The 76th Annual Tony Award Nominations (2023) — Page 4

So, with only 7 contenders for Best Actress in a Play, we only have 4 nominees?

It's Comer, Audra, Brosnahan and Chastain, right?

Mr. Wormwood said: "Yeah, the whole Dancin' thing is what I'm least sure of. I don't feel great about predicting 0 nominations for it when I could see it get in for Revival over Camelot or sneak in to something like Orchestrations or Lighting.

A few other things I didn't predict but COULD see happening:
- Andrew Lloyd Webber or Carolee Carmello get in for Bad Cinderella
- A Beautiful Noise gets in over NYNY for Best Musical
- Ben Platt or Josh Groban get snubbed (more likely Platt)

Again, those are not things I'm officially predicting but they are things that wouldn't surprise me."


Yeah I could easily see any of those things happening, and it was Beautiful Noise I didn’t feel great about getting zero. Wouldn’t be the most shocking thing in the world to me if it swapped in for NY NY in Best Musical, Will/Robyn (though the featured races are so stacked!), or something like choreo. 

I don’t know if Dancin will get into revival, but if it gets anything on Tuesday it should get lighting for sure. That lighting was thrilling!  

Updated On: 4/29/23 at 12:15 PM

A preview of Tuesday's news cycle on non-Broadway-specific publications:

12:01am –– WGA Guild writers strike begins, which will cannibalize all entertainment media coverage

9am –– Tony nominations announced

the rest of the week –– any mention of the Tony noms will come with the caveat that "the awards show is scheduled for June 11 but we don't know what form it will take because of the strike"

Ghee is giving the most Tony worthy peformance of the year!

https://www.goldderby.com/awardshows/expert-predictions/tony-awards-nominations-2023-predictions/best-actor-musical/sort/recent/

 

Nominations will be:

Ghee, Groban, James, Platt, Swenson

 

My final predictions.  I saw every eligible production this year (except Walking with Ghosts, which...I don't think matters at all).  Gaten was out when I saw Sweeney, and his understudy was just okay, so I'm guessing a bit at that category.

I've listed who I would nominate in the main categories ("My Top..." followed by I think who will actually get nominated (with potential spoilers below the line). And damn, there were a few categories (most of the featureds) where I just didn't know what to do after 1-3 nom locks.  Quite a few wide open categories.

Anyway...here goes....

Musical

My Top Five

1. Kimberly Akimbo
2. Shucked
3. & Juliet
4. New York, New York
5. Some Like It Hot

Predictions

& Juliet
Kimberly Akimbo
New York, New York
Shucked
Some Like It Hot
——
A Beautiful Noise

Play

My Top Five

1. Fat Ham
2. Ain’t No Mo’
3. Cost of Living
4. Summer, 1976
5. Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man and the Pool

Predictions

Ain’t No Mo’
Between Riverside and Crazy
Cost of Living
Fat Ham
Leopoldstadt
——
Life of Pi
Prima Facie
Good Night, Oscar

Revival (Musical)

My Top Four

1. Parade
2. Into the Woods
3. Sweeney Todd
4. 1776

Predictions

Camelot
Into the Woods
Parade
Sweeney Todd
——
Bob Fosse’s Dancin’

Revival (Play)

My Top Four

1. Topdog/Underdog
2. A Doll’s House
3. The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window
4. The Piano Lesson

Predictions

A Doll’s House
The Piano Lesson
The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window
Topdog/Underdog
——
Death of a Salesman

Direction (Musical)

My Top Five

1. Michael Arden (Parade)
2. Jessica Stone (Kimberly Akimbo)
3. Jack O’Brien (Shucked)
4. Lear deBessonet (Into the Woods)
5. Thomas Kail (Sweeney Todd)

Predictions

Arden
Kail
Casey Nicholaw (Some Like It Hot)
Stone
Susan Stroman (New York, New York)
——
O’Brien
deBessonet

Direction (Play)

My Top Five

1. Saheem Ali (Fat Ham)
2. Kenny Leon (Topdog/Underdog)
3. Adam Meggido (Peter Pan Goes Wrong)
4. Justin Martin (Prima Facie)
5. Max Webster (Life of Pi)

Predictions

Ali
Jamie Lloyd (A Doll’s House)
Patrick Marber (Leopoldstadt)
Anne Kauffman (The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window)
Webster
——
LaTanya Richardson Jackson (The Piano Lesson)
Michael Arden (A Christmas Carol)
Leon

Book of a Musical

My Top Five

1. Kimberly Akimbo (David Lindsay-Abaire)
2. Shucked (Robert Horn)
3. & Juliet (David West Read)
4. Some Like It Hot (Matthew López & Amber Ruffin)
5. Almost Famous (Cameron Crowe)

Predictions

& Juliet
A Beautiful Noise
Kimberly Akimbo
Shucked
Some Like It Hot
—
Camelot
Almost Famous
New York, New York

Score

My Top Five

1. Kimberly Akimbo
2. KPOP
3. Life of Pi
4. Shucked
5. Some Like It Hot

Predictions

Kimberly Akimbo
KPOP
Life of Pi
Shucked
Some Like It Hot
—
Bad Cinderella
Almost Famous
Leopoldstadt

Leading Actress (Musical)

My Top Five

1. Victoria Clark (Kimberly Akimbo)
2. Sara Bareilles (Into the Woods)
3. Annaleigh Ashford (Sweeney Todd)
4. Micaela Diamond (Parade)
5. Phillipa Soo (Camelot)

Predictions

Ashford
Bareilles
Clark
Diamond
Soo
—
Caroline Innerbichler (Shucked)
Anna Uzele (New York, New York)
Patina Miller (Into the Woods)

Leading Actor (Musical)

Picks

1. Ben Platt (Parade)
2. J. Harrison Ghee (Some Like It Hot)
3. Andrew Burnap (Camelot)
4. Colton Ryan (New York, New York)
5. Casey Likes (Almost Famous)

Predictions

Burnap
Ghee
Josh Groban (Sweeney Todd)
Platt
Will Swenson (A Beautiful Noise)
——
Christian Borle (Some Like It Hot)
Brian d’Arcy James (Into the Woods)
Ryan

Leading Actress (Play)

My Top Five

1. Jodie Comer (Prima Facie)
2. Jessica Chastain (A Doll’s House)
3. Jessica Hecht (Summer, 1976)
4. Audra McDonald (Ohio State Murders)
5. Laura Linney (Summer, 1976)

Predictions

Rachel Brosnahan - The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window
Chastain
Comer
McDonald
—-
Linney
Hecht

Leading Actor (Play)

My Top Five

1. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Topdog/Underdog)
2. Sean Hayes (Good Night, Oscar)
3. Marcel Spears (Fat Ham)
4. Oscar Isaac (The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window)
5. Jeremy Pope (The Collaboration)

Predictions

Hayes
Isaac
Jefferson Mays (A Christmas Carol)
Stephen McKinley Henderson (Between Riverside and Crazy)
Spears
——
Hiran Abeysekera (Life of Pi)
Wendell Pierce (Death of a Salesman)
Corey Hawkins (Topdog/Underdog)

Featured Actress (Musical)

My Top Five

1. Bonnie Milligan (Kimberly Akimbo)
2. Julia Lester (Into the Woods)
3. Alli Mauzey (Kimberly Akimbo)
4. Maria Bilbao (Sweeney Todd)
5. Carolee Carmello (Bad Cinderella)

Predictions

Lester
Mauzey
Milligan
NaTasha Yvette Williams (Some Like It Hot)
Betsy Wolfe (& Juliet)
—
Ruthie Ann Miles (Sweeney Todd)
Carmello
Robyn Hurder (A Beautiful Noise)

Featured Actor (Musical)

My Top Five

1. Kennedy Kanagawa (Into the Woods)
2. Justin Cooley (Kimberly Akimbo)
3. Alex Joseph Grayson (Parade)
4. Philippe Arroyo (& Juliet)
5. Steven Boyer (Kimberly Akimbo)

Predictions

Cooley
Gavin Creel (Into the Woods)
Kevin Del Aguila (Some Like It Hot)
Jordan Donica (Camelot)
Alex Newell (Shucked)
—-
Gaten Matarazzo (Sweeney Todd)
Boyer
Grayson

Featured Actress (Play)

My Top Five

1. Nikki Crawford (Fat Ham)
2. Katy Sullivan (Cost of Living)
3. Miriam Silverman (The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window)
4. Crystal Lucas Perry (Ain’t No Mo&rsquo
5. Katie Finneran (The Thanksgiving Play)

Predictions

Danielle Brooks (The Piano Lesson)
Crawford
Perry
Silverman
Sullivan
—-
Faye Castelow (Leopoldstadt)
D’Arcy Carden (The Thanksgiving Play)
Sharon D. Clarke (Death of a Salesman)

Featured Actor (Play)

My Top Five

1. Chris Herbie Holland (Fat Ham)
2. Jordan E. Cooper (Ain’t No Mo&rsquo
3. Gregg Mozgala (Cost of Living)
4. Ben Rappaport (Good Night, Oscar)
5. David Krumholtz (Leopoldstadt)

Predictions

André de Shields (Death of a Salesman)
Samuel L. Jackson (The Piano Lesson)
Krumholtz
Arian Moayed - A Doll’s House
Brandon Uranowitz (Leopoldstadt)
——
Cooper
Scott Foley (The Thanksgiving Play)
David Zayas (Cost of Living)

Scenic Design (Musical)

Predictions

Camelot (Michael Yeargan)
Kimberly Akimbo (David Zinn)
New York, New York (Beowulf Boritt)
Some Like It Hot (Scott Park)
Sweeney Todd (Mimi Lien)
—
Shucked (Scott Pask)
& Juliet (Soutra Gilmour)
Bad Cinderella (Gabriela Tylesova)

Scenic Design (Play)

Predictions

Leopoldstadt (Richard Hudson)
Life of Pi (Tim Hatley)
Peter Pan Goes Wrong (Simon Scullion)
The Piano Lesson (Beowulf Boritt)
Prima Facie (Miriam Buether)
—-
Fat Ham
Ohio State Murders
Death of a Salesman

Costume Design (Musical)

Predictions

& Juliet (Paloma Young)
Camelot (Jennifer Moeller)
New York, New York (Donna Zakowska)
Some Like It Hot (Gregg Barnes)
Sweeney Todd (Emilio Sosa)
——
Parade (Susan Hilferty)
Bad Cinderella (Gabriela Tylesova)
A Beautiful Noise (Emilio Sosa & Annie J. Le)

Costume Design (Play)

Predictions

Death of a Salesman (Anna Fleischle & Sarita Fellows)
Leopoldstadt (Brigitte Reiffenstuel)
Life of Pi (Tim MHatley)
Peter Pan Goes Wrong (Roberto Surace)
The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window (Brenda Abbandandolo)
——
The Piano Lesson (Toni-Leslie James)
Ain’t No Mo’ (Emilio Sosa)
Good Night, Oscar (Emilio Sosa)

Lighting Design (Musical)

Predictions

& Juliet (Howard Hudson)
Bob Fosse's Dancin’ (David Grill)
New York, New York (Ken Billington)
Some Like It Hot (Natasha Katz)
Sweeney Todd (Natasha Katz)
——
Parade (Heather Gilbert)
KPOP (Jiyoun Chang)
Kimberly Akimbo (Jeanette Oi-Suk Yew)

Lighting Design (Play)

Predictions

A Christmas Carol (Ben Stanton & Ken Elliott)
Fat Ham (Bradley King)
Life of Pi (Tim Lutkin)
Peter Pan Goes Wrong (Matthew Haskins)
Prima Facie (Natasha Chivers)
———
Leopoldstadt (Neil Austin)
The Piano Lesson (Japery Weideman)
The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window (John Torres)

Sound Design (Musical)

Predictions

& Juliet (Gareth Owen)
Kimberly Akimbo (Kai Harada)
New York, New York (Kai Harada)
Parade (Jon Weston)
Some Like It Hot (Brian Ronan & Mike Tracey)
——
KPOP (Peter Fitzgerald & Andrew Keister)
Sweeney Todd (Nevin Steinberg)
Into the Woods (Scott Lehrer & Alex Neumann)

Sound Design (Play)

Predictions

A Christmas Carol (Joshua D. Reid)
A Doll’s House (Ben Ringham & Max Ringham)
Leopoldstadt (Adam Cork)
Life of Pi (Carolyn Downing)
Peter Pan Goes Wrong (Ellie Wahlström)
—
Fat Ham (Mikaal Sulaiman)
Prima Facie (Ben Ringham & Max Ringham)
The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window (Bray Poor)

Orchestrations

Predictions

& Juliet (Bill Sherman)
Kimberly Akimbo (John Clancy)
New York, New York (Daryl Waters & Sam Davis)
Some Like It Hot (Charlie Rosen & Bryan Carter)
Parade (Don Sebesky & Jason Robert Brown)**if eligible
A Beautiful Noise (Bob Gaudio, Sonny Paladino & Brian Usifer)** If Parade ineligible
—-
KPOP
Camelot
Shucked

Choreography

Predictions

& Juliet (Jennifer Weber)
KPOP (Jennifer Weber)
New York, New York (Susan Stroman)
Shucked (Sarah O’Gleby)
Some Like It Hot (Casey Nicholaw)
—-
Sweeney Todd
Bad Cinderella
A Beautiful Noise

Total Nominations (Musicals

Some Like It Hot: 13
Kimberly Akimbo: 11
& Juliet: 8
New York, New York: 8
Sweeney Todd: 7
Camelot: 6
Parade: 6
Shucked: 5
Into the Woods: 4
A Beautiful Noise: 2
KPOP: 2
Bob Fosse’s Dancin’: 1
1776: 0
Almost Famous: 0
Bad Cinderella: 0

Total Nominations (Plays)

Leopoldstadt: 7
Life of Pi: 6
The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window: 6
A Doll’s House: 5
Fat Ham: 5
Peter Pan Goes Wrong: 4
The Piano Lesson: 4
A Christmas Carol: 3
Prima Facie: 3
Ain’t No Mo’: 2
Between Riverside and Crazy: 2
Cost of Living: 2
Death of a Salesman: 2
Good Night, Oscar: 1
Ohio State Murders: 1
Topdog/Underdog: 1
The Collaboration: 0
The Kite Runner: 0
Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man and the Pool: 0
Pictures from Home: 0
Summer, 1976: 0
The Thanksgiving Play: 0
Walking with Ghosts: 0

I don't know why, but I'm expecting a surprise Ben Platt or Josh Groban snub. I could see the final group being Borle, Burnap, Ghee, Groban, and Swenson. OR Platt, Burnap, Ghee, Swenson, and Ryan/Borle. I could definitely be wrong, but I'd love to see something completely surprising on Tuesday. 

I’m all for surprises, but I’d hate Josh or Ben missing out. I loved their work and I think it would feel like such a slap in the face to snub them when they have showcases this big for a field that’s not particularly competitive. However, I think they’re safe along with Ghee.

 

The buzz hearing from industry friends is that Dancin' could slip in and get a nom over Camelot!

That would possibly give Dancin' two nominations: revival and lighting 

https://didtheylikeit.com/shows/bob-fosses-dancin/


Per GoldDerby 

It’s a battle between Lincoln Center Theatre’s revival of “Camelot” and director Wayne Cilento’s new version of “Bob Fosse’s Dancin.” With a mixed overall response to “Camelot,” I’ve slotted “Dancin” into my lineup. The show is fun, sexy, pays homage to a giant of the theater, and the cast is impressive as hell. But I admit that it’s risky to bet against LCT in this category since nominators fell head over heels for their past lush revivals of “My Fair Lady,” “The King and I,” and “South Pacific.” David is sticking with the Lerner and Lowe classic because he sees the show racking up a healthy number of overall nominations, when compared to a relatively low expected tally for “Dancin” (since the numbers are a true recreation of Fosse’s work, it is ironically not eligible for the Choreography race).

 

Updated On: 4/30/23 at 02:04 PM

Robbie2 said: "

The buzz hearing from industry friends is that Dancin' could slip in and get a nom over Camelot!

That would possibly give Dancin' two nominations: revival and lighting"

That sounds right to me: both what will happen and what should happen.

Broadway Flash said: "Jordan Dobson will be nominated for Bad Cinderella"

No, no he will not.

Anyone predicting that any person WILL or DEFINITELY WILL NOT be nominated is being foolish. You have no idea. No matter how "in" you think you are, you have no idea. I'll leave it to someone else to come up with all the surprise nominations/snubs that have occurred in the past (particularly in the Supporting Actor/Actress categories) that prove this point.

I've been seeing a lot of people predict Beautiful Noise for choreography (and it also got nominated for Chita Rivera) but I legitimately don't remember a ton of dance in that?  Like Robyn Hurder has a couple features but I don't really recall anything outside of that worthy of a nomination.  As opposed to something like Bad Cinderella, which I thought felt like a "dancier" show (though I doubt it'll get a nom anyway), so am I just drawing a complete blank on this?