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Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26 — Page 2

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#26

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

OhHiii said: "Closing Imminent: Two Strangers"

I think Kad made a similar point recently, but the reported weekly running costs for this production are about $480,000, so it's the only new musicals that's actually been making money most weeks. On paper, it should be the least endangered of the lot.

Updated On: 6/9/26 at 05:24 PM

#27

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

We're spending a lot of time, very reasonably, discussing the new shows, but what spooks me is how abysmally almost every new musical since the pandemic is doing. We're already losing Moulin and DBH. MHE, Gatsby, Buena, &Juliet and Six all look to be on their way out. Mincemeat, and Just In Time are showing some weakness. Outsiders seem to have defied their wobble, but they're the only bright light, and it's not that bright. Add in Mormon and this season's mediocre showing, and it's not a pretty picture. I'm praying for a huge summer, but will it come?

Updated On: 6/9/26 at 05:35 PM

#29

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

Sutton Ross said: "Half of your list is completely wrong."

I hope you're right. But I'd love to know why you think so. 

#30

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

Add to that the weakness of the star lead plays that aren’t doing great.  The future of broadway is brand new bold big musicals that are well crafted that people actually WANT to see.  WANTED certainly fits the bill, I’m happy it’s coming in. 

#31

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

Random thoughts:

*I remain surprised (in a good way) how Felton's joining Cursed Child has really given it a kick that remains / very cool to see him playing an extended engagement.

*What's up with Wicked's $106 ATP? Are there discreet discounts floating around / they're packing the house with rush or lottery? It's quite clearly not in danger of closing, just interesting to note. Which brings me to...

*This summer already seems on track to be really, really rough. Removing any political lens from it - it's increasingly trending that international tourism will gonna be severely down and affect the longer runs like Wicked and make newer shows have more of an uphill climb.

It's not apples to apples, but the expected economic impact of the World Cup on hotel reservations in particular already appears to be really underperforming, which trickles down to all aspects of what to do in NYC. I hope I'm proven wrong, truly. But the headwinds seem especially strong so early in summer.

#32

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

The Sondheim, the Schoenfeld, the Circle in the Square, the Belasco, the Golden, the Horne, the Broadway, and the Longacre will all have new tenants by the time next year's Tony deadline rolls around.

#33

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

I realize the post-Tonys box office gross thread often turns gloomy, and the decline in international tourism gives every musical less margin for error. The non-winners seem doomed, but we don’t have to go very far back to see that’s not necessarily true. And some older shows going through bad patches manage to outlast the doomsayers.

So here’s my question: What musical do you think proves people wrong? Here are my best guesses (probably wrong but whatever):

The Lost Boys - Won a couple of featured actor awards and has been making the most money going into the awards ceremony. I was underwhelmed by their Tony Awards performance but others liked it well enough. Plenty of folks are looking for spectacle and competition among the new shows is looking scarce. The musical isn’t targeting the same audience as Schmigadoon anyway, 

Maybe Happy Ending - Things are starting to look grim in the musical’s second post-Criss era and despite its credentials and past awards, it can be argued that the show hasn’t established that it can stand on its own. But we are in the middle of Tony season and attention has been on the new plays and musicals. Most of them probably won’t be around much longer and a few older shows are leaving too. Can’t the musical just tough this period out and emerge as one of the few reasonably new musicals to see. And it’s actually a good show, which theoretically should help - even if the absence of international tourists does not.

Buena Vista Social Club - I haven’t seen it, the show’s on tour, but it’s already done better than I expected and (I assume) doesn’t have the same high costs as the Michael Arden shows.

Operation Mincemeat - Why not? It’s coming close to passing Maybe Happy Endng’s grosses and just keeps plugging along - not doing great but better than I expected after the original cast departed. The marketing team does a nice job.

Just in Time - I don’t know why it had a down week but the show had otherwise stabilized in the post-Groff era with Jeremy Jordan. As a bio-musical, it runs out of steam, but it succeeds as a pleasant night out. There are worse things. And the producers are playing with house money, having already recouped.

Updated On: 6/10/26 at 04:06 AM

#34

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

I have to push back on troubling signs for MINCEMEAT.

They have consistently maintained the same level of grosses and even got a bit of a bump once the new cast took over. Their capacity may have had a little dip, but in my eyes, there is zero indicator that they are struggling. They aren’t star driven, haven’t been on TDF or comp sites, and continue to build return business as opposed to simply trying to get first time business in the door. All this and they only walked with one Tony last year for a performer that has since departed.

Their business model, whatever it is, works really well and I would not be surprised if it’s on a very likely path to recoupment. (I think they were capitalized at $11-12M - and part of that was helping the OG cast relocate to NYC).


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#35

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

Jarethan said: "Reading the messages on this particular subject today has been a little depressing. I am reading (on this and other streams) opinions on what is likely to close and when...for a lot of shows. Couple this with the incredibly limited number of productions that have been announced for fall openings, and one does conclude that there is a good chance that a lot of theatres are going to be empty at the same time, and that much of what remains is going to be the old war horses and whatever the non-profitsproduce.

I have been travelling to NYC two, and occasionally three) times per year, as I travel to and from my snowbird location. Right now, for the first time ever, I am seriously considering cancelling my October visit (the 10/20 - 10/25 date is inflexible due to a wedding as one end and commitments on the other. The new productions announced that will be open during that period honestly hold very little interest, with Other Desert Cities being the only thing that sparks some interest, but not a whole lot. (I can't stand Allison Janney, who IMO gives the same performance in everything she appears in). I don't need to come to NYC to see the war horses, most of which hit Tampa or Sarasota every few years). What's left? Any of the limited engagements that I was forced to miss will be long closed and I have no interest in seeing any of the open-ended runs that I intentionally missed.

Does anyone think there are any other shows arriving by mid-October that have not yet been officially announced. Seems like we have normally heard about them by now.
"

I'm pretty excited for the fall. Benjamin Button, Much Ado, Spring Awakening, Other Deset Cities, Inter QAlia, In the Heights, Wanted. And then a rumored A Few Good Men revivial 

#36

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

kdogg36 said: "OhHiii said: "Closing Imminent: Two Strangers"

I think Kad made a similar point recently, but the reported weekly running costs for this production are about $480,000, so it's the only new musicals that's actually been making money most weeks. On paper, it should be the least endangered of the lot.
"

The 480k figure that gets quoted a lot is from a Forbes article written when the show was in previews. It also appears to me that number is from the offering papers. The number is allegedly higher than what was in Forbes, and is certainly higher since the addition of 2 extra understudies. 

It's a fair point that they aren't losing heaps of money as other shows are. But for security their grosses likely need to start with a 6, which has not happened often recently. It's also true there is no upside here. They seem to have a defined ceiling. There were no meaningful awards wins. I don't think that number on the Tonys would particularly sell tickets, but I could be wrong. It starts becoming a question of "if this is the best we can do, is it worth slowly bleeding out?" I'd think you take the tax credit at this point and try to recoup on tour vs slowly losing more investor money, but who knows.

#37

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

I'm certainly not expecting a long run for it. I think the best case would be sticking it out through January 3; a show that's set during the holiday season should at least stay open through then. But it also seems foolish to consider packing it in now (Closing Imminent!) considering the bloodbath of closings that are coming. It's not going to be long before there is a lot less competition and a lot more open theaters. Simply by virtue of a lot less options for the (dwindling) number of tourist dollars this summer, a smaller show that's currently operating around its breakeven would be better positioned to take advantage. 

#38

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

schubox said: "Jarethan said: "Reading the messages on this particular subject today has been a little depressing. I am reading (on this and other streams) opinions on what is likely to close and when...for a lot of shows. Couple this with the incredibly limited number of productions that have been announced for fall openings, and one does conclude that there is a good chance that a lot of theatres are going to be empty at the same time, and that much of what remains is going to be the old war horses and whatever the non-profitsproduce.

I have been travelling to NYC two, and occasionally three) times per year, as I travel to and from my snowbird location. Right now, for the first time ever, I am seriously considering cancelling my October visit (the 10/20 - 10/25 date is inflexible due to a wedding as one end and commitments on the other. The new productions announced that will be open during that period honestly hold very little interest, with Other Desert Cities being the only thing that sparks some interest, but not a whole lot. (I can't stand Allison Janney, who IMO gives the same performance in everything she appears in). I don't need to come to NYC to see the war horses, most of which hit Tampa or Sarasota every few years). What's left? Any of the limited engagements that I was forced to miss will be long closed and I have no interest in seeing any of the open-ended runs that I intentionally missed.

Does anyone think there are any other shows arriving by mid-October that have not yet been officially announced. Seems like we have normally heard about them by now.
"

I'm pretty excited for the fall. Benjamin Button, Much Ado, Spring Awakening, Other Deset Cities, Inter QAlia, In the Heights, Wanted. And then a rumored A Few Good Men revivial
"

The problem I have is that all but ODC have either not been announced with an official start or the start of the run is later than my targeted interval.  I am not even aware of anything beyond rumors for Heights and Button.  Just surprising to me that so little would have opened by latish October, compared to just about every season I can think of.  Right now I am actually leaning to cancelling.

#39

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

FEAR OF 13 is curtailing their run by 2 weeks, per Telecharge. Closing 6/28 now 


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Updated On: 6/10/26 at 04:28 PM

#40

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

Jarethan said: "schubox said: "Jarethan said: "Reading the messages on this particular subject today has been a little depressing. I am reading (on this and other streams) opinions on what is likely to close and when...for a lot of shows. Couple this with the incredibly limited number of productions that have been announced for fall openings, and one does conclude that there is a good chance that a lot of theatres are going to be empty at the same time, and that much of what remains is going to be the old war horses and whatever the non-profitsproduce.

I have been travelling to NYC two, and occasionally three) times per year, as I travel to and from my snowbird location. Right now, for the first time ever, I am seriously considering cancelling my October visit (the 10/20 - 10/25 date is inflexible due to a wedding as one end and commitments on the other. The new productions announced that will be open during that period honestly hold very little interest, with Other Desert Cities being the only thing that sparks some interest, but not a whole lot. (I can't stand Allison Janney, who IMO gives the same performance in everything she appears in). I don't need to come to NYC to see the war horses, most of which hit Tampa or Sarasota every few years). What's left? Any of the limited engagements that I was forced to miss will be long closed and I have no interest in seeing any of the open-ended runs that I intentionally missed.

Does anyone think there are any other shows arriving by mid-October that have not yet been officially announced. Seems like we have normally heard about them by now.
"

I'm pretty excited for the fall. Benjamin Button, Much Ado, Spring Awakening, Other Deset Cities, Inter QAlia, In the Heights, Wanted. And then a rumored A Few Good Men revivial
"

The problem I have is that all but ODC have either not been announced with an official start or the start of the run is later than my targeted interval. I am not even aware of anything beyond rumors for Heights and Button. Just surprising to me that so little would have opened by latish October, compared to just about every season I can think of. Right now I am actually leaning to cancelling.
"

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button opens Oct. 8 at the Public Theater and is scheduled to run through Nov. 15.

The In the Heights run doesn’t start until Oct. 28 (Encores!).

#41

Broadway Grosses: Week Ending 6/7/26

quizking101 said: "FEAR OF 13 is curtailing their run by 2 weeks, per Telecharge. Closing 6/28 now"

The website now says "3 WEEKS REMAINING"

Brody was out of both shows, Wed June 10th ....

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