Official Tony Award 2009 Predictions Thread- Page 9

[EnWashingtonHeights]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#200

Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:24pm

My Wish List but I doubt it will happen

Best Musical
N2N

Best Actor
The Billys

Best Featured Actor
Aaron Tveit

Best Featured Actress
Karen Olivo

Best Actress
Alice Ripely (sp?)

Best Revival-
Hair

[esparza 333]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#201

Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:31pm

Revival is a tough one but Rush is winning Best Actor. Also I think Hair will win Best Lighting. Judging by the clips at least.

Current Avatar:The sensational Aaron Tveit in the soon to be hit production of Catch Me If You Can.

[EnWashingtonHeights]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#202

Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:35pm

Off Topic

I think Passing Strange should have been nominated and should have won for best lighting

Sorry, I still haven't let that go.

Back On


Ya I think Rush will win based on the reviews. Unfortunately I havn't gotten to NYC that much this year so all I've seen is West Side and N2N

[jv92]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#203

Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:56pm

I'm going to get on my ridiculous little soapbox here for Josefina Scaglione. What a marvelous performance she gave and how badly the theatre needs a young leading lady of her calibur! I think she ought to win Actress in a Musical.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#204

Posted: 4/13/09 at 4:59pm

Totally agree about PASSING STRANGE's lighting. That, Stew's energy, Eisa Davis (who was robbed of a Tony nomination) and Daniel Breaker were the only things I liked about the show.

[kookiem305]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#205

Posted: 4/13/09 at 7:07pm

even though Rush will obviously win best actor in a play, can anyone give a good prediction for the other four actors in that category?

[blaxx]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#206

Posted: 4/13/09 at 7:12pm

I'm going to get on my ridiculous little soapbox here for Josefina Scaglione. What a marvelous performance she gave and how badly the theatre needs a young leading lady of her calibur

Excalibur? caliber.

Listen, I don't take my clothes off for anyone, even if it is "artistic". - JANICE

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#207

Posted: 4/13/09 at 7:22pm

My Wish List:

Best Musical- 9 to 5

Best Revival of a Musical- Hair or West Side Story

Best Actor- Gavin Creel

Best Actress- Josefina Scaglione

Best Featured Actor- Will Swenson

Best Featured Actress- Karen Olivo! <

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#208

Posted: 4/13/09 at 7:51pm

My wish list as of now (remember, I haven't seen JOE TURNER, BLITHE SPIRIT, EXIT THE KING, and a few others yet...so this is just based on what is opened and what I've seen):

Best Musical: NEXT TO NORMAL
Best Actress (Musical): Alice Ripley, N2N
Best Actor (Musical): The Billys, BILLY ELLIOT
Best Featured Actor (Musical): Will Swenson, HAIR
Best Featured Actress (Musical): Karen Olivo, WEST SIDE STORY
Best Play: REASONS TO BE PRETTY
Best Actor (Play): Raul Esparza, SPEED-THE-PLOW
Best Actress (Play): Kristin Scott Thomas, THE SEAGULL
Best Featured Actor (Play): ???
Best Featured Actress (Play): Carey Mulligan, THE SEAGULL
Best Revival (Play): SPEED-THE-PLOW (I guess...)
Best Revival (Musical): HAIR
Best Score: NEXT TO NORMAL
Best Book: BILLY ELLIOT

[Elphaba3]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#209

Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:05pm

Will Stephanie J. Block be considered lead or featured? I think she should be considered lead. As much as I loved 9 to 5, I'm on team N2N.

[jordangirl]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#210

Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:30pm

Regarding WSS... Historically whoever plays Tony and Maria have been considered Featured. Wouldn't the producers (or whoever petitions) have an uphill battle for attempting to buck that tradition?

Experience live theater. Experience paintings. Experience books. Live, look and listen like artists! ~ imaginethis
LIVE THAT LESSON!!!!!!

[ljay889]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#211

Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:32pm

I don't think so. This production revolves around Tony and Maria.

[jordangirl]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#212

Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:49pm

But haven't they ALL revolved around Tony and Maria?

Experience live theater. Experience paintings. Experience books. Live, look and listen like artists! ~ imaginethis
LIVE THAT LESSON!!!!!!

[ZONEACE]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#213

Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:52pm

Not tony has ever been nominated, period.

when ducks grow thumbs then maybe my opinion will change.

[ljay889]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#214

Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:53pm

Yes. But Arthur has made it clear this one is different. And Brantley's review kind of goes into it.

[jordangirl]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#215

Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:56pm

Given that they're under title, I guess we'll have to wait and see if they're petitioned and what happens.

It just seems that given that the story itself is still the same old story and historically the "kids" have been considered Featured, they'll have a lot of justifying to do.

Experience live theater. Experience paintings. Experience books. Live, look and listen like artists! ~ imaginethis
LIVE THAT LESSON!!!!!!

[ljay889]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#216

Posted: 4/13/09 at 8:58pm

I think it's pretty clear Tony and Maria are the leads. I'm sure it will happen.

[CurtainPullDowner]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#217

Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:00pm

Rush has a lot of competition:
Dan Radcliff
James Gandolfinni
Brian Denehy
Rupert Everett
Ernie Hudson
Matthew Broderick
Nathan Lane
Bill Irwin
Thomas Sadowski
and others.

[Here I Am]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#218

Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:15pm

I think that there are about six locks.

Alice Ripley for Best Actress (and I'm not just saying that as an Alice fan. I really think she's a lock and I'm shocked that almost nobody else said that).

Kiril/Trent/David for Best Actor.

Haydn Gwynne for Supporting Actress.

Next to Normal for score.

Hair for Revival.

Billy Elliot for Musical.

Could be wrong about score and Supporting Actress, but if Alice doesn't win this Tony I will faint from shock.
Updated On: 4/13/09 at 09:15 PM

[CSonBroadway]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#219

Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:23pm

I think Hair will take revival no matter what.

I wouldn't be so sure about Hadyn getting the Tony, I wasn't necessarily moved by her performance, I was more moved with Olivo's Anita.

I'm a professional. Whenever something goes wrong on stage, I know how to handle it so no one ever remembers. I flash my %#$&. "Jayne just sat there while Gina flailed around the stage like an idiot."

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#220

Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:24pm

Haydn isn't a lock, she is barely a front runner. It seems to be between Karen and Stephanie J Block.

[AndAllThatJazz22]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#221

Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:26pm

N2N isn't a lock for score. It'll be neck and neck between N2N and 925

"There's nothing good on. The media hates Christmas. The media loves vampires, though. Maybe they will show a Twilight Christmas."
-Danmeg's 10 year old son.

[Here I Am]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#221

Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:26pm

Well, like I said I might be wrong about Supporting Actress. I haven't seen WSS but I heard amazing things about Karen Olivo and absolutely loved her in ITH. But I really loved Haydn in BE. So, we'll see...

[PiraguaGuy2]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#223

Posted: 4/13/09 at 9:26pm

There aren't really any major locks at this point.

Best Musical - Billy Elliot is the closest we have to a lock, but 9 to 5 and N2N could slip in there as a HUGE upset.
Best Actress - Allison Janney's still battling it out with Ripley.
Best Actor - I'm still skeptical if the Tony voters will really want to reward the Billys. It could easily swing to Creel or James.
Best Featured Actress - Gwynne might have been considered a lock a while ago, but now it's become the craziest race of the year. You've got her, Karen Olivo who's universally beloved but I wouldn't call her a lock, Stephanie Block and Megan Hilty who are trying to squeeze through one doorway Three Stooges-style, and Martha Plimpton, who is majorly hurt by the reviews for her show.
Best Score - If N2N's taking anything besides Actress, it's this. But it's still playing catch-up to 9 to 5 and Billy Elliot.
Best Revival - Hair is neck-and-neck with WSS. I give Hair a slight edge.

Formerly SirNotAppearing - Joined 3/08

[Trish2]

4/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)#224

Posted: 4/13/09 at 10:19pm

"Karen Olivo who's universally beloved but I wouldn't call her a lock"

Huh? universally beloved? thats a bold and blanket proclamation. I always thought of Angela Lansbury, Julie Andrews and Mary Martin to be beloved.