Official Tony Award 2009 Predictions Thread
bardolator
Featured Actor Joined: 3/8/06
#1754/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 6:17pm
"I heard that they will be submitting Marc Kudisch for Best Actor instead of Featured Actor because they don't have any other men in the show for that category."
Could be, but categorizing Kudisch for Actor and Block and Hilty for Featured is just bizarre. I know bizarre things happen, but....
#1764/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 6:20pmI know its not a major category, but I think N2N should get best orchestrations... stunning orchestrations IMO
#1774/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 6:22pmJust because they don't have any other men in the show that are considered "leading" doesn't mean that they should submit Kudisch there. Take Gypsy for example. Herbie has always been considered a Featured role, but there is no other male part in the show that is bigger. I think Kudisch would have a much better chance if they petition him for Featured.
#1784/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 8:54pm
I think it's safe to say that the nominees for best musical are
Next to Normal
Billy Elliot
9 to 5
Shrek
(Rock of Ages might slip in and grab Shrek's spot)
#1794/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 9:02pmRock of Ages WON'T even be heard of on the TONYS.
#1804/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 9:04pm
I wouldn't be so sure about that.
SHREK and ROCK OF AGES could very easily alternate at this point.
ROCK OF AGES got much better reviews than SHREK did. We shall see.
jagfkb
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/29/07
#1814/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 9:44pm
Sure, but almost EVERYONE agrees that, in terms of substance, Rock of Ages has MUCH LESS than Shrek. Also, almost all audeicnes had positive things to say about Rock of Ages. Really, the nominees are as follows:
Billy Elliot
9 to 5 (Unless things REALLY take a turn for the worse)
Next to Normal
Shrek
The only real shift I can see is if [title of show] DOES come back. Hey, who knows? Stranger things have happened. Also, even though Allisson Janey DOES give a great performance, it's Alice Ripley's award.
PiraguaGuy2
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/10/08
#1824/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 9:48pm[tos] won't reopen on Broadway in time for 2 weeks from now.
#1834/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 9:55pmWill people STFU about [tos] already?! I'm still waiting on phase two of Operation Golden Pony...
jagfkb
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/29/07
#1844/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 9:55pm
Well, they are coming back.
Don't ask how I know, but they are...
#1854/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 9:56pmUpdated On: 4/12/09 at 09:56 PM
#1864/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 9:59pmPerforming in homeless shelters doesn't count as them coming back...
KingKong
Broadway Star Joined: 2/28/09
#1874/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:00pmoh lord, these losers are still making up bull**** about [tos] returning?
PiraguaGuy2
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/10/08
#1884/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:00pmYou weren't so sure 20 minutes ago, pal...
heo1128
Broadway Star Joined: 7/9/08
#1894/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:25pmI think it's pretty clear that tos will not be reopening. If they were to reopen, they would get in before the cut off. And Eleah, I hope you weren't being serious...
#1904/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:31pm
Perhaps this is what they mean as "coming back."
This was on the [tos] blog:
We've been getting lots of inquiries about what the heck this show at Feinstein's is all about on May 11th. Well, it's about an hour long and it's chock-full of cut songs and scenes from the classic Broadway Musical [title of show].
Among such lost gems as "The Quartet", "The Invisible Watermelon" and the show's title song, you'll also hear the first-ever live performance of "The Tony Award Song" in it's entirety. It's safe to assume that there'll be some snappy banter and entertaining tales as well.
All you die-hard tossers will not want to miss this one.
Actors Fund Presents: The Cast of [title of show]
Monday, May 11, 2009 8:30 PM EDT
at Feinstein's at Loews Regency
bwayguy22089
Broadway Star Joined: 12/16/06
#1914/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:34pmRock of Ages will definitely be nominated in several categories. I'm sure it will be nominated (and probably win) for best lighting. It might also be nominated for choreography, costumes, etc. Probably best musical too, but I'm almost certain it won't win that one.
#1924/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:39pm
classic Broadway Musical [title of show] is not.
Throwing in a lot of lights doesn't make it good. Billy & 9to5 are fighting it out for choreography. Costumes....... not a chance, 9to5 has their hands on that & waiting to pull it in.
#1934/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:40pm
Piraqua, I am so impressed with your montage!
Get it to the press.
And I think it's about 90% correct
If Kudish gets in the Lead category he would def take Bierko's spot.
And Featured Actress in a Musical is an embarassment of Riches.
Carol Shelly is amazing in BILLY ELLIOT and that makes six worthy noms, and never count out the Testa, even in a tiny role, she cooks, and Susan and Heidi, Oy!
And I seriously think and hope that TOS will get nods, score and book I hope. Wouldn't Beresse be a great suprise instead of that guy who managed to screw up his own Masterpiece.
Best Director of a Musical:
Michael Beresse
Stephen Daldry
Kristen Hanggi
Diane Paulus
Im my dreams, I know, but they are the four directors who proved their worth this season.
Updated On: 4/12/09 at 10:40 PM
#1944/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:44pmKudisch is NOT in a lead role....if he gets nominated for Lead and Block and Hilty get pushed to featured, I'll be pissed. So not right.
#1954/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 10:48pmI would like to see Olivo take featured.
sundayclothes2
Featured Actor Joined: 4/10/09
#1964/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/12/09 at 11:59pmWho do you all thing will be taking home Best Actor in a Play and Best Revival of a Play?
#1974/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 12:08am
Is the rewriten Pal Joey book eligible for awards? I thought it was one of the better parts of the not-so-wonderful production.
Also, what do y'all think [tos]'s chances are? I know its probably not going to win anything, but could it get nominations in any categories?
I really hope Guys and Dolls is shut out other than its inevitable revival nomination, what a dreadful production.
#1984/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 12:19amI don't know about Revival of a Play but Rush will take Actor.
Unknown User
Joined: 12/31/69
#1994/12/09 - Our nominated performers? (In order of winning probability)
Posted: 4/13/09 at 2:46pmWhat is the minimum number of shows they will nominate? I seem to remember most years there are 4 or 5, but haven't there been years where it went down to 3, when the committee felt there were not enough good shows?
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