Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions- Page 2
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions
Stand-by Joined: 10/3/22
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#25
Posted: 5/7/26 at 4:30pm
Fred Mason said: "I think there’s a real chance that Marla Mindelle can win. We’ve been seeing this shtick for so long that it’s a little tired at this point, but you can’t deny it’s an inspired performance. I’d vote for her over Caissie Levy."
It's a parody of Celine Dion. It's fun and indeed a Schtick. Caissie is playing a character. And acting/singing the hell out of it.
Stand-by Joined: 10/3/22
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#26
Posted: 5/7/26 at 4:30pm
Fred Mason said: "I think there’s a real chance that Marla Mindelle can win. We’ve been seeing this shtick for so long that it’s a little tired at this point, but you can’t deny it’s an inspired performance. I’d vote for her over Caissie Levy."
It's a parody of Celine Dion. It's fun and indeed a Schtick. Caissie is playing a character. And acting/singing the hell out of it.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#27
Posted: 5/7/26 at 4:48pm
Kad said: "theatrekid3302 said: "If Lost Boys looses Scenic Design it would be the “crime of the century”. Also don’t get why Cats is getting so many awards in these predictions. It doesn’t look like a Broadway Show."
How about you actually see the production?"
I will only see it if I can get it for cheap. I am not spending 200+ dollars on a show I am probably not going to enjoy. I'd rather spend that many on better things like SEEING RAGTIME AGAIN. Brilliant Production!!!!
Excited to see Schmigadoon soon, already have tickets. I think it will be good. Do I think it will be better than The Lost Boys? No, but we will see. The Lost Boys was breathtaking and exactly what Broadway needs: BIG EXPENSIVE PRODUCTIONS. It has the most momentum of the nominees the energy in that theatre was electric. I was at Two Strangers the other day and it was half empty and people were barely clapping.
Titanique i will probably see also but wish they would just make an actual adaptation of the movie already instead of a parody. Jack and Rose's love story would make such great music.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/20/13
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#28
Posted: 5/7/26 at 5:03pm
Here's the thing, again: Unless you have seen both shows, slamming Cats: The Jellicle Ball and saying it would be an "utter disgrace" if it won is pretty ridiculous. And I love Ragtime.
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/4/04
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#29
Posted: 5/7/26 at 5:27pm
theatrekid3302 said: "Kad said: "theatrekid3302 said: "If Lost Boys looses Scenic Design it would be the “crime of the century”. Also don’t get why Cats is getting so many awards in these predictions. It doesn’t look like a Broadway Show."
How about you actually see the production?"
I will only see it if I can get it for cheap. I am not spending 200+ dollars on a show I am probably not going to enjoy. I'd rather spend that many on better things like SEEING RAGTIME AGAIN. Brilliant Production!!!!
Excited to see Schmigadoon soon, already have tickets. I think it will be good. Do I think it will be better than The Lost Boys? No, but we will see. The Lost Boys was breathtaking and exactly what Broadway needs: BIG EXPENSIVE PRODUCTIONS. It has the most momentum of the nominees the energy in that theatre was electric. I was at Two Strangers the other day and it was half empty and people were barely clapping.
Titanique i will probably see also but wish they would just make an actual adaptation of the movie already instead of a parody. Jack and Rose's love story would make such great music."
Your posts are getting more unhinged by the minute.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#30
Posted: 5/7/26 at 7:22pm
https://www.imdb.com/es/news/ni65827418/?ref_=nwc_art_perm
Even before the Tony nominations buzz, new musical The Lost Boys saw its highest grossing week yet, bringing in $1 million last week at the Palace Theatre.
Capacity dipped slightly to 85 percent, but it’s still promising for the musical, which co-leads the Tony nominations Tuesday alongside new musical Schmigadoon! While Schmigadoon! is in a much smaller theater and therefore with a lower gross potential, the show played to 75 percent capacity last week and brought in $646,129. Both may get further boosts from the Tonys and press campaigns moving forward.
Among the other top Tonys contenders, Death of a Salesman is still selling fairly strong, with $1.7 million last week and playing to 88 percent capacity, as is Ragtime, which brought in $1.1 million last week and played to 99 percent capacity, even after being open since the fall. Cats: The Jellicle Ball is still commanding strong attendance at 94 percent capacity, even as grosses fell slightly to $935,627.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#31
Posted: 5/7/26 at 11:36pm
I have not seen any of the Best Musical nominees so I have no opinion on the shows (aside from having seen the Schnigadoon! TV series) themselves. But in terms of guessing a winner, I wonder whether certain things that usually don’t matter might this time.
On this thread, Schmigadoon! has emerged as the early favorite. Shoot, Apple is even promoting the original series again, highlighting all of its Tony nominations. (They could have renewed it for a third season, dammit.)
But doesn’t the show need to start performing better at the box office? Schmigadoon! is basically a parody of Golden Age musicals, which is amusing when you know what’s being parodied. Will the average theatergoer know shows that are all more than 65 years old?
This won’t matter if the competition is Two Strangers, which has been playing to two-thirds-full houses for months. But what if The Lost Boys takes off a bit? Not a huge hit, but bringing in $1.2 or $1.3 million per week. IfTwo Strangers or Schmigadoon! or Titanique doesn’t get a noticeable box office bump, won’t some voters think about The Lost Boys differently, because it would be the only show that even might be a hit?
Normally, I wouldn’t think any of that matters - and I am probably wrong, or my scenario won’t play out the way I described. But aren’t I describing how The Outsiders won?
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#32
Posted: 5/8/26 at 6:36am
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL: should win: Jellicle Ball; will win: Ragtime
I am wondering if the love for Jellicle Ball - including from me—is overstating its odds for winning best revival. I loved both Jellicle Ball and Ragtime and agree with many who say the award should go the revival that is the most transformative and that is clearly Jellicle Ball. But would Ragtime appeal to a broader group of Tony voters (as opposed to those who post here)?
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#33
Posted: 5/8/26 at 7:25am
Ragtime has never won either Best Musical or Best Revival. I think Tony voters would want to give this show that honor by having this production win Best Revival.
I also agree that the Lost Boys is showing a lot of what made The Outsiders win and that is BUZZ. The Word of Mouth and Energy behind this production cannot be underestimated. The energy in that Theatre for Lost Boys was insane it just has Best Musical Energy. While, Two Strangers half the mezzanine was empty, it’s on TDF everyday, and people were barely clapping. The energy was just very different.
Schmigadoon, I have not seen yet but I do expect it to be good. I could see a world where that wins Best Musical but my money is on The Lost Boys. Titanique has no chance it’s a parody musical.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#34
Posted: 5/8/26 at 7:57am
I really think Shoshana can win, but Im surprise with people thinking DeShields can lose.
Also: Alden. So Little love for the show.
Leading Actor Joined: 7/2/03
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#35
Posted: 5/8/26 at 8:54am
theatrekid3302 said: "Ragtime has never won either Best Musical or Best Revival. I think Tony voters would want to give this show that honor by having this production win Best Revival.
I am a Tony voter and absolutely do not think like that, nor is it some sort of groupthink process.
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/4/04
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#36
Posted: 5/8/26 at 9:20am
theatrekid3302 said: "Ragtime has never won either Best Musical or Best Revival. I think Tony voters would want to give this show that honor by having this production win Best Revival.
I also agree that the Lost Boys is showing a lot of what made The Outsiders win and that is BUZZ. The Word of Mouth and Energy behind this production cannot be underestimated. The energy in that Theatre for Lost Boys was insane it just has Best Musical Energy. While, Two Strangers half the mezzanine was empty, it’s on TDF everyday, and people were barely clapping. The energy was just very different.
Schmigadoon, I have not seen yet but I do expect it to be good. I could see a world where that wins Best Musical but my money is on The Lost Boys. Titanique has no chance it’s a parody musical."
Why do you keep posting the same thing over and over again????
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#37
Posted: 5/8/26 at 11:00am
What does the package look like if Lost Boys wins? Musical/Score/techs, maybe featured actor? Best Director upset over Cats (a la Outsiders over Merrily)?
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/22/04
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#38
Posted: 5/8/26 at 2:40pm
Best Scenic Design of a Play:
David Korins, Dog Day Afternoon (Should/would win)
Absolutely! Korins should've had at least a couple of Tonys by now. He was the only designer on ''Hamilton'' NOT to win one. Korins won the Outer Critics and Drama Desk for ''Beetlejuice,'' but somehow lost the Tony. And he definitely deserved one for transforming the Broadway Theatre into a multi-level disco for ''Here Lies Love.'' I even recall his work on shows that didn't get a Tony nomination, like David Henry Hwang's ''Chinglish,'' which had an ingenious set that reminded me of a Chinese Rubik's Cube. Hope he wins for ''Dog Day''!
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#39
Posted: 5/8/26 at 3:00pm
Ptero2 said: "What does the package look like if Lost Boys wins? Musical/Score/techs, maybe featured actor? Best Director upset over Cats (a la Outsiders over Merrily)?"
I don't think it needs Score or Director to win Best Musical. It would probably need either featured actor/actress as well as the techs to win. My feeling is this is going to be a split the baby year, where they award multiple productions awards. If it wins Director, we know it will most likely win Musical.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#40
Posted: 5/8/26 at 3:10pm
Considering Arden has won the category in 2 of the last 3 ceremonies, I really doubt he’ll win again. In that category at least- he’ll likely pick up a win for lighting design.
Stand-by Joined: 5/30/19
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#41
Posted: 5/8/26 at 4:04pm
I honestly think Lear dB has a better shot at taking director over Michael Arden. I will likely be the duo behind Cats TJB, though.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/20/13
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#42
Posted: 5/8/26 at 4:37pm
Amy Archer said: "theatrekid3302 said: "Ragtime has never won either Best Musical or Best Revival. I think Tony voters would want to give this show that honor by having this production win Best Revival.
I am a Tony voter and absolutely do not think like that, nor is it some sort of groupthink process."
Thank you, I figured that. That poster has trashed shows they haven't even seen, so his opinion is completely moot.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#43
Posted: 5/8/26 at 6:04pm
Amy Archer said: "I am a Tony voter and absolutely do not think like that, nor is it some sort of groupthink process."
Wow, I didn't think we'd have an actual Tony voter in our midst, do we know what the general stance is at this point.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#44
Posted: 5/8/26 at 6:41pm
malcs98 said: "Amy Archer said: "I am a Tony voter and absolutely do not think like that, nor is it some sort of groupthink process."
Wow, I didn't think we'd have an actual Tony voter in our midst, do we know what the general stance is at this point."
There are 800+ voters. There is no way they have a general stance.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#45
Posted: 5/8/26 at 8:04pm
Sutton Ross said: "Amy Archer said: "theatrekid3302 said: "Ragtime has never won either Best Musical or Best Revival. I think Tony voters would want to give this show that honor by having this production win Best Revival.
I am a Tony voter and absolutely do not think like that, nor is it some sort of groupthink process."
Thank you, I figured that. That poster has trashed shows they haven't even seen, so his opinion is completely moot."
Agreed—if you haven’t seen the show, your opinion on whether it should win or lose doesn’t really matter. Making strong statements that it would be an “utter disgrace” if Cats won without actually seeing the production just comes across as biased. That said, I do think Ragtime should win Best Revival. I saw Cats: The Jellicle Ball and thought it was terrible—but I actually saw it, so that opinion is based on the show itself, not just having a bias against it.
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#47
Posted: 5/8/26 at 11:57pm
broadfan327 said: "Ptero2 said: "What does the package look like if Lost Boys wins? Musical/Score/techs, maybe featured actor? Best Director upset over Cats (a la Outsiders over Merrily)?"
I don't think it needs Score or Director to win Best Musical. It would probably need either featured actor/actress as well as the techs to win. My feeling is this is going to be a split the baby year, where they award multiple productions awards. If it wins Director, we know it will most likely win Musical."
Ehhhh. When is the last time something won without Book, Score, OR Director? I feel like if there’s enough love for it to get Musical, it’s almost definitely getting score too. Not like any of the others are undeniably above it in that category.
(but I’m still predicting Schmig FWIW)
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#48
Posted: 5/9/26 at 12:17am
Ptero2 said: "broadfan327 said: "Ptero2 said: "What does the package look like if Lost Boys wins? Musical/Score/techs, maybe featured actor? Best Director upset over Cats (a la Outsiders over Merrily)?"
I don't think it needs Score or Director to win Best Musical. It would probably need either featured actor/actress as well as the techs to win. My feeling is this is going to be a split the baby year, where they award multiple productions awards. If it wins Director, we know it will most likely win Musical."
Ehhhh. When is the last time something won without Book, Score, OR Director? I feel like if there’s enough love for it to get Musical, it’s almost definitely getting score too. Not like any of the others are undeniably above it in that category.
(but I’m still predicting Schmig FWIW)"
I think The Lost Boys is in third place in the Best Score race. Maybe I should rethink my prediction of The Lost Boys winning BM, I don't think it will win another major award. I just thought they wouldn't give BM to Schmigadoon! which is a limited run, and I thought Two Strangers is very mediocre. I think director will go to the directors of Cats: The Jellicle Ball instead of giving Michael Arden a third Tony for direction so soon.
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/22/04
Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#49
Posted: 5/9/26 at 12:39am
''I just thought they wouldn't give BM to Schmigadoon! which is a limited run,''
''Schmigadoon!,'' set to run through Sept. 6, 2026, has now been extended through Jan. 3, 2027.
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