ACL2006 said: "I wouldn't guarantee a Tony to any leading female. We'll [likely] have Sutton, Midler, LuPone, Ebersole & either Noblezada, Soo or Osnes. At this point, nobody's a lock to win this award."
If it ends up transferring next season, it would probably be a smart move as this season is already too crowded. There's already 8 potential candidates for this year's Lead Actress in a Musical Tony such as..
Christy Altomare-Anastasia
Denee Benton-Natasha, Pierre, & The Great Comet of 1812
Christine Ebersole-War Paint
Patti LuPone-War Paint
Bette Midler-Hello, Dolly!
Eva Noblezada-Miss Saigon
Laura Osnes-Bandstand
Phillipa Soo-Amelie