Now that all the season's musical revivals have opened, let's look at the overall reviews:
1. FINIAN'S RAINBOW - 100% positive
2. RAGTIME - 89% positive
3. LA CAGE AUX FOLLES - 86% positive
4. A LITTLE NIGHT MUSIC - 77% positive
5. WHITE CHRISTMAS - 45% positive
6. PROMISES PROMISES - 44% positive
7. BYE BYE BIRDIE - 21% positive
Now, IF the Tony nominations follow the critical consensus, the first four shows show be nominated for Best revival of a Musical.
If the first two titles were still running, and the playing field level, FINIAN's would easily have a lock on the award. But we don't know show many Tony voters saw the show (or RAGTIME) and even if they did they may feel more included to give the award to a show that is still running and would benefit from the boost - so LA CAGE could win it.
Personally I believe the award should go to the best of the 4 nominees whether the show is open now or not. So, based on the reviews alone FINIAN'S RAINBOW should win it. (I saw FINIAN'S. BIRDIE and RAGTIME when I was in New York in November but won't see the others until I am back in June.)
Did the weak performance of BIRDIE set up the critics to be more favourable to FINIAN'S RAINBOW?
Cast albums are NOT "soundtracks."
Live theatre does not use a "soundtrack." If it did, it wouldn't be live theatre!
I host a weekly one-hour radio program featuring cast album selections as well as songs by cabaret, jazz and theatre artists. The program, FRONT ROW CENTRE is heard Sundays 9 to 10 am and also Saturdays from 8 to 9 am (eastern times) on www.proudfm.com