Ritchie will definitely be petitioned for Leading, I don't see why not. He has the largest male role in the show, and which is a major part of the plot, comic sense, etc.
He will not be petitioned for leading. Just because he has the largest male role in the show doesn't make him a lead. That's like saying that Fiyero has the largest male role in Wicked and is thus a lead. Not at all. The two leads are clearly Glinda and Elphaba. In Wonderland, the lead is Alice. He is a featured player in multiple roles. That's all.
Joel Grey, unless the producers forget like CHICAGO did, will be petitioned for Featured Actor.
"Oh look at the time, three more intelligent plays just closed and THE ADDAMS FAMILY made another million dollars" -Jackie Hoffman, Broadway.com Audience Awards
Bloody Bloody doesn't have an excellent chance, really. Its best bet was and still is a nomination for Benjamin Walker. Given the cold reception of McNally's book for Catch Me, it could even sneak in there.
However, I have a feeling that the production is all but forgotten by a lot of the community.
"...everyone finally shut up, and the audience could enjoy the beginning of the Anatevka Pogram in peace."
BEST NEW MUSICAL Book of Mormon Priscilla Sister Act The Scottsboro Boys(if not, then Catch Me If You Can).
A Chorus Line revival played its final Broadway performance on August 17, 2008. The tour played its final performance on August 21, 2011. A new non-equity tour started in October 2012 played its final performance on March 23, 2013. Another non-equity tour launched on January 20, 2018. The tour ended its US run in Kansas City and then toured throughout Japan August & September 2018.
VERGE doesn't stand a chance in the Best Musical category.
Personally, I found it far more engaging and substantial than Priscilla or Sister Act, which may be the more obvious choices. I would hope it at least pulls in nominations for Yazbeck and Benanti.
"What can you expect from a bunch of seitan worshippers?" - Reginald Tresilian
The Scottsboro Boys will NOT be nominated for Best Musical.
The Tonys are marketing. There's no point in marketing a show that is no longer running.
Which is really a shame. "The Scottsboro Boys", were it still open, would DEFINITELY be giving "Book of Mormon" a run for it's money, but it seems like we're looking at a "Producers" year here, folks. The new comedy musical will sweep the awards, and the song-and-dance revival snatches leading actress and choreography (the latter if it's lucky)
Correct me if I'm wrong here (and I might be), but, though Scottsboro did get positive reviews, it didn't get all raves. I know most people on here loved it, but perhaps the Tony nominating committee won't even want to remember it. Usually with these long-forgotten show snubs, it's especially egregious when the show had an amazing reception and was still forgotten, but Scottsboro was not unanimously praised, to my memory. I seem to remember Bloody Bloody garnering better reviews in general (though that's certainly not to say that Bloody Bloody will get a nomination instead of Scottsboro...or at all).
My picks would be: Mormon, Sister Act, Priscilla and Catch Me, though I personally think Scottsboro should get in somewhere...
"Art, in itself, is an attempt to bring order out of chaos."-Stephen Sondheim
Bloody Bloody and Scottsboro were about equal, review-wise, with maybe Scottsboro a tiny bit ahead. Scottsboro seemed better received in the community, though. A lot of people didn't like BBAJ (myself not included in that, I love it and wish it would win all the awards).
"...everyone finally shut up, and the audience could enjoy the beginning of the Anatevka Pogram in peace."
Well, I'm a Tony voter, and I haven't forgotten most of the shows people are writing off...so I'm willing to bet a lot of other voters haven't either.
It's the nominators, though, who will be doing the work at the moment. The voters weigh in later. And they certainly aren't all producers, and some definitely vote for quality and artistry.
I believe Scottsboro Boys will be nominated in a number of categories, and Benjamin Walker has a very good shot at a nomination. I do think Benanti is probably the only one who might score one from Women on the Verge, but it's not a year where there's a clear frontrunner in that category (of course, there are still shows yet to be reviewed).
Finally got together my predictions for musical Tonys, thought I would share:
Best Musical The Book of Mormon* Catch Me If You Can Priscilla, Queen of the Desert The Scottsboro Boys
Best Revival of a Musical Anything Goes* How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying
Best Actress in a Musical Sutton Foster, Anything Goes Rose Hemingway, How to Succeed... Patina Miller, Sister Act* Donna Murphy, The People in the Picture Sherie Rene Scott, Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown
Best Actor in a Musical Josh Gad, The Book of Mormon Daniel Radcliffe, How to Succeed...* Andrew Rannells, The Book of Mormon Tony Sheldon, Priscilla Aaron Tveit, Catch Me If You Can
Best Featured Actress in a Musical Laura Benanti, Women on the Verge... Kerry Butler, Catch Me If You Can Victoria Clark, Sister Act Nikki M. James, The Book of Mormon* Laura Osnes, Anything Goes
Best Featured Actor in a Musical Nick Adams, Priscilla Norbert Leo Butz, Catch Me If You Can Joel Grey, Anything Goes John Laroquette, How to Succeed... Rory O'Malley, The Book of Mormon*
Best Director Kathleen Marshall, Anything Goes Trey Parker & Casey Nicholaw, The Book of Mormon* Simon Phillips, Priscilla Susan Stroman, The Scottsboro Boys
Scenic Design Anything Goes The Book of Mormon Priscilla Sister Act*
Lighting Design Bloody Bloody Andrew Jackson The Book of Mormon* Priscilla Sister Act
Costume Design The Book of Mormon Catch Me If You Can Priscilla* Sister Act
Sound Design The Book of Mormon* How To Succeed... Priscilla Sister Act
Score of a Musical The Book of Mormon* Catch Me If You Can The Scottsboro Boys Sister Act
Book of a Musical The Book of Mormon* Priscilla The Scottsboro Boys Sister Act
Choreography Anything Goes The Book of Mormon* Catch Me If You Can How to Succeed...
Orchestrations The Book of Mormon Catch Me If You Can* Priscilla The Scottsboro Boys
Totals The Book of Mormon (14 noms/9 wins) Priscilla, Queen of the Desert (10 noms/1 win) Anything Goes (8 noms/1 win) Catch Me If You Can (8 noms/1 win) Sister Act (8 noms/2 wins) How To Succeed... (7 noms/1 win) The Scottsboro Boys (5 noms/0 wins) Women on the Verge... (2 noms/0 wins) Bloody Bloody Andrew Jackson (1 nom/0 wins) The People in the Picture (1 nom/0 wins)
I think only 3 musicals are actually of the quality to get nominated.... if only two of them weren't already forgotten:
BLoody Bloody Andrew Jackson Book of Mormon Scottsboro Boys
Funny how they're all originals. The fourth slot could go to whichever interchangeable Movie turned musical you happen to not hate as much as the others...
Sister Act, Catch Me if You can, Priscilla.... or my favorite of the pack.... Women on The Verge... :/ crazy huh?
We more than likely will end up with 3 of the so-so movie/musicals and then Book of Mormon...
BOOK OF MORMON SISTER ACT CATCH ME IF YOU CAN PRISCILLA
I have only seen 3 of the possible nominees for leading actress and I don't think Miller's performance is Tony worthy. Even in a not so great musical, I thought Murphy was better. Just my opinion.
If RAIN gets nominated for anything, it's a sad day (since it's more of a concert).
PRISCILLA will defintiely win Costume Design at minimum and I'm hoping Sheldon can snag Best Actor in a Musical (or Benjamin Walker).
Chances are it really won't matter who else is put up in the Best Musical category, since everyone blew their wad for BOOK OF MORMON and all else seems to pale in comparison. (I would hope BBAJ and PRISCILLA would snake in for at least a nomination).
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Does anybody know when they plan to announce the final ruling on the categories in which certain actors will be considered? I would assume sometime next week since the nominees are announced on May 3rd.
