Daddy Warbucks said: "I think Dear Evan Hansen will suffer a bit from having been opened a few months and not as fresh and new in the Tony voters' minds. Reduced buzz. Hamilton did fine by the time the Tonys rolled around, but this isn't Hamilton. Therefore, if Great Comet can survive until the Tony's, I see it splitting the art vote from DEH, and watch for Anastasia to swing in as the last minute fresh and buzzing entry in late April with the out of town vote helping to boost it ahead of the split DEH and comet voters.
DEH, more so than Anastasia in my opinion, will benefit the most if Comet stumbles.
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EL OH EL! Beyond ridiculous. Its Broadway opening generates brand-new buzz which, when combined with very deep pockets (it has it) and aggressive press junkets (there will be), will easily carry it through to the spring.