Comments on Les Miserables movie — Page 7

For those who've seen the film, what's the running time?

broadway guy-The best actor race is so tight, that Phoenix's previous statements won't be all forgotten I don't think. And if he's nominated and loses, I don't think it is necessarily because of that statement-the category is the toughest it's been in years. (Could we have a tie??? I'd settle for a tie between Daniel Day-Lewis and John Hawkes. My heart says give it to the vet Hawkes who's never won.)

I suspect Knightley will receive a nod.

For BOURNE.....? No way.

Updated On: 11/26/12 at 04:55 PM

Oh, I was going to say...

I still don't think she'll get a nomination though. I imagine they'd nominate Naomi Watts, Emanuelle Riva, Mary Elizabeth Winstead, or even Judi Dench before Weisz.

Chastain is getting across the board raves for ZERO DARK and the Academy loves nominating kids. At this point, I would guess it'll be
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone)
Helen Mirren (Hitchcock)
or
Naomi Watts (The Impossible)

It's such a crowded year for lead actress. I still think Lawrence is unbeatable--not based on her performance, but on the crazy buzz she's had since the film premiered--though Chastain poses a threat. Still, most reviews say that her character has no backstory or too many dimensions, so I think she'll definitely get nominated but Lawrence will still win. Cotillard would have a better chance if she hadn't just won and if the film had a stronger chance at other nominations; Hillary Swank won five years after BOYS DON'T CRY but that's because her film was the Best Picture winner (I still can't believe she won over one of Kate Winslet's most fascinating roles or even Annette Bening's comedic turn, but that's neither here nor there). I think Wallis will get in, Riva has the raves but I worry the Academy will nominate one of the bigger stars instead. I really do hope Naomi Watts can somehow get in, she should be a winner by now, it's unbelievable that she only has one Oscar nomination. Knightley has a chance of getting in, but she's looking really weak right now given the mixed bag that the reviews for ANNA KARENINA have been so far. It's too strong of a year so some performances will inevitably be left out.
On the lead actor front, I really do think Joaquin Phoenix should win. Day-Lewis, Washington and Hawkes are all great and magnificent in their own film, but Phoenix gives the kind of performance that legends are made of, it's the kind of thing that will be studied in years to come. Some critics compared him to Brando in STREETCAR and it's hard to disagree...interestingly enough, Brando didn't actually win the Oscar for that performance so Phoenix might be on the same boat.

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Saw Hitchcock this past weekend. I now believe I have seen everything but Pi. Hitchcock was entertaining. Anthony Hopkins was fine. Helen Mirren was wonderful. The movie was enjoyable. I really doubt it will do anything in awards season.

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Updated On: 11/26/12 at 05:55 PM

The Fandango listing is apparently for an older version.

I've heard LM clocks in at 2:38 with credits.

As for awards, Crowe has no chance. Reactions to his performance are too mixed. If any actor gets a supporting nomination it'll be Eddie Redmayne.

It's a very competitive year and it wouldn't surprise me if Anne Hathaway gets the movie's only Oscar win.

Thanks. Knew Fandango had to have it wrong.

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I seem to say this every year, but right now it seems this statement is more true this year than it has been in the past few years: this is one of the most exciting Best Picture races in recent memory!


BEST PICTURE:

Likely:
ARGO
LES MISERABLES
LIFE OF PI
LINCOLN
SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
ZERO DARK THIRTY

Dark Horses:
ANNA KARENINA
BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
CLOUD ATLAS
THE DARK KNIGHT RISES
DJANGO UNCHAINED
HITCHCOCK
THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY
THE MASTER
MOONRISE KINGDOM
THE PERKS OF BEING A WALLFLOWER

Slim Chance:
FLIGHT
THE HUNGER GAMES
HYDE PARK ON THE HUDSON
THE IMPOSSIBLE
THE SESSIONS
SKYFALL

A lot of what I listed in the "Dark Horse" category will soon fall into the "Slim Chance" category. I hope THE PERKS OF BEING A WALLFLOWER gets nominated, but with a crowded competition field, it's looking less and less a probability.

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^ Having seen Les Miz, my take is Eddie Redmayne's stunning performance has every likelihood of getting a supporting nom, and Russell Crowe's has virtually none. Size of part is immaterial here; one actor dominates every scene he appears in, one actor fades from view as you're watching him.

There is no effing way she never heard LuPone's version before the film.

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Very surprised that goldderby gives Amy Adams the same odds as Sally Field. Adams is fine in The Master. But Field aced a much stronger role.