Tony predictions -- will and should win- Page 2

[ChiTheaterFan]

Posted: 5/3/16 at 5:48pm

I wish I had an essay about the writing, choreography, lighting, set design, costumes, etc. Of each show as we do with the Hamilton book. I'm being entirely serious and non-snarky. Reading about the process gave me a whole new depth of appreciation for the subtle choices that were made.  I'm sure the same thought has gone into the decisions for all these shows, so I wish I could get insight into the process. It's fascinating to me since I have no gift for such creativity. 

Updated On: 5/3/16 at 05:48 PM

[disneybroadwayfan22]

Posted: 5/3/16 at 6:33pm

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress


Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me (WILL WIN)
Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me 
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed 
Megan Hilty, Noises Off (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (WIN/SHOULD WIN)
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
David Korins, Hamilton 
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Costume Design of a Play

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed
Tom Scutt, King Charles III

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting (SHOULD WIN)
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me 
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (WILL WIN)
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton 

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening 
Justin Townsend, American Psycho

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof (SHOULD WIN)
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

[Randomlink1]

Posted: 5/3/16 at 9:25pm

I'm betting that Hamilton wins no more than 5 awards

I don't see it winning in the acting categories, but in the quality of the show libretto and music wise it will most likely win.

[aaaaaa15]

Posted: 5/3/16 at 9:28pm

It is quite ridiculous to think Hamilton wont win any acting awards, especially when it has a good chance in 3 of the 4 categories.

 

 

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 5/3/16 at 9:56pm

Randomlink1 said: "I'm betting that Hamilton wins no more than 5 awards

I don't see it winning in the acting categories, but in the quality of the show libretto and music wise it will most likely win."

This statement would only make sense if you said the opposite about acting. It's pretty much a lock for both Featured performance categories and Lead Actor looks highly in its favor. It can and absolutely will win more than five awards. 

[ethan231h]

Posted: 5/3/16 at 10:48pm

Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett 

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible (WILL WIN)
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off (SHOULD WIN)

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple (WILL WIN)
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me 
Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed (WILL WIN)
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible (SHOULD WIN)
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me 
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed 
Megan Hilty, Noises Off (WILL WIN)
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans (SHOULD WIN)
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin 
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
David Zinn, The Humans

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho (SHOULD WIN/WILL MAYBE WIN)
David Korins, Hamilton (WILL MAYBE WIN)
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me 

Best Costume Design of a Play

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed
Tom Scutt, King Charles III

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me (SHOULD WIN)
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton (WILL MAYBE WIN)
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening 
Justin Townsend, American Psycho (SHOULD WIN/WILL MAYBE WIN)

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

[wonderfulwizard11]

Posted: 5/3/16 at 11:26pm

Not doing any should wins, since there's a lot I have yet to see and I don't want to judge against things that I haven't seen. 

Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam WILL WIN
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett 

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton WILL WIN
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge WILL WIN
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off 

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple 
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me WILL WIN (this could also be The Color Purple, but I think She Loves Me is a better show overall)
Spring Awakening 

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda WILL WIN
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda WILL WIN
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge WILL WIN (For me, it's a toss-up between him and Langella)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night 
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed WILL WIN
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton WILL WIN

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me 
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple WILL WIN
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans WILL WIN
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed 
Megan Hilty, Noises Off 
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans WILL WIN (This could also go to Hilty, but I give Houdyshell the edge since she's in a currently running show and has been nominated before)
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton WILL WIN
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton WILL WIN
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin WILL WIN
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 
David Zinn, The Humans

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho 
David Korins, Hamilton WILL WIN
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me 

Best Costume Design of a Play

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night 
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed WILL WIN
Tom Scutt, King Charles III

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me 
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton WILL WIN

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge WILL WIN

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton WILL WIN
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening 
Justin Townsend, American Psycho 

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge WILL WIN

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening 
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton WILL WIN
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton 
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed WILL WIN (Very torn between Glover and Blankenbuehler, but I give Glover the edge since the tapping in Shuffle Along is the absolute highlight, whereas Hamilton's choreography is excellent in a show filled with excellence)
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton WILL WIN
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Updated On: 5/3/16 at 11:26 PM

[backwoodsbarbie]

Posted: 5/3/16 at 11:31pm

I believe the Color Purple should win but She Loves Me will win. I saw the original Color Purple and would describe it as bulky and clunky. The production distracted from the material. This new production is so simplistic and seamless that it reinvigorated the material. In my opinion, that is how a revival should be judged. For those who have seen other productions of the She Loves Me, is this revival drastically different or a standard interpretation of the material?

 

[Caitiecait92]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 12:22am

jakebloke said: "I imagine Hamilton will win for Best Scenic Design, however it will just be an example of the voters trying to give Hamilton as many awards as possible. It definitely won't deserve that one.  Should win?  American Psycho, or even She Loves Me.  

Same thing for Lighting.  Hamilton will likely get it.....just because it's Hamilton.  American Psycho should get it.

 

I haven't seen Hamilton, and I would like to see it (I just hope I'm not disappointed with the build up of the show), but from what I've seen I have to agree with you jakebloke. I think for some of the categories Hamilton will get the award because it's Hamilton, and because it has such a strong following. This is my opinion. I think they shouldn't win best costume or best set design. The costumes? Eh I feel like there nothing special about them. Okay the set it two tiers. What about the musicals that change their sets every scene? When I think of set designs I think of the beautiful props, backdrops and lighting.

I'd like to know what rubric or points are looked at when nominating and deciding a winner for the Tony's.  I think I'm just upset that there's a chance Hamilton will sweep the Tony's. They might as well call it the Hamilton Awards! I like variety, and for everyone to have their moment in the spot light. 

 

 

"

 

[aaaaaa15]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 12:26am

To be fair, the lighting design in Hamilton is brilliant. So brilliant that I'd say it's one of the best 5 things about the show. I have no qualms whatsoever about it winning that award. It definitely doesn't deserve all the technical awards though.

[RentBoy86]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 1:52am

Set should absolutely go to Psycho. The fact that they shut it out of all the awards except this shows that even they were like "woah" at the design. It's beautifully done. 

And all I care about is Carmen Cusack winning. She's a star and a diva. And I cannot wait to see what else she does.

[bwayphreak234]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 8:05am

Best Play
Will Win: The Humans
Should Win: King Charles III
Should Have Been Nominated: None

Best Musical
Will Win: Hamilton
Should Win: Hamilton
Should Have Been Nominated: American Psycho

Best Revival of a Play
Will Win: Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge
Should Win: Blackbird, Noises Off
Should Have Been Nominated: None

Best Revival of a Musical
Will Win: She Loves Me
Should Win: She Loves Me
Should Have Been Nominated: None

Best Book of a Musical
Will Win: Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda
Should Win: Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda
Should Have Been Nominated: Waitress – Jessie Nelson

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
Will Win: Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda
Should Win: Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda
Should Have Been Nominated: American Psycho - Music & Lyrics: Duncan Sheik

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play
Will Win: Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge
Should Win: Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles
Should Have Been Nominated: None

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play
Will Win: Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed
Should Win: Michelle Williams, Blackbird
Should Have Been Nominated: None

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical
Will Win: Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton
Should Win: Benjamin Walker, American Psycho
Should Have Been Nominated: Benjamin Walker, American Psycho

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical
Will Win: Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple
Should Win: Laura Benanti, She Loves Me
Should Have Been Nominated: Ana Villafañe, On Your Feet!

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play
Will Win: Reed Birney, The Humans
Should Win: Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Should Have Been Nominated: Oliver Chris, King Charles III

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play
Will Win: Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans
Should Win: Megan Hilty, Noises Off 
Should Have Been Nominated: Lydia Wilson, King Charles III

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical
Will Win: Daveed Diggs, Hamilton
Should Win: Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Should Have Been Nominated: None

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical
Will Win: Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Should Win: Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Should Have Been Nominated: Helene Yorke, American Psycho

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Will Win: David Zinn, The Humans
Should Win: Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin
Should Have Been Nominated: David Korins, Misery

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Will Win: David Korins, Hamilton
Should Win: Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
Should Have Been Nominated: Michael Yeargan, Fiddler on the Roof

Best Costume Design of a Play
Will Win: Tom Scutt, King Charles III
Should Win: Tom Scutt, King Charles III 
Should Have Been Nominated: Jane Greenwood, Therese Raquin

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Will Win: Paul Tazewell, Hamilton
Should Win: Paul Tazewell, Hamilton
Should Have Been Nominated: None

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Will Win: Justin Townsend, The Humans
Should Win: Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Should Have Been Nominated: Keith Parham, Therese Raquin

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Will Win: Howell Binkley, Hamilton
Should Win: Justin Townsend, American Psycho
Should Have Been Nominated: Donald Holder, Fiddler on the Roof

Best Direction of a Play
Will Win: Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge
Should Win: Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge
Should Have Been Nominated: None

Best Direction of a Musical
Will Win: Thomas Kail, Hamilton
Should Win: Thomas Kail, Hamilton
Should Have Been Nominated: Rupert Goold, American Psycho

Best Choreography
Will Win: Savion Glover, Shuffle Along
Should Win: Savion Glover, Shuffle Along
Should Have Been Nominated: Lynne Page, American Psycho

Best Orchestrations
Will Win: Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton
Should Win: Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton 
Should Have Been Nominated: Duncan Sheik, American Psycho

[IdinaBellFoster]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 8:27am

Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett 

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off 

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple WILL WIN
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me 
Spring Awakening SHOULD WIN

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles (just a shout out for how much I LOVE this score)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam WILL WIN
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett 

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton WILL WIN
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge WILL WIN
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off 

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple 
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me WILL WIN (this could also be The Color Purple, but I think She Loves Me is a better show overall)
Spring Awakening 

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda WILL WIN
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda WILL WIN
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father WILL WIN
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge SHOULD WIN

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed 
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me SHOULD WIN
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple WILL WIN
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed 
Megan Hilty, Noises Off WILL WIN
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans SHOULD WIN
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton WILL WIN
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton SHOULD WIN

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 
David Zinn, The Humans

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho 
David Korins, Hamilton WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me 

Best Costume Design of a Play

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night 
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
Tom Scutt, King Charles III

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me 
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night SHOULD WIN
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge WILL WIN

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton WILL WIN
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening 
Justin Townsend, American Psycho SHOULD WIN

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed SHOULD WIN
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge WILL WIN

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening 
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton WILL WIN
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed SHOULD WIN
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
 

[Randomlink1]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 8:29am

BroadwayConcierge said: "Randomlink1 said: "I'm betting that Hamilton wins no more than 5 awards

I don't see it winning in the acting categories, but in the quality of the show libretto and music wise it will most likely win."

This statement would only make sense if you said the opposite about acting. It's pretty much a lock for both Featured performance categories and Lead Actor looks highly in its favor. It can and absolutely will win more than five awards. 

 

"

I'm just saying that there were other performances other than Hamilton this year. Keep in mind there was 2014 where two people from Gentlemen's Guide were nominated, who were by the way stunning in their performances, and they still lost to Neil Patrick Harris. Then there was last year where three actresses from Fun Home were noinated, again all deserving of the award, but lost. The Tony nominations this year weren't "We need to nominate other shows to throw off that Hamilton is going to win in each category." There are diverse tastes on Broadway, and any one of the people who were nominated could win on Tony night. 

[aaaaaa15]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 8:43am

But just as people should be realistic that Hamilton probably wont win everything, you should be realistic in realizing it's probably going to win more than 5, including at least one acting award.

And NPH was always the favorite. 

[Randomlink1]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 8:46am

aaaaaa15 said: "But just as people should be realistic that Hamilton probably wont win everything, you should be realistic in realizing it's probably going to win more than 5, including at least one acting award.

And NPH was always the favorite. 

 

"

No, I'm not saying he wasn't deserving of the win. I'm just saying that there are always other people in the nominations, and that to even get a Tony nomination means that you're stunning in performance.

And I know that Hamilton is most likely going to win more than 5 awards, but my prediction is that it wins 5.

[notalwaysontime]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:12am

For me, I feel like the only award Hamilton won't win is Leading Actress, and I think Choreography and set design are up in the air for it. And like for Choreography, it all depends on preference, do the voters like more of story telling movement, or the showstopping kind of style of Shuffle Along, they're so different, and both absolutely amazing in their own ways. I see valid reasons for both to win that category. It'll never happen, but I'd love to see a tie in that category.

[bandit964]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:15am

Didn't read all of the thread, but I totally agree, King Charles III was the most superbly written play to come around in a long time. It deserves to win over The Humans.

 

Updated On: 5/4/16 at 11:15 AM

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:17am

There is no planet on which Lupita will win leading actress.

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:30am

Here are some categories categories Hamilton is nominated that Tony voters could use to spread the wealth to other shows.

Lead Actor in a Musical: Tony voters could use this award to acknowledge Fiddler on the Roof or even School of Rock.
Lead Actress in a Musical: It would be one of the biggest shockers in history if Phillipa Soo ends up winning.
Featured Actor in a Musical: The three Hamilton guys could split the vote and the award could go to Brandon Victor Dixon or Christopher Fitzgerald.
Featured Actress in a Musical: Jane Krakowski could probably earn her fair share of support.
Best Choreography: Savion Glover could give Andy Blankenbuehler a run for his money.

[woeisme3]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:35am

I also think scenic design will probably go to She Loves Me (that parfumerie!) and Psycho has a fighting chance at Lighting, if nothing else.

[bekk99]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:40am

Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam (WILL WIN)
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett (SHOULD WIN)

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN)
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off (SHOULD WIN)

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me 
Spring Awakening

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father (SHOULD WIN)
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed 
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof (WILL WIN)
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me 
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed 
Megan Hilty, Noises Off (WILL WIN)
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans (SHOULD WIN)
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin (SHOULD WIN)
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN)
David Zinn, The Humans

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho (SHOULD/WILL WIN)
David Korins, Hamilton 
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me 

Best Costume Design of a Play

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night (SHOULD WIN)
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed
Tom Scutt, King Charles III (WILL WIN)

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me 
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (SHOULD WIN)
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton 
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (SHOULD/WILL WIN)
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening 
Justin Townsend, American Psycho 

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed (SHOULD WIN)
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN)

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton (SHOULD/WILL WIN)
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (SHOULD WIN)
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

[east side story]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:40am

neonlightsxo said: "There is no planet on which Lupita will win leading actress.

 

"

Agreed. I just do not see Lupita winning. It's going to be Lange or Williams. 

Updated On: 5/4/16 at 11:40 AM

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:48am

I love that people keep saying the Hamilton featured actors will split the vote. That's funny. Everyone I know is voting for Daveed.

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:50am

neonlightsxo said: "I love that people keep saying the Hamilton featured actors will split the vote. That's funny. Everyone I know is voting for Daveed."

Lol same! I think there is tremendous personal appreciation spread across the three, to be sure, but from what I hear, the objective consensus continues to go toward Daveed. Last year, in Featured Actress, there was a clear split between Lucas and Kuhn. I truly don't see as pronounced of a divide in interests with this category. Daveed's got it.