PARADISE SQUARE is the most obvious contender on your list.
I have learned not to make predictions about TINA's future anymore since it has surprised at every turn. Similarly, summer will probably be a key time for BEETLEJUICE, but I don't know what to expect of the fall.
MR. SATURDAY NIGHT is one to keep an eye on because its grosses have bounced up and down so much. But a large part of their weekly costs will be Billy's various forms of compensation, and if he wants he could waive and they could run a while. But he might also get tired of doing the same thing 7x a week and want a break.
The8re phan said: "i would add Funny Girl to your list......... not to recommend catching a performance, just that i don't see it lasting that far past summer"
Despite the negative word of mouth, isn't Funny Girl making bank right now?
YvanEhtNioj said: "Despite the negative word of mouth, isn't Funny Girl making bank right now?"
Yes, it is. And as we've discussed, we just need to wait and see what its numbers look like in 2 and 4 months. Classic musicals can often have a strong start and then they fizzle out. But we just don't know at this early point in its run.
I am crossing my fingers and praying and doing my best to remain optimistic that Come From Away will survive. It seems to not be a very expensive show to run (someone on the grosses thread from a couple weeks ago claimed that it costs under $500,000 a week - if anyone can confirm this, please tell me, cause I really hope they were right) so with their current numbers they're hopefully breaking even or close to it. It's also important to note there's a fair amount of empty theatres meaning it's probably unlikely they would be kicked out. (E.g. like what happened with Beetlejuice 1.0). Which means, they'll probably only leave on their own terms. Considering the overall success of the show (aside from the struggles of the past few months) and the fact that cast is a very close-knit community mainly due to the subject matter (there are still original and pre-Broadway cast members with the show 5+ years later), my guess is they wouldn't choose to leave unless they were losing significant money. Which, if the claim that they cost under $500,000 a week to run is true, it looks like they probably aren't, as recent weekly grosses have been around the mid-high $400,000s, give or take. My guess is DEH is probably in a similar boat, although I know there's some problematic aspects to the show/story itself, but that's another conversation.
Company probably very largely depends on the outcome of the Tonys, as well as who replaces Patti after she leaves, (Katrina as well, but probably to a lesser extent) if the show continues past that.
I am way less familiar with Paradise Square, but given their numbers, I would be very surprised if they make it past or even through summer. We'll see if they even make it to the Tonys.
you found your heart but left a part of you behind <3
stoptheworld38 said: "I am crossing my fingers and praying and doing my best to remain optimistic that Come From Away will survive."
I had heard they can afford to run through at least the end of the year. (My guess is that the government bailout allowed them to use the insurance payout to cover losses after Dec. 2021, when they can no longer use that money).
It seems to not be a very expensive show to run (someone on the grosses thread from a couple weeks ago claimed that it costs under $500,000 a week - if anyone can confirm this, please tell me, cause I really hope they were right) so with their current numbers they're hopefully breaking even or close to it.
Even if true, I think its sold-out days are gone. Other than the first week of performances after reopening, they have not sold out a single performance.
It's also important to note there's a fair amount of empty theatres meaning it's probably unlikely they would be kicked out. (E.g. like what happened with Beetlejuice 1.0). Which means, they'll probably only leave on their own terms.
The Schoenfeld is a very desirable house, and one of CFA's producers is adamant to keep the show going as long as possible, so I wouldn't be surprised if they do get kicked out (though not until at least next year).
My guess is DEH is probably in a similar boat, although I know there's some problematic aspects to the show/story itself, but that's another conversation.
I'm sure DEH costs more to run, and is in a more precarious state. but I'm sure it'll make it until the end of the year.
I am way less familiar with Paradise Square, but given their numbers, I would be very surprised if they make it past or even through summer. We'll see if they even make it to the Tonys."
Nolan LuPone said: "Theatrefanboy1 said: "possibly Company (in my opinion depends how long Patti wants to stay with it)" I think Donna Murphy would be a wonderful replacement that could help ticket prices stay afloat."
As has been reported in another thread, they are looking at much bigger names than Patti, as the show needs a boost at the box office. Donna is not a name who would remotely keep sales afloat, and the Patti/Sondheim audience of diehard theatergoers has been nearly exhausted.
I don't think DEH will be closing in 2022. It'll probably last until 2023. They have really been amping up their marketing and I've heard they are doing alright for the time being.
Oddly, several people have come up to me and RAVED about PARADISE SQUARE. If this is any indication of its word-of-mouth, this show might be around longer than expected.
ErmengardeStopSniveling said: "Nolan LuPone said: "Theatrefanboy1 said: "possibly Company (in my opinion depends how long Patti wants to stay with it)"I think Donna Murphy would be a wonderful replacement that could help ticket prices stay afloat."
As has been reported in another thread, they are looking at muchbiggernames than Patti, as the show needs a boost at the box office. Donna is not a name who would remotely keep sales afloat, and the Patti/Sondheim audience of diehard theatergoers has been nearly exhausted."
This was always my hope! I know Gilded Age films in the Summer so it seems plausible and she hasn’t been on stage in a minute so I’m sure she’d be a draw even if for a limited run. If Lenk chooses to depart and they want some sort of name recognition that isn’t a Broadway star, but has been on Broadway previously and in movies, I think Kristen Bell could be an interesting choice. My wish has always been Betsy Wolfe taking over but she’s now committed to another show as we know.
Dollypop said: "Oddly, several people have come up to me and RAVED about PARADISE SQUARE. If this is any indication of its word-of-mouth, this show might be around longer than expected."
Just because the numbers aren’t good doesn’t mean people can’t love the show. Just because it’s not selling our doesn’t mean the people who HAVE seen it don’t love it. “Oddly”? That’s kind of rude. YES I’m aware of numbers. But still.
ErmengardeStopSniveling said: "Nolan LuPone said: "Theatrefanboy1 said: "possibly Company (in my opinion depends how long Patti wants to stay with it)"I think Donna Murphy would be a wonderful replacement that could help ticket prices stay afloat."
As has been reported in another thread, they are looking at muchbiggernames than Patti, as the show needs a boost at the box office. Donna is not a name who would remotely keep sales afloat, and the Patti/Sondheim audience of diehard theatergoers has been nearly exhausted."
We shall just wait and see if Liza says “ Yesh! I’ll do it! But only with Bob Foshee!” 😝