Electoral Vote Predictor 2004- Page 5
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004
#100re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/5/04 at 8:06pmoh no, mr. flabbypants. i am so not going to *clap* pump you up! oh, wait, too late...hans, what am i to do know?
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/31/69
#101re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/5/04 at 8:08pmWhat do you do with a problem like Maria?
#102re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/5/04 at 8:54pmyou encourage her to climb every mountain. and yodel. lotsa yodeling.
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
#103re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/6/04 at 9:43amsept. 6th, 2004 - kerry 247 bush 275
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
#104re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/6/04 at 8:08pm
CNN Poll: Did either political convention cause you to change your vote?
Yes - 8%
No - 92%
Poll: Bush apparently gets modest bounce
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/09/06/presidential.poll/index.html
Of particular interest: Incumbents have gotten an average bounce of slightly more than 6 points in previous elections, so Bush's apparent bounce seems small by historical standards.
Kerry got no bounce coming out of the Democratic convention, making Bush's movement appear robust.
Still, the 2 percentage point bounce could be illusory, since the poll's margin of error was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
__________________________
So, I wouldn't get too worried just yet that Bush is that ahead. We'll see as things matriculate.
#105re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/6/04 at 8:30pm
where'd ya get the 92-8 number? was that part of this poll? that's not one of those online polls is it?
an interesting number that you leave out that could be very important to the election is the fact that the % of people who think that the war in iraq was a mistake is down to 38% from 48% in the last week of august. that's a big swing in a short time. whether it is a serious shift (especially given today's news out of the shooting gallery) or just rah rah politics, time will tell.
i think that if the issue of the recent russian tragedy seeps into the american dialogue that those points that were made at the rnc about fighting a war over there so it doesn't get fought over here will start to resonate more and more. but if today is any indication, the networks will spend little or no time on beslan. while the bbc on the other hand made it the focus of almost half their broadcast tonight, the nets were busy with clinton, frances and fallujah. it's interesting to see how the world views what is news.
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
#106re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/6/04 at 8:35pmAs much as I hate to say it, I think Bush is going to run away with the election.
A classic is something that everybody wants to have read and nobody wants to read - Mark Twain
#107re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/7/04 at 12:55am
I didn't leave anything out--the article is linked where anyone can see the numbers for themselves. Some numbers are good for Bush. Some are not. I also know that the full rewards of the bounce will not be seen until this week when polls reflect the post-RNC snapshot. And, yes, I want you to enjoy this while it lasts.
#108re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/7/04 at 1:13am
"but if today is any indication, the networks will spend little or no time on beslan."
It is very interesting to see what the media's priorities are. One of the things that I would love to see change.
My avatar is a reminder to myself. I need lots of reminders...
#109re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/7/04 at 7:55am
sept. 7th, 2004 - kerry 237 bush 275
and for jrb
projected final numbers:
sept. 7th, 2004 - kerry 276 bush 237
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
Updated On: 9/7/04 at 07:55 AM
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
#110re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/8/04 at 10:34am
sept. 8th
current - kerry 264 bush 222
projected final - kerry 265 bush 232
and thus the pendulum swings back on the force of zogby polls.
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/31/69
#111re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/8/04 at 10:37ampapa - you KNOW that America has raised narcissism to an art form.
#112re: electoral vote predictor 2004
Posted: 9/8/04 at 10:39amd, not now, i'm combing my hair.
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
WindyCityActor
Broadway Legend Joined: 11/13/03
#113Whoa! What Happened?!!
Posted: 9/8/04 at 11:44am
September 7, 2004
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 264 Bush 222
#114attack of the zogby!
Posted: 9/8/04 at 11:48amwca, quick, look up.
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
Zola Q. LaPlaya
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/25/04
#115attack of the zogby!
Posted: 9/8/04 at 11:49amBush schmush
Stop worrying about what I'm doing -- focus instead on what you're eating.
#116attack of the zogby!
Posted: 9/8/04 at 11:05pm
Why Democrats shouldn't be scared - By Michael Moore
http://www.michaelmoore.com/words/index.php?id=153
#117swinging medallions
Posted: 9/9/04 at 7:32am
sept. 9th, 2004
current - kerry 243 bush 254
projected final - kerry 255 bush 263
r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty
pray to st. jude
i'm a sonic reducer
he was the gimmicky sort
fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective
#118swinging medallions
Posted: 9/9/04 at 10:37am
good god. These numbers don't sit still for a second, do they.
Just goes to show that I've always thought the margin of error on most polls ought to be +/- 20% or so.
#119swinging medallions
Posted: 9/9/04 at 12:36pmI just want to know who they're polling. Nobody asked me.
"What can you expect from a bunch of seitan worshippers?" - Reginald Tresilian
WindyCityActor
Broadway Legend Joined: 11/13/03
#120swinging medallions
Posted: 9/9/04 at 12:46pm
Yes, it's pretty odd. I'm never asked either.
And I never see any Bush/Cheney buttons anywhere...only Kerry/Edwards.
Of course, Matt, we live in Illinois which is not a swing state.
#122swinging medallions
Posted: 9/9/04 at 10:12pm
I am not the least bit worried. In addition to Micheal Moore, I have read many articles discussing that this is so not over--and that Bush's bounce is not as big a deal as one might think--for one thing, the polls can't agree on how big it is--if at all.
So, keep fighting away. IMHO: We are still winning.
#123swinging medallions
Posted: 9/10/04 at 12:23pm
September 10 - Kerry 252 Bush 254
and "for me" -
Projected Final Electoral College Votes: Kerry 255 Bush 263
#124swinging medallions
Posted: 9/11/04 at 10:27am
September 11 - Kerry 273 Bush 233
Projected Final - Kerry 255 Bush 263
#125Kerry Takes the Electoral College! Again!
Posted: 9/11/04 at 1:22pm
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:
Kerry 273
Bush 233
Sept. 11, Reflecting new polls: in IN KS KY MO PA
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