There's good word about Groban's take on Pierre in The Great Comet thread. I'd keep him a strong contender for Best Supporting role (or would they try to justify him being lead since he got top billing?).
Caption: Every so often there was a rare moment of perfect balance when I soared above him.
I think they could probably justify him going into either so will try and put him into whichever will be the easier category for him to potentially win in.
He and Denee Benton are prominently billed over the title. There is no way either would be lobbied as supporting (heck they even beefed up the role for Groban).
"...everyone finally shut up, and the audience could enjoy the beginning of the Anatevka Pogram in peace."
Reposting with edits based on comments, and Bandstand addition:
Best Musical – Confirmed Anastasia The Bandstand A Bronx Tale Charlie and the Chocolate Factory Come From Away Dear Evan Hansen Groundhog Day Holiday Inn In Transit Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812 Paramour War Paint
Best Play – Confirmed A Doll's House, Part 2 The Encounter Heisenberg Oh, Hello Oslo Significant Other
Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed Cats Falsettos Hello, Dolly! Miss Saigon Sunset Boulevard
Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed The Cherry Orchard The Front Page The Glass Menagerie Jitney Les Liaisons Dangereuses The Little Foxes Present Laughter The Price Six Degrees of Separation
Confirmed, Ruling TBD The Present (play: new or revival?)
Not Yet Announced Amélie (new musical) Half Time (new musical) M. Butterfly (play revival) The Master Builder (play revival) Ride the Cyclone (new play) Smokey Joe's Café (musical revival) SpongeBob: The Musical (new musical) Sweat (new play) Sweet Charity (musical revival) To Kill a Mockingbird (play: new or revival?) Whorehouse (musical revival) The Wiz (musical revival)
Best Musical – Confirmed Anastasia The Bandstand A Bronx Tale Charlie and the Chocolate Factory Come From Away Dear Evan Hansen Groundhog Day Holiday Inn In Transit Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812 Paramour War Paint
Best Play – Confirmed A Doll's House, Part 2 The Encounter Heisenberg Oh, Hello Oslo Significant Other
Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed Cats Falsettos Hello, Dolly! Miss Saigon Sunset Boulevard
Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed The Cherry Orchard The Front Page The Glass Menagerie Jitney Les Liaisons Dangereuses The Little Foxes Present Laughter The Price Six Degrees of Separation
Confirmed, Ruling TBD The Present (play: new or revival?)
Not Yet Announced Amélie (new musical) Half Time (new musical) M. Butterfly (play revival) The Master Builder (play revival) Ride the Cyclone (new play) Smokey Joe's Café (musical revival) SpongeBob: The Musical (new musical) Sweat (new play) Sweet Charity (musical revival) To Kill a Mockingbird (play: new or revival?) Whorehouse (musical revival) The Wiz (musical revival)
Best Musical – Confirmed Anastasia The Bandstand A Bronx Tale Charlie and the Chocolate Factory Come From Away Dear Evan Hansen Groundhog Day Holiday Inn In Transit Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812 Paramour War Paint
Best Play – Confirmed A Doll's House, Part 2 The Encounter Heisenberg Indecent Oh, Hello Oslo Significant Other
Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed Cats Falsettos Hello, Dolly! Miss Saigon Sunset Boulevard
Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed The Cherry Orchard The Front Page The Glass Menagerie Jitney Les Liaisons Dangereuses The Little Foxes Present Laughter The Price Six Degrees of Separation
Confirmed, Ruling TBD The Present (play: new or revival?)
Not Yet Announced Amélie (new musical) Half Time (new musical) M. Butterfly (play revival) The Master Builder (play revival) Ride the Cyclone (new play) Smokey Joe's Café (musical revival) SpongeBob: The Musical (new musical) Sweat (new play) Sweet Charity (musical revival) To Kill a Mockingbird (play: new or revival?) Whorehouse (musical revival) The Wiz (musical revival)
little_sally said: "The Best Play category is just dire.
"
I know that was posted before Indecent was announced, but even so, with Heisenberg, Significant Other, and Oslo, I think it's a pretty solid year actually! And my guess on nominees will be those three plus Indecent. Maybe A Doll's House Part 2 will get raves and get in, but I'm letting my personal dislike of Hnath's work to prevent me from predicting it. :)
Play Revival, on the other hand, I'm finding pretty bleak. With The Cherry Orchard terrible, The Front Page meh, Liasons...fine, not being excited at all for this Menagerie, and hating Present Laughter, I'm leaning heavily on my hopes for Jitney, Six Degrees, and The Little Foxes. Let the Spring revivals be better than Fall!
Best Musical is going to be nuts. My extremely early guesses: Dear Evan Hansen, Great Comet, Groundhog Day, Anastasia (with War Paint on the bubble)