse (musical revival)
The Wiz (musical revival)
Updated On: 11/16/16 at 09:50 AM
Posted: 11/16/16 at 10:09am
BroadwayConcierge said: "List updated with Amélie announcement.
Best Musical – Confirmed
Amélie
Anastasia
Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint
"
That's a lot of new shows this season(13!).
Posted: 11/16/16 at 10:27am
If it transfers, isn't Ride the Cyclone a new musical and not a new play?
Posted: 11/16/16 at 10:46am
smidge said: "If it transfers, isn't Ride the Cyclone a new musical and not a new play?"
Whoops, yup! Looks like I got that lost in the shuffle. Thanks for the correction; edited 
Posted: 11/16/16 at 10:56am
Does Ride the Cyclone have commercial producers? I didn't realize there was interest in moving it.
Posted: 11/17/16 at 3:54pm
Holy crap Ride the Cyclone sounds awesome! Had never heard about it until now. I'm sad it won't be playing off-broadway over the holidays so count me in with those who hope it transfers!
Posted: 11/17/16 at 3:58pm
Whatever happens, cheers to an incredible year of new musicals!
Posted: 11/22/16 at 4:52pm
James Cordon has been announced to host the 2017 Grammys, so I think it's safe to say he will not be back for the Tonys as well.
Posted: 11/22/16 at 5:06pm
I would love for Nick Kroll and John Mulaney to host as their Oh, Hello characters.
Posted: 12/4/16 at 2:30pm
Bumping this thread since there's a bunch of traction on the Best Musical thread, in case anybody wants to raise other Tony prediction discussions
Posted: 12/4/16 at 8:44pm
i see no reason why great comet wont pull a hamilton, aka all major awards and the 3 acting categories besides josh. anyone who's seen it would agree
Posted: 12/4/16 at 8:58pm
I'd love to see Brandon Uranowitz get a nom for his gorgeous portrayal of Mendel in Falsettos!
Posted: 12/4/16 at 9:06pm
rg7759 said: "i see no reason why great comet wont pull a hamilton, aka all major awards and the 3 acting categories besides josh. anyone who's seen it would agree"
Not a chance. For starters, unless she is godawful, Bette Midler is probably getting that Tony. The female supporting roles are also probably too small- the only real chance the show has in an acting category is pros ably Lucas Steele, but there's not really a frontrunner at all. At this point, I would be shocked if it didn't take Best Direction, since I doubt anyone else will come even close to the level that Rachel Chavkin is working on.
Posted: 12/4/16 at 9:12pm
VanillaIceCream2 said: "I'd love to see Brandon Uranowitz get a nom for his gorgeous portrayal of Mendel in Falsettos!
Oh, me too. Me too.
Posted: 12/4/16 at 9:23pm
little_sally said: "I would love for Nick Kroll and John Mulaney to host as their Oh, Hello characters."
Their show is likely going to close by Tonys if it doesn't keep extending. So apart from getting good buzz to get an award, them agreeing to host depends on what their plan with the characters are - they might want to take the show on the road, or London maybe? I can see it being picked up as a television special.
Posted: 12/4/16 at 10:16pm
rg7759 said: "i see no reason why great comet wont pull a hamilton, aka all major awards and the 3 acting categories besides josh. anyone who's seen it would agree
"
I have a reason, and it's called Dear Evan Hansen. (With Bette Midler as a secondary reason)
Posted: 12/4/16 at 10:32pm
Based on these DEH reviews tonight...I'm thinking definite locks for tonys are the best Musical, Ben Platt, Rachel Bay Jones, Pasek/Paul, and Steve Levenson....IMO the only way set would be nominated is if the projection designer is nominated with Korins.
I think Natasha will get a number of noms
Posted: 12/4/16 at 11:33pm
As for now locks...
Best Musical
Great Comet
DEH
Best Play
Heisenberg
Musical Revival
Falsettos
Play Revival
Front Page
Score
DEH
Great Comet
and of course
Ben Platt
Updated On: 12/4/16 at 11:33 PM
Posted: 12/5/16 at 1:31am
VanillaIceCream2 said: "I'd love to see Brandon Uranowitz get a nom for his gorgeous portrayal of Mendel in Falsettos!"
A shoe-in, for sure!!
Posted: 12/5/16 at 1:49am
Best Actress in a Musical- Susan Lucci in Dynasty! The Musical!
