Show Closures Before Spring (speculation)

Is it safe to say that these are the most likely candidates for impending closures (the ones that aren't announced, or limited run) that would make way for some new shows in the Spring? No particular order:

1. Chicago

2. Hell's Kitchen

3. Six

4. Stranger Things

&julist seems at risk. I hope moulin rouge can keep it going

jimmycurry01 said: "Chicago is eternal. It's essentially a staged concert. It costs very little to run, and almost assuredly makes enough every week to pay the bills. Chicago is the cockroach of Broadway. It could survive a nuclear holocaust."

And really, the Weisslers deserve every penny. They took that initial risk. And they’ve been very nicely rewarded for it.

CHICAGO? Girl, that show will outlive the actual city itself with the way things are these days.

SIX is also remarkably cheap to run and since it’s operating on pure profit, they pretty much can close at their leisure unless the Nederlanders get their hands on a show worth kicking SIX out for. (And it will still probably go to NWS after)

I think many people are betting on the new season of STRANGER THINGS to bring this massive business boom to the play, but the question is going to be how much money Netflix is going to be willing to light on fire in the hope that the long game will succeed.

I will say that, in terms of massively large productions, I think HARRY POTTER will likely shutter after Tom Felton’s run finishes in May since it’s not making nearly as much as it used to. It recouped back in late 2022, but now they run the risk of burning off profits by going past the sell-by date. I also think MOULIN ROUGE is at great risk since the stunt casting doesn’t seem to be helping like it once was (if it ever really did).

GATSBY is a weird nut to crack since it could go downhill any moment but it’s still somehow running. It’s not like the precipitous downfall of CABARET. I’m wondering if they are considering any of the London performers (Corbin Bleu, Rachel Tucker, etc) for a Broadway run. Also, that theatre is not the most desirable, and so I can imagine that the Shuberts will keep them aboard until something better comes along.

Juliet still in profit. Low running costs. Moulin Rouge is in the red. High running costs.

Chicago also has the benefit of being in the Ambassador, which isn't exactly a sought-after house. There's truly nothing stopping the show from running through infinity.

ChiDoc said: "Chicago also has the benefit of being in the Ambassador, which isn't exactly a sought-after house. There's truly nothing stopping the show from running through infinity."

I’m curious that if/when CHICAGO does close (in a decade that far succeeds our own), they will renovate it like they did with the Majestic.

A show that has recouped can cut its operating costs, that is why Hadestown, Six, Book of Mormon and Chicago are still running, all those 4 shows could easily move to off Broadway.

Moulin Rouge is gonna get someone big to come in, I just know it

Why r u pushing them out the door? Do you know their numbers? They’ve made just under a million week by week

Timon3 said: "A show that has recouped can cut its operating costs, that is why Hadestown, Six, Book of Mormon and Chicago are still running, all those 4 shows could easily move to off Broadway."


Hardly any of those things are true. After a show recoups, a lot of the creative team will get a higher royalty, and the fixed costs don’t go down (rent, advertising, rentals, etc).

SIX is the only one of those shows that could transfer to Off Broadway without a major overhaul.

Where exactly can operating costs be cut, once recouped?

Updated On: 9/3/25 at 09:47 PM