Official Tony Award 2009 Predictions Thread
#2004/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:24pm
My Wish List but I doubt it will happen
Best Musical
N2N
Best Actor
The Billys
Best Featured Actor
Aaron Tveit
Best Featured Actress
Karen Olivo
Best Actress
Alice Ripely (sp?)
Best Revival-
Hair
esparza 333
Broadway Star Joined: 7/24/07
#2014/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:31pm
Revival is a tough one but Rush is winning Best Actor. Also I think Hair will win Best Lighting. Judging by the clips at least.
#2024/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:35pm
Off Topic
I think Passing Strange should have been nominated and should have won for best lighting
Sorry, I still haven't let that go.
Back On
Ya I think Rush will win based on the reviews. Unfortunately I havn't gotten to NYC that much this year so all I've seen is West Side and N2N
#2034/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:56pmI'm going to get on my ridiculous little soapbox here for Josefina Scaglione. What a marvelous performance she gave and how badly the theatre needs a young leading lady of her calibur! I think she ought to win Actress in a Musical.
#2044/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:59pmTotally agree about PASSING STRANGE's lighting. That, Stew's energy, Eisa Davis (who was robbed of a Tony nomination) and Daniel Breaker were the only things I liked about the show.
kookiem305
Swing Joined: 2/28/09
#2054/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 7:07pmeven though Rush will obviously win best actor in a play, can anyone give a good prediction for the other four actors in that category?
#2064/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 7:12pm
I'm going to get on my ridiculous little soapbox here for Josefina Scaglione. What a marvelous performance she gave and how badly the theatre needs a young leading lady of her calibur
Excalibur? caliber.
#2074/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 7:22pm
My Wish List:
Best Musical- 9 to 5
Best Revival of a Musical- Hair or West Side Story
Best Actor- Gavin Creel
Best Actress- Josefina Scaglione
Best Featured Actor- Will Swenson
Best Featured Actress- Karen Olivo! <
#2084/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 7:51pm
My wish list as of now (remember, I haven't seen JOE TURNER, BLITHE SPIRIT, EXIT THE KING, and a few others yet...so this is just based on what is opened and what I've seen):
Best Musical: NEXT TO NORMAL
Best Actress (Musical): Alice Ripley, N2N
Best Actor (Musical): The Billys, BILLY ELLIOT
Best Featured Actor (Musical): Will Swenson, HAIR
Best Featured Actress (Musical): Karen Olivo, WEST SIDE STORY
Best Play: REASONS TO BE PRETTY
Best Actor (Play): Raul Esparza, SPEED-THE-PLOW
Best Actress (Play): Kristin Scott Thomas, THE SEAGULL
Best Featured Actor (Play): ???
Best Featured Actress (Play): Carey Mulligan, THE SEAGULL
Best Revival (Play): SPEED-THE-PLOW (I guess...)
Best Revival (Musical): HAIR
Best Score: NEXT TO NORMAL
Best Book: BILLY ELLIOT
#2094/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:05pmWill Stephanie J. Block be considered lead or featured? I think she should be considered lead. As much as I loved 9 to 5, I'm on team N2N.
#2104/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:30pmRegarding WSS... Historically whoever plays Tony and Maria have been considered Featured. Wouldn't the producers (or whoever petitions) have an uphill battle for attempting to buck that tradition?
LIVE THAT LESSON!!!!!!
#2114/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:32pmI don't think so. This production revolves around Tony and Maria.
#2124/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:49pmBut haven't they ALL revolved around Tony and Maria?
LIVE THAT LESSON!!!!!!
ZONEACE
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/10/05
#2134/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:52pmNot tony has ever been nominated, period.
#2144/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:53pmYes. But Arthur has made it clear this one is different. And Brantley's review kind of goes into it.
#2154/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:56pm
Given that they're under title, I guess we'll have to wait and see if they're petitioned and what happens.
It just seems that given that the story itself is still the same old story and historically the "kids" have been considered Featured, they'll have a lot of justifying to do.
LIVE THAT LESSON!!!!!!
#2164/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:58pmI think it's pretty clear Tony and Maria are the leads. I'm sure it will happen.
#2174/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:00pm
Rush has a lot of competition:
Dan Radcliff
James Gandolfinni
Brian Denehy
Rupert Everett
Ernie Hudson
Matthew Broderick
Nathan Lane
Bill Irwin
Thomas Sadowski
and others.
#2184/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:15pm
I think that there are about six locks.
Alice Ripley for Best Actress (and I'm not just saying that as an Alice fan. I really think she's a lock and I'm shocked that almost nobody else said that).
Kiril/Trent/David for Best Actor.
Haydn Gwynne for Supporting Actress.
Next to Normal for score.
Hair for Revival.
Billy Elliot for Musical.
Could be wrong about score and Supporting Actress, but if Alice doesn't win this Tony I will faint from shock.
Updated On: 4/13/09 at 09:15 PM
#2194/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:23pm
I think Hair will take revival no matter what.
I wouldn't be so sure about Hadyn getting the Tony, I wasn't necessarily moved by her performance, I was more moved with Olivo's Anita.
#2204/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:24pmHaydn isn't a lock, she is barely a front runner. It seems to be between Karen and Stephanie J Block.
AndAllThatJazz22
Broadway Legend Joined: 11/8/08
#2214/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:26pmN2N isn't a lock for score. It'll be neck and neck between N2N and 925
-Danmeg's 10 year old son.
#2214/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:26pmWell, like I said I might be wrong about Supporting Actress. I haven't seen WSS but I heard amazing things about Karen Olivo and absolutely loved her in ITH. But I really loved Haydn in BE. So, we'll see...
PiraguaGuy2
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/10/08
#2234/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:26pm
There aren't really any major locks at this point.
Best Musical - Billy Elliot is the closest we have to a lock, but 9 to 5 and N2N could slip in there as a HUGE upset.
Best Actress - Allison Janney's still battling it out with Ripley.
Best Actor - I'm still skeptical if the Tony voters will really want to reward the Billys. It could easily swing to Creel or James.
Best Featured Actress - Gwynne might have been considered a lock a while ago, but now it's become the craziest race of the year. You've got her, Karen Olivo who's universally beloved but I wouldn't call her a lock, Stephanie Block and Megan Hilty who are trying to squeeze through one doorway Three Stooges-style, and Martha Plimpton, who is majorly hurt by the reviews for her show.
Best Score - If N2N's taking anything besides Actress, it's this. But it's still playing catch-up to 9 to 5 and Billy Elliot.
Best Revival - Hair is neck-and-neck with WSS. I give Hair a slight edge.
Trish2
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/20/06
#2244/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 10:19pm
"Karen Olivo who's universally beloved but I wouldn't call her a lock"
Huh? universally beloved? thats a bold and blanket proclamation. I always thought of Angela Lansbury, Julie Andrews and Mary Martin to be beloved.
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