Posted: 5/20/16 at 8:18am
Jennabee said: "MISH2 said: "Looks like it's pretty random as to what time you have to get there/how many people show up/how many tickets there will be. That's why it's so difficult to plan. 3 a.m. may be fine some days, but all it takes is 2 or 3 people to show up before you or 2 or 3 VIPs to be there the next day and get priority for house seats or everyone showing up for tickets won in the online lottery vs. 2 people forgetting to check their email at 4 p.m. - or a combination of all of the above!"
Exactly! One thing I seem to notice since I've been researching this (although it could just be another coincidence) is that some of the unpredictable effects are *because* of the attempts at prediction. That is, people say "Tuesdays tend to be light!" and so a bunch of people show up for the next Tuesday. Then, "Wow Tuesday was SWAMPED" and then people stay away from the Tuesday after that.
IF we decide to do this, I think I'm going to go ahead and give myself an out; show up, see how many people there are, and if I'm more than 10th in line (say) just give it up and enjoy NYC. :)
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It's definitely a toss up. That's why it's so frustrating. When I got in through the cancellation line it was a Saturday and I assumed it was going to be a nightmare, being a weekend night. But 10-15 people got in to the matinee and 6 alone got lottery tickets for the evening performance, plus I don't know who many for the other tickets. It's such a crap shoot.