Broadway Star Joined: 5/9/15
Based on the average reviews and grosses, how long do you think Bright Star has?
Updated On: 3/28/16 at 05:50 PMStand-by Joined: 8/26/14
I'd put money on it closing before that show at The Majestic.
Understudy Joined: 3/13/16
It's really hard to say. A lot of shows received lukewarm reviews and somewhat mediocre grosses in its first week. And yet the shows themselves went onto make a lot of money. If you haven't caught on already, I'm talking about The Phantom of the Opera (the show made only 70,000 in it's first week, but then went on to make a lot more). It's hard to tell what's going to happen right now, since it's so early in the game.
Broadway Star Joined: 5/9/15
I think the upcoming productions of the Master Builder or Camp David would work well there. Based on the current slate of upcoming shows, it looks like that the Cort will be empty for several months, since there are very few shows announced that need a small theatre like the Cort.
Updated On: 3/27/16 at 05:59 PMBroadway Star Joined: 5/9/15
Randomlink1 said: "It's really hard to say. A lot of shows received lukewarm reviews and somewhat mediocre grosses in its first week. And yet the shows themselves went onto make a lot of money. If you haven't caught on already, I'm talking about The Phantom of the Opera (the show made only 70,000 in it's first week, but then went on to make a lot more). It's hard to tell what's going to happen right now, since it's so early in the game."
You've got a point there.
Understudy Joined: 2/4/05
This is the kind of crap that makes people hate these boards. How do we know what kind of reserves the producers have, how well they are sold for post-opening weeks, and how well they will leverage the rave from the Times.
And very few musicals have closed very quickly the past couple seasons, even when they don't catch on.
Ragged Tear said: "This is the kind of crap that makes people hate these boards."
I don't see anything wrong with being able to discuss these kinds of things?
Understudy Joined: 3/13/16
Yeah, I think it's a bit cynical since the show just opened. If it was making 70,000 dollars a week and playing at 30% capacity, then we could make a case for it closing soon. But as it is, its not clear what will happen.
>If you haven't caught on already, I'm talking about The Phantom of the Opera (the show made only 70,000 in it's first week, but then went on to make a lot more).<
That was $71,000 for a one performance week in 1988 dollars. Phantom was a box office smash right out of the gate. It was in no sense a slow builder.
I think the producers are gonna try to keep it open for at least another month to see how many Tony nominations they could receive. Even if they don't receive any at all, the producers could still keep it running a little longer so they could be able to get themselves a performance on the Tonys.
Broadway Star Joined: 5/9/15
Going up to the nominations makes sense
Understudy Joined: 3/13/16
Didn't realize that. But even then A Gentlemen's Guide was a slow builder, and then made a lot of money once the Tonys came around. Granted it has closed, but it ran for over 2 years, which is a difficult accomplishment to achieve.
It may get a few nominations but other than actress, it will not win anything else.
Not to mention that both Bright Star and Gentleman's Guide have the same lead producer (Joey Parnes).
Broadway Star Joined: 11/10/15
$70k in 1988 is equivalent to $140,302.37 in 2016. That's still really bad
JM226 said: "$70k in 1988 is equivalent to $140,302.37 in 2016. That's still really bad"
For a one-performance week? Um, not really.
Broadway Star Joined: 11/10/15
Oh. Oops. Didn't see that part. My apologies.
Wow! That's actually REALLY good.
Broadway Legend Joined: 2/10/11
JM226 said: "$70k in 1988 is equivalent to $140,302.37 in 2016. That's still really bad
I went to the first preview in 1998 and the most expensive seats were $55, with no premium prices. $70K is absolutely not the equivalent of $140,392.37 today.
"
Broadway Star Joined: 5/9/15
Mr Roxy said: "It may get a few nominations but other than actress, it will not win anything else.
It could get a nomination for best orchestrations.
I can't imagine it'll close before the summer. It has a smart and persevering lead producer who has historically been generous with allowing shows to find their footing. That being said, I wouldn't be too sure of it running through the fall when sales become a bit tougher. Still hopeful for a long and healthy run, though, as I adore this show and plan to see it a few more times myself.
Broadway Star Joined: 8/5/14
At least in the ads being shown to me, they are really playing up Carmen and are seeming to hope for a nom for her.
Having just seen the show, I think she has a great chance of a nom -- perhaps the only one for acting.
They will run through the summer for sure. They will be receiving several Tony nominations and you will see the attendance numbers rise.
Videos